Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 021734
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1234 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...
PRIMARILY ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. BRIEF IFR CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER STORMS. LIGHT RAIN OVER FYV/FSM WILL
SLOWLY DISSIPATE/SHIFT SOUTHEAST. DECREASING PRECIP CHANCES THIS
EVENING WITH ONLY MID/HIGH CLOUDS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1043 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH WAS CANCELED FOR NORTHERN TIER OF COUNTIES...WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR AREA FROM SOUTHERN CREEK COUNTY TOWARD FSM
AREA AS RE-DEVELOPMENT CONTINUES ON WESTERN FLANK OF CONVECTIVE
SYSTEM...HOWEVER STILL ANTICIPATE A GENERAL WEAKENING TREND OF
MORNING STORMS AS THEY GRADUALLY MOVE ESE. NOT CLEAR AT THIS POINT
HOW FAR SOUTH THIS ACTIVITY WILL PROGRESS. UPDATED POP FORECAST
REFLECTS CURRENT AND EXPECTED TRENDS OVER NEXT FEW HOURS. TEMPS
ALSO LOWERED CONSIDERABLY OVER PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL OK AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS. LATE AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM CHANCES HAVE BEEN
LEFT AS THEY WERE FOR THE TIME BEING...MAY NEED TO CONSIDER
ADDING SOME CHANCE ALONG RED RIVER AS AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WILL
LIKELY BE PRESENT THERE DURING THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...12




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