Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS61 KILN 241054
AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
654 AM EDT Mon Jul 24 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will move through the region today. High pressure
will work into the area tonight and allow for dry conditions
through Wednesday. Showers and thunderstorms will return for
Thursday and Thursday night as a cold front approaches and
moves through the region.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
A few showers have been on radar overnight and cannot rule out
additional isolated light showers for the remainder of the
overnight hours and into the daytime morning hours with a
frontal boundary working into the region.

Expect most of the fog activity early this morning to be
confined to eastern and southeastern portions of the forecast
area.

As the day progresses the cold front will work through the
region. There will be some instability across locations
primarily southeast of Interstate 71 today. Thunderstorms are
generally expected to be confined to locations along and
southeast of Interstate 71 this afternoon. Any precipitation
across the region is expected to taper off by this evening.

With the front working into the region today expect temperatures
to be cooler with highs in the middle 70s across northwestern
portions of the forecast area to middle 80s across southern
portions of the region.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
High pressure will work into the region tonight and remain
across the area for the short term period. Tranquil weather
conditions are expected along with cooler than normal
temperatures for this time of year.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Ridge of high pressure will continue to extend across the region
into Wednesday with dry conditions and nearly seasonal temperatures.

A short wave will drop southeast through the Great Lakes on
Thursday pushing a cold front towards the area. Showers and
thunderstorms will increase in coverage through the day and
continue into the evening. As the cold front moves through
Thursday night, precipitation will end.

Upper level long wave trough will become established and persist
through the weekend. At the surface, high pressure will remain
centered to the northwest of the area bringing a prolonged period of
northeasterly winds. This fetch off of Lake Erie may bring some
extra clouds and perhaps even a few showers into northwest counties.
Temperatures will be slightly below normal Friday through the
weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Fog this morning will improve as the morning progresses. There
are some isolated low cigs around and there will be the
possibility of these briefly moving in the TAF sites this
morning. In addition later today some MVFR cigs may work into
the TAF sites. Believe these will be more isolated in nature and
therefore went with VFR conditions later today.

A cold front will move through the TAF sites today. Although
isolated showers and storms will be around the region, with the
isolated nature of the precipitation did not include in the
TAFs.

Cloud cover will decrease this evening after the passage of the
frontal boundary. Some fog will be possible then tonight at
KLUK. There is also the potential for fog at the other area TAF
sites tonight as well, but with drier air moving in kept fog
mention to the more fog prone KLUK site.

OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms will be possible Thursday into Thursday
night.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Novak
NEAR TERM...Novak
SHORT TERM...Novak
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...Novak



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.