Extended Streamflow Prediction
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000
FGUS65 KSTR 101835
ESPNM
TTAA00 KSLR DDHHMM
COLORADO BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
SALT LAKE CITY UT
MAR 9, 2015

WATER SUPPLY INFORMATION FOR
    SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN


PRECIPITATION (% OF AVERAGE) AND SNOWPACK (% OF MEDIAN):

SUBBASIN                 FEB PRECIP     OCT-FEB PREC    MAR 1 SNOWPACK
----------------------   ----------     ------------    ---------------
ABOVE NAVAJO RES             110             80                70
ANIMAS                        95             80                70
LOWER SAN JUAN                70             75                 -

******************************************************************************
OBSERVED STREAMFLOW SUMMARY (% OF AVERAGE):

                         FEB FLOW       OCT-FEB FLOW
----------------------   --------       ------------
BASIN AVERAGE               100%            110%

******************************************************************************
RESERVOIR STORAGE AS OF MAR 1:

RESERVOIR                % AVERAGE
---------------------    ----------
NAVAJO                       85
VALLECITO                   157
LEMON                       106

TOTAL                        88


Developed:                    Mar 1 2015


San Juan River Basin
                                  Period      MP   MP%   RMAX   RMIN    AVG
                                  ------    ----   ---   ----   ----    ---
San Juan River
  Pagosa Springs                  Apr-Jul    125    58    185     80    215
  Carracas, nr                    Apr-Jul    200    53    300    135    380
Rio Blanco River
  Pagosa Springs, nr, Blanco Dam  Apr-Jul     35    65     50     24     54
Navajo River
  Chromo, nr, Oso Div Dam, blo    Apr-Jul     38    58     52     25     65
Piedra River
  Arboles, nr                     Apr-Jul    136    65    200     75    210
Los Pinos River
  Vallecito Res, Bayfield, nr     Apr-Jul    150    77    200     95    194
San Juan River
  Navajo Res, Archuleta, nr       Apr-Jul    415    56    650    215    735
Florida River
  Lemon Res, Durango, nr          Apr-Jul     38    69     55     21     55
Animas River
  Durango                         Apr-Jul    315    76    450    220    415
San Juan River
  Farmington                      Apr-Jul    655    60    970    370   1100
La Plata River
  Hesperus                        Apr-Jul   15.0    65     24    9.0     23
San Juan River
  Bluff, nr                       Apr-Jul    630    57    930    340   1100
Mancos River
  Mancos, nr                      Apr-Jul   19.0    61     31   10.0     31

MP    50% exceedance (Most probable) volume in 1000 acre-feet.
MP%   50% exceedance (Most probable) volume in percent of the 1981-2010 average.
RMAX  Volume that has a 10 percent chance of being exceeded.
RMIN  Volume that has a 90 percent chance of being exceeded.
AVG   Average volume for the 1981-2010 period.

All forecast volumes reflect natural flow.  Actual observed flow may
be affected by upstream water management.

CBRFC/G. Smith




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