Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 132326
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
626 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2014

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
LOW CLOUDS CONTINUE TO SLOWLY ERODE SERN OK/NWRN AR BUT MVFR CIGS
REMAIN MLC/FYV/FSM. WILL CONTINUE TO SHOW DECREASING LOW CLOUD
TREND NEXT FEW HOURS WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY 03Z.
OTHERWISE...VARIABLE AMOUNTS OF HIGH CLOUDS AND LIGHT WIND
EXPECTED THIS FORECAST PERIOD WITH SCT CU DEVELOPMENT AFTER 15Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 403 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2014/

DISCUSSION...
COLDEST REPORTED TEMPERATURES IN EASTERN OK OVERNIGHT
WERE IN NORTHWEST OSAGE COUNTY. FORAKER @ 42..BURBANK
AT 43 DEGREES.  A NUMBER OF STATIONS IN BENTON COUNTY
ARKANSAS WITH LOWS OF 48 DEGREES. XNA ROG VBT AND SLG.

CLOUDS STILL HOLDING OVER SOUTHEAST OK & WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS AT THIS TIME. A RAPID ANIMATION OF SATELLITE
SHOWS LOWER CLOUDS MOVING..ERODING FROM THE NORTHEAST
WHILE MID/HIGHER LEVEL CLOUDS NM AND NORTH TX ALREADY
STREAMING NORTHEAST.

LOWS TONIGHT LOWER THAN LAST NIGHT AT MOST LOCATIONS
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40 DUE TO LIGHT WINDS.  VARIABLE
CLOUD  SOUTH OF I40  WILL HOLD TEMPERATURES UP SOME.

FAIR / DRY SUNDAY WITH A VARIABLE AMOUNT CLOUD COVER.
TEMPERATURES IN THE  PLEASANT  MID 70S TO AROUND 80.

FORECAST CHALLENGES BEGINS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. BROAD UPPER WAVE DROPS FROM
THE WESTERN CANADIAN PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES AREA.
THIS PUTS OUR REGION IN BRISK NORTHWEST FLOW PUSHING
A COLD FRONT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.  FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WILL THEN HANG UP..NEAR..OR JUST SOUTH OF OUR REGION
TUESDAY / WEDNESDAY. THIS RESULTS IN SEVERAL PERIODS
OF CHANCE PRECIPITATION. BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK
H500 RIDGE FIRMLY IN CONTROL WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   52  78  66  81 /   0  10  30  50
FSM   54  78  64  79 /   0   0  20  40
MLC   54  78  65  81 /   0   0  20  30
BVO   45  78  62  82 /   0   0  30  60
FYV   45  75  59  75 /   0   0  20  60
BYV   45  74  58  76 /   0   0  20  60
MKO   52  77  63  78 /   0  10  30  40
MIO   47  76  61  79 /   0   0  20  60
F10   54  77  64  80 /   0  10  30  40
HHW   57  77  64  82 /   0  10  20  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$




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