Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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499
FXUS64 KTSA 281636
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1136 AM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
Latest visible satellite data show clearing across east central
Oklahoma with a tight gradient between low clouds and clear skies.
The low clouds run from Grove to Tulsa to Chandler, as well as
some stratus down near Hugo. Upper low is now into southern New
Mexico with widespread elevated storms ongoing across the TX
panhandle and western Oklahoma. A few isolated showers or
sprinkles are possible mainly west of Tulsa this afternoon.

Surface warm front extends from near Lubbock east across north
central Texas this morning and will lift north to the Red River by
late afternoon. Mainly elevated thunderstorms are expected to
move into eastern Oklahoma after sunset given the lack of surface
based instability. Storms will likely organize into a convective
cluster/line by tonight which may pose a threat for some hail. If
storms are elevated, as currently indicated, there may not be much
threat for damaging winds at the surface. The potential for
severe weather on Wednesday depends largely on tonight`s
convective evolution.

Updated forecast for hourly cloud/temp trends. Max temps look ok
given some expected clearing, which should happen within the next
hour or two at Tulsa.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   73  61  74  51 /  20  80  80  50
FSM   76  60  75  56 /  10  60  80  80
MLC   77  63  75  54 /  30  80  80  40
BVO   70  58  72  49 /  20  80  80  60
FYV   72  57  71  54 /  10  60  90  80
BYV   69  54  69  55 /  10  60  80  90
MKO   75  61  73  54 /  20  80  80  60
MIO   71  57  69  54 /  10  70  80  70
F10   75  62  75  52 /  30  80  80  40
HHW   76  63  76  56 /  30  80  80  50

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...06
LONG TERM....05

CORFIDI



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