Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 292331
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
631 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Convection has recently developed along the stationary frontal
boundary however eventual coverage is expected to remain limited
prior to dissipation later this evening. Otherwise...patchy fog is
possible again tonight primarily across NE OK and far NW AR with
periodic MVFR ceilings after sunrise.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 249 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
A weak cool front is currently pushing through Northeast Oklahoma
this afternoon and was located just south of Interstate 44. Slightly
cooler air has moved in behind the front primarily due to the
increased cloud cover.

A few widely scattered showers/thunderstorms will be possible
across Southeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas, mainly this
afternoon/evening, as the front stalls tonight. Cutoff low will
begin to develop over the Arklatx region into the day Sunday. The
lingering boundary, coupled with strong surface heating, could
allow a few isolated thunderstorms to develop over Northwest
Arkansas during the afternoon.

Little change is expected into the early/middle part of next week
with temperatures running slightly above normal for this time of
year. The upper low will slowly migrate eastward with time as
ridging aloft begins to build back over the Central/Southern
Plains. Precipitation changes will likely remain minimal at best
for the remainder of the work week into next weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   65  88  70  94 /  10  10  10  10
FSM   69  91  71  93 /  30  20  20  10
MLC   68  91  71  94 /  20  10  10  10
BVO   61  88  64  93 /  10  10  10   0
FYV   65  86  66  89 /  30  20  10  10
BYV   66  87  68  88 /  30  20  20  10
MKO   66  87  68  91 /  10  10  10  10
MIO   65  86  67  90 /  10  10  10  10
F10   66  88  70  93 /  10  10  10  10
HHW   70  94  70  94 /  20  10  20  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...07



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