Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 132311
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
611 PM CDT MON MAY 13 2013

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. LLWS WILL
DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AT KFSM AS THE LOW LEVEL JET INCREASES AND WILL
PERISST UNTIL MID MORNING TUESDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 350 PM CDT MON MAY 13 2013/

DISCUSSION...
35 TO 45 DEGREE TEMPERATURE SWING FROM MORNING LOWS
TO AFTERNOON HIGHS TODAY. VERY WARM SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL HOLD TEMPS UP OVERNIGHT.  TUESDAY LIKELY A FEW
DEGREES WARMER. BREEZY AND VERY MILD TUESDAY NIGHT.

GOOD MOISTURE RETURN WILL FEED UPPER SYSTEM MOVING
EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY.
HIGHEST POP SOUTHEAST OK WEST CENTRAL/NORTHWEST AR.

NEXT SIGNIFICANT RAIN CHANCE ABOUT SUNDAY AS UPPER
SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS PUSHES AN
ENERGETIC COLD FRONT OUR WAY FOR THE LATER PART OF
THE WEEKEND. ECMWF/GFS IN SOME AGREEMENT BUT STILL
FAR ENOUGH APART TO GENERATE TIMING DIFFICULTIES.
GW

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.

&&

$$

AVIATION...05
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