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000
FNUS73 KUNR 222347
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for Schenk Canyon Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
547 PM MDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0000 MDT on April 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Breezy northwest winds today will subside this
evening. Dry and breezy weather is expected through Wednesday,
with temperatures reaching the 70s by then. Elevated fire weather
conditions will continue. Probability of sustained 20 mph
winds continues to be around 10 percent. A few clouds may be
possible on Tuesday, with a better chance for cloud cover on
Wednesday. An unsettled pattern will develop Thursday through the
weekend, bringing increasing chances of rain, along with cooler
temperatures.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 34.
Max humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 22 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......8900 to 9400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 30 mph decreasing to around 15
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 10 mph with gusts to
                    around 16 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7800 to 8300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.

$$
Forecaster...AD
Requested by...Josh Behlings
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411715.1/UNR
.DELDT 04/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joshua.behlings@usda.gov