Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 240005
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
605 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2014

.UPDATE...

Update to cancel the rest of the high Wind Warning for the Guadalupe
and Davis Mountains, and to allow the Wind Advisory to expire.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Westerly winds were beginning to subside as late afternoon
temperatures cooled, and a cold front moves into the area with
lesser northerly winds behind it.  Winds were also decreasing in the
Guadalupe and Davis Mountains as of 23/2330Z, although speeds were
still around 40 mph sustained with gusts around 55 mph.  Speeds
should trend down more in the mountains too within the next hour as
decoupling commences.  Will go ahead and allow the Wind Advisory to
expire at 24/00Z, but will also cancel the rest of the High Wind
Warning for the Guadalupe and Davis Mountains due to the expected
downtrend in wind speeds there.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 528 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...

See 00z aviation discussion below.

AVIATION...

Very gusty west to northwest winds will shift towards the north as a
cold front comes into the area.  Wind speeds will decrease over the
next few hours as this wind shift takes place but winds will still
remain elevated with some gusts.  Light north to northwest winds are
expected by 06z.  Winds will remain light but become more westerly
by 12z.  There is a slight chance of reduced visibilities and
ceilings briefly around 12z for HOB and MAF.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 247 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...As of 2:45 PM CST Sunday...Sunny and breezy/windy
conditions continue across West Texas and Southeast New Mexico this
afternoon. Temperatures are quite mild...mainly in the 60s and 70s
across the Plains with 50s in the mountains. A dry cold front is
moving south out of the Panhandle.

Strong winds will continue thru the aftn in the Plains...therefore
have left the Wind Advisory as is. The High Wind Warnings for the
mountain locations will continue thru the evening hours...however
not very confident with this as the models decrease the winds thru
the evening hours as the sfc gradient relaxes.

A couple of dry cold fronts will keep temps below normal for the
beginning of the work week. Flat ridging...along with lee side sfc
troughing along the Front Range will bring low level southwest
downslope flow to the area starting on Wednesday. Temps will
warm to near normal Wednesday...with above normal temps from
Thanksgiving right thru next weekend. With this pattern no
precipitation is expected for the next week...at least.

Strobin

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 32  56  31  53  /   0   0   0   0
BIG SPRING TX              35  60  33  57  /   0   0   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                28  58  29  53  /   0   0   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  39  66  38  60  /   0   0   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           35  61  34  55  /   0   0   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          31  51  27  46  /   0   0   0   0
HOBBS NM                   29  53  28  52  /   0   0   0   0
MARFA TX                   22  53  23  50  /   0   0   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    30  59  33  54  /   0   0   0   0
ODESSA TX                  32  59  33  53  /   0   0   0   0
WINK TX                    33  59  31  54  /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

99/99

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