Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 301709
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1209 PM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the forecast period
as frontal boundary lifts north of the area/dissipates. isolated
shower or storm possible near NW AR sites again today but prob too
low to include in forecast at this time.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1035 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

DISCUSSION...
A few showers were noted earlier within weakening frontal zone
stretching across SE OK/NW AR, and some additional development
remains possible through this afternoon. forecast basically in
good shape, though have removed pops from the morning period.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 638 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Patchy light fog nay reduce visibilities to MVFR at some sites
through about 14z. Otherwise...VFR conditions will prevail through
the forecast period. Isolated convection will be possible near the
northwest Arkansas sites today...but the chances of any individual
site being impacted are too low to include in the TAF`s.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 405 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

DISCUSSION...
Isolated showers/thunderstorms currently east
of boundary..running from south central OK to
southwest MO. Low grade pops that area today.

Broad h500 ridge  from the southern / central
plains to the  northeastern states will be in
control for about the next week. This results
in  long stretch of generally dry weather for
our area.  Isolated showers or thunder may be
generated  over the  higher terrain southeast
OK and northwest Arkansas in daytime heat but
not enough for 20% pop.

all in all-dry with temperatures not far from
seasonal normals.                          gw

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   89  71  93  72 /  10   0   0   0
FSM   91  72  93  71 /  20  30  10  10
MLC   92  72  93  71 /  10  20   0  10
BVO   87  65  93  69 /  10   0   0   0
FYV   86  68  88  66 /  20  30  10  10
BYV   85  69  88  68 /  20  30  10  10
MKO   87  69  90  69 /  10  20  10   0
MIO   86  69  92  69 /  20  20   0   0
F10   89  71  92  71 /  10   0   0  10
HHW   94  69  95  70 /  20  20  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....12
AVIATION...14



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