Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 202346
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
546 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2017

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Main issue for the TAF sites tonight is the development of fog and
low clouds. Last few images of visible satellite imagery show the
clearing line extending from western Osage County to Creek County.
Front is still located farther west - from Alva to Clinton...which
will keep light southwest or west winds across the AR TAF sites
for a few more hours. Will expect light fog at the western
terminals from KBVO south to KMLC with anticipated clearing and
light winds. AR TAF sites should stay within MVFR ceilings
longer...which may prevent dense fog overnight.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 248 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Band of showers extends from far northeast OK south along the
OK/AR border and into southeast OK. We still could see a little
redevelopment along this back edge as the trof axis remains to our
west...and have kept chance PoPs into the evening hours to account
for this.

Main story for much of this week will be the return of well above
normal temperatures. Light northerly flow will return to the south
by Wednesday into Thursday...with highs warming well into the 70s
and possibly around 80 for a few spots both days. The next cold
front will move through Thursday night into Friday...but will keep
the forecast dry as the upper low in the Gulf should keep moisture
return quite limited.

Cooler weather expected for Friday and into the weekend...with low
rain chances returning Sunday night into Monday as another frontal
system develops just to our north.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   48  75  45  79 /  10   0   0   0
FSM   53  75  47  78 /  40  10  10   0
MLC   49  74  43  79 /  10   0   0   0
BVO   43  75  37  80 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   48  71  39  76 /  50  10  10   0
BYV   51  71  45  76 /  50  10  10   0
MKO   47  73  43  78 /  20   0   0   0
MIO   47  72  41  78 /  20   0   0   0
F10   47  73  44  77 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   51  74  46  78 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

CORFIDI

SHORT TERM...07
AVIATION...06



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