Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 171656
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1156 AM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014

.DISCUSSION...

THE 18Z TAF DISCUSSION IS INCLUDED BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
SFC HI PRES BUILDING INTO THE REGION BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL
MAINTAIN VFR CONDITIONS THRU THE FCST PD. SFC WINDS WILL REMAIN
AOB 12 KTS THRU THE PD.

LACY

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1100 AM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014/

DISCUSSION...

COLD FRONT NOW LYING FROM W CNTRL AR DOWN INTO SE OK AND MOVING
SOUTH AS SFC HI PRES...CENTERED OVER WESTERN NEB BENEATH WEAK MID
LVL CONFLUENT AGEOSTROPHIC FLOW...SETTLES SLOWLY SOUTHEAST. ASIDE
FROM SOME PASSING HIGH CLOUDS IN THE HIGH LVL MOIST PLUME
DOWNSTREAM FROM AN UPPER DISTURBANCE NEAR YUMA AZ...THE WEATHER
WILL BE TRANQUIL AND QUITE PLEASANT TODAY WITH COOLER AFTERNOON
HIGHS THAN YESTERDAY BY SEVERAL DEGREES.

LACY

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 538 AM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014/

AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE VALID
PERIOD AT ALL ARE TAF SITES.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 313 AM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014/

DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT...CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS EARLY THIS MORNING...WILL PUSH SOUTH INTO THE ARKLATX
REGION BY LATE AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH NOT AS WARM AS YESTERDAY...HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

A RETURN TO MORE TYPICAL FALL LIKE WEATHER EXPECTED INTO THE WEEKEND
AS STRONGER SURGE OF COLDER AIR BUILDS INTO THE CENTRAL/EASTERN
CONUS. SOUTHERLY WINDS BRIEFLY RETURN SUNDAY IN ADVANCE OF NEXT
COLD FRONT FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE AREA MONDAY. COULD SEE JUST
ENOUGH MOISTURE RETURN BY THIS TIME...FOR A FEW SHOWERS WITH FRONT
ALTHOUGH PRECIPITATION COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIMITED.
COOL/DRY CONDITIONS TUESDAY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK
WEEK BEHIND FRONT. SURFACE RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA AS
BLOCKING PATTERN ALOFT DEVELOPS WITH STALLED UPPER LOW OVER THE
EASTERN COAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   78  49  69  48 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   80  50  72  48 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   80  51  72  48 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   76  42  67  41 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   76  45  66  40 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   76  46  65  42 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   78  48  69  47 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   75  45  66  43 /   0   0   0   0
F10   79  51  69  48 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   82  54  75  49 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...30




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