Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 072159
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Tulsa OK
359 PM CST SUN FEB 7 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front is moving across the area late this afternoon and
evening, and will bring colder temperatures Monday, along with
strong and gusty northwest winds. A wind advisory may be needed
for parts of the area Monday, but will defer the decision on this
to the overnight shift.

Periodic frontal boundaries will move across the area over the
next week, but the brunt of the colder air will remain to our
north and east. Meanwhile, an upper ridge over the western U.S.
will bring much above normal temperatures to our south and west.
We will be in the battleground between these airmasses, making the
temperatre forecast nearly impossible to pin down each day from
Wednesday on. This continues to be reflected in the ensemble MOS
guidance, with 30-40 degree spreads each day between the warmest
and coldest ECMWF member from Wednesday through next weekend. The
one certainty is that we will remain dry until at least late next
weekend, when low rain chances may return.

Stayed close to guidance temperatures the next couple days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   32  48  28  52 /   0  10   0   0
FSM   33  47  29  51 /   0  10   0   0
MLC   33  50  30  55 /   0  10   0   0
BVO   31  47  27  51 /   0  10   0   0
FYV   29  40  24  44 /   0  10   0   0
BYV   31  40  24  42 /   0  10   0   0
MKO   31  47  28  51 /   0  10   0   0
MIO   31  43  25  46 /   0  10   0   0
F10   33  49  29  54 /   0  10   0   0
HHW   34  52  30  56 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....05

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