Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 301101
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Tulsa OK
601 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
MVFR/IFR cigs will prevail through the morning across most of the
TAF sites...with brief LIFR cigs and MVFR vsbys possible through
mid morning across KMLC. Once cigs lift...VFR conditions will
prevail from afternoon through the remainder of the TAF period at
all sites.



&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 339 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Convection has shifted east of the forecast area this morning with
the advancing cold front currently located across eastern OK. The
front will move slowly eastward today allowing for instability to
again develop across portions of western AR by afternoon. Limited
convergence along the boundary along with meager synoptic lift
is expected to keep any redevelopment along the front isolated.

The front is pushed further southeastward tonight allowing for
lower dewpoints and cooler overnight low temps. Increasing
cloudiness admist the post frontal airmass will keep high temps
cooler Sunday with increasing chances for light precip Sunday
night into Monday.

An amplifed and blocky pattern develops across the CONUS for much
of next week...with the central states beneath ridging aloft yielding
tranquil conditions and average temps slightly below normal. The
pattern will be slow to evolve with precip chances possibily
returning next weekend.

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...23



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