Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 282057
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
357 PM CDT THU AUG 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER WAVE CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER COLORADO WILL
MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE PLAINS INTO THE GREAT
LAKES REGION THIS WEEKEND. THE SOUTH END OF THIS
WAVE WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO OUR
FORECAST AREA BEGINNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.5 - 1.8 LIKELY TO
MAKE  UPWARDS OF  ONE HALF INCH OF PRECIPITATION
ALL AREAS. HIGHEST LIKELIHOOD OF RAIN FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT. A COOL FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER
WAVE WILL NEVER QUITE MAKE INTO EASTERN OK...BUT
RATHER  STRETCH OUT  SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST FROM
SOUTHEAST KANSAS  TO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES  BY
SATURDAY.

SATURDAY NOT A WASH OUT FOR THIS HOLIDAY WEEKEND
BUT NONETHELESS CHANCE POPS ESPECIALLY SOUTHEAST.
SUNDAY DRY WITH SEASONAL TEMPS.

WESTERLY FLOW ON LABOR DAY WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARY
STRETCHED OUT ACROSS KANSAS PUTS NORTHERN BORDER
AREAS AT RISK FOR CHANCE SHOWERS / THUNDERSTORMS.

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS AGAIN MOST OF NEXT WEEK.
GW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   74  90  73  90 /  70  70  40  20
FSM   74  90  73  90 /  30  60  50  60
MLC   74  89  73  90 /  50  60  40  50
BVO   69  87  68  91 /  70  70  40  10
FYV   67  86  70  86 /  30  60  60  40
BYV   68  86  70  86 /  20  60  60  40
MKO   72  87  72  89 /  40  70  40  40
MIO   72  86  70  88 /  30  70  50  30
F10   72  89  72  89 /  70  70  40  40
HHW   72  90  73  90 /  30  40  30  40

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....21





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