Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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Winter/Spring Flood Potential Outlook
National Weather Service Charleston WV
100 PM EST Thu Feb 16 2017

...The flood potential is expected to be normal during the next
two weeks...

The flood potential for the next two weeks will be considered
normal for the streams in the Charleston Hydrologic Service Area
(HSA). Normal flood potential means occasional flooding could
occur with water levels having minor impacts.

Flood Outlooks are issued biweekly by the National Weather
Service in the winter and early spring to summarize basin hydro
meteorological conditions and to assess the potential for spring
flooding. The outlooks are based on current and expected
conditions...realizing that actual conditions may change during
the outlook period.

Factors to consider when assessing flood potential are:

Water content of the snowpack...the wetness of the
soils...widespread heavy rainfall...high streamflows...and
reservoir levels and ice coverage on the rivers.

Precipitation...
Precipitation was near normal for the past 30 days over much of
the HSA. Little or no rain is expected into the middle of next
week.

Soil Conditions...
Soils are wet to moist. This can cause efficient runoff from any
future rain.

Snow Cover and Snow Water Equivalent...
Snow cover of a trace to 2 inches was confined to the higher
elevations of the Eastern Mountains of West Virginia. Elsewhere,
no snow was reported. Snow water equivalents range from a Trace to
a half inch in the higher elevation snow pack.

Reservoirs Capacity...
Reservoir levels are normal for this time of year.

River Ice Conditions...
No river ice was reported.

River Flows...
River flows have averaged normal on all rivers.

The Hydrologic Outlook through the next two weeks...
It is expected that late February into early March will be
relatively quiet in the Ohio Valley...with weak systems traversing
the HSA with limited precipitation.  Temperatures are forecast to
be normal to slightly above normal and precipitation averaging
normal to below normal.

Real time river information and forecasts for specific locations
along rivers across Eastern Kentucky...Southeast Ohio...Buchanan
and Dickenson counties in Southwest Virginia and much of West
Virginia can be found at:

water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=rlx

or at

www.weather.gov/ohrfc
and click on the 90-day river outlook on the left hand side of
the page. Click on FLOOD CHC VS NORMAL to view the risk of flooding
with respect to normal.

Rainfall is the primary factor leading to flooding. Heavy or
excessive rainfall can cause flooding any time of the year even
where the flood potential is below normal.


$$
Sikora



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