Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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773
FXUS64 KTSA 180956
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
356 AM CST Sat Feb 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Radar imagery is showing some light returns across far southeast
Oklahoma...with very light precipitation being observed. This
light rain is associated with upper low currently moving across
eastern OK...with the circulation well represented within wv/sat
animations. Skies will start off mostly cloudy this morning...and
clouds will likely hold down high temperatures a bit. It will
still be above average with highs in the 60s...with the potential
for some locations to jump in the upper 60s to near 70 if enough
breaks occur. There may be a decrease in the cloud cover this
afternoon through early evening before clouds come back overnight.

Sunday will likely be the warmer of the weekend days...with highs
in the 70s. Again...clouds will make the temperature forecast
non-trivial as there is the potential for mid/upper 70s depending
on cloud trends.

Early morning water vapor imagery is sampling the western US
trough...which will move over the southern Rockies by Sunday.
Increasing large scale lift/instability will support rain and
thunderstorms developing Sunday afternoon and evening over the
Southern Plains. The instability axis and dryline will remain
west of eastern Oklahoma during the day Sunday...with the best
chance for thunderstorms after dark Sunday night. The stronger
storms should remain south of Interstate 40. The entire area
will see rain Sunday night with precipitation exiting the area by
Monday afternoon.

The rest of the week looks warm and dry with above normal
temperatures and a windy day expected next Thursday ahead of the next
frontal system.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   65  54  73  59 /  10   0  20  80
FSM   68  51  76  58 /  10   0  10  70
MLC   67  55  73  58 /  10   0  20  80
BVO   66  50  72  56 /   0   0  20  80
FYV   65  48  73  58 /  10   0  10  70
BYV   67  48  73  57 /  10   0  10  60
MKO   66  53  73  59 /  10   0  20  80
MIO   67  48  74  59 /   0   0  10  70
F10   64  54  71  59 /  10   0  20  70
HHW   66  55  74  60 /  10   0  20  90

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

CORFIDI

SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....06



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