Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 192342
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
642 PM CDT SAT JUL 19 2014

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
CU CLOUD NE OKLAHOMA NW ARKANSAS DISSIPATING THIS EVENING.
THICKER CU LINGERING LONGER SE OKLAHOMA AND IN VICINITY
TAF SITE KMLC. GENERALLY VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD...EXCEPT
RISK BRIEF PERIOD 3-5 MILE EARLY MORNING FOG AT TAF SITES
KFYV KXNA.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 325 PM CDT SAT JUL 19 2014/

DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS CONTINUE TO HANG ON THIS AFTERNOON OVER MUCH OF THE AREA
WITH TEMPS STILL ONLY IN THE MID-UPPER 70S AT 3 PM. EVENTUAL FATE
OF CLOUDS WILL BE MAIN QUESTION TONIGHT. VIS SATELLITE SHOWING
THICKER CLOUDS PERSISTING OVER SOUTHEAST OK AND THIS AREA WILL
LIKELY BE THE LAST TO SEE SIGNIFICANT CLEARING. LOW LEVEL WIND
FIELDS REMAIN FAIRLY WEAK AND MAINLY EASTERLY BUT MAY BEING TO
INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH LATER TONIGHT TO AID IN CLEARING. IN ANY
CASE ANOTHER NIGHT OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPS...NO RECORDS HOWEVER.

SIGNIFICANT WARM UP SHOULD COMMENCE MONDAY WITH RISING MID LEVEL
HEIGHTS SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE WEST...WITH THE TREND
CONTINUING INTO TUESDAY. WEAK FRONT MAKES A RUN AT US BY MID WEEK
WITH A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO KNOCK BACK THE
WARM UP SLIGHTLY FOR A DAY OR TWO. RIDGE THEN WILL RE-ASSERT
ITSELF LATE IN THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH POSSIBLE RETURN
OF TRIPLE DIGIT TEMPS BY THEN. STRONGER...THOUGH NOT AS STRONG AS
WHAT WE JUST EXPERIENCED...COLD FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING JUST
BEYOND THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   66  90  72  94 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   64  90  69  94 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   65  90  70  94 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   62  90  68  95 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   58  86  64  90 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   60  86  66  90 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   63  89  69  93 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   62  89  68  94 /   0   0   0   0
F10   66  89  70  93 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   66  90  69  93 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...21




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