Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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779
FXUS64 KTSA 152147
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
347 PM CST Wed Nov 15 2017

.DISCUSSION...

A weak cold front has pushed southward across the area today, with
breezy north winds developing in its wake. The clearing line has
lagged behind, but sky conditions are expected to clear from north
to south this afternoon and evening. The front will then lift back
north early Thursday as a warm front, spreading clouds and
moisture back up across the area. A few scattered light rain
showers will be possible Thursday afternoon into Friday as warmer
and more humid air returns to the region.

A second and much stronger cold front will approach the region
Friday. Ahead of this system, strong southerly winds will develop,
with wind gusts reaching between 30-35 miles per hour at times,
especially west of HWY-69. This, with the expected unseasonably
warm temperatures, will create a high fire spread potential
Friday. High temperatures Friday could reach into the lower 80s
across west central portions of the state, especially if the
cloud cover breaks.

The cold front is forecast to push into the area early Saturday
morning. The timing of the front and limited dynamics will prevent
widespread precipitation, however slight chances of light rain
will remain across western Arkansas. Strong northerly winds are
expected behind the front, with wind gusts again reaching between
30-35 miles per hour, especially along and north of I-44. This
will continue the high fire spread potential into Saturday.

Behind the front, surface high pressure will settle into the
region bringing a period of mainly clear and cooler weather to the
area for the weekend and into next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   38  63  55  78 /   0   0  20  20
FSM   43  63  52  76 /   0  20  20  20
MLC   44  63  57  78 /   0  20  20  20
BVO   33  63  53  79 /   0   0  20  20
FYV   34  62  50  70 /   0   0  20  20
BYV   36  62  49  71 /   0   0  20  20
MKO   39  63  55  77 /   0  10  20  20
MIO   38  64  53  73 /   0   0  20  20
F10   40  63  57  78 /   0  20  20  20
HHW   53  62  57  78 /  10  20  20  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....16



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