Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS51 KCTP 201605
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
1105 AM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
The weather for Thanksgiving week looks fairly good overall. An
early week mild temperature swing will be followed by another shot
of cold air Tuesday night into Wednesday. Dry weather with near
average temperatures is expected through Thanksgiving Day. Winds
will remain gusty through midweek with minimum RH dropping into
the 30s on Tuesday.

PAZ004>006-010-011-202115-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
1105 AM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Tue

Cloud Cover                     PCldy       MClear       MClear
Precip Type              Snow Showers         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                  30            0            0
Temp (24h trend)              39 (+3)      28 (+1)           50
RH % (24h trend)             46 (-18)     75 (-21)           34
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W 10 G23                 SW 10 G24
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)        SW 10 G24    SW  8 G18    SW 11 G27
Precip Amount                    0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     1
Precip Begin                     6 AM
Precip End                      11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3840          280         2570
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 28         S 13        SW 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              102920            0        72290
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain and snow showers likely. Lows in
the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs
in the mid 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper
30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered snow or rain showers. Lows
in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

PAZ012-017-018-202115-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
1105 AM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Tue

Cloud Cover                     PCldy       MClear       MClear
Precip Type                      None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)              41 (+2)       28 (0)           52
RH % (24h trend)             44 (-13)     72 (-20)           34
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W 12 G24                 SW  8 G21
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 10 G23        SW  6    SW 11 G23
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3670          170         2900
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 29         S  7        SW 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              103790            0        65960
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            5
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Snow showers likely and a chance of
rain showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 30s.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the upper 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower
40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain or snow
showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. West
winds 15 to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers.
Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. West winds 20 to
30 mph.

$$

PAZ024-033-202115-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
1105 AM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Tue

Cloud Cover                    MClear        Clear        Clear
Precip Type                      None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)              39 (+4)      30 (+5)           51
RH % (24h trend)             43 (-18)     69 (-27)           37
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W 12 G25                 SW 11 G27
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)        SW 10 G23    SW  7 G17    SW 12 G25
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           2890            0         2840
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 28        SW  6        SW 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               85860            0        73090
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            5
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows around
30. Highs in the mid 30s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs
in the upper 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower
40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain or snow
showers. Lows around 30. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds 20 to
25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers. Lows in
the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. West winds 20 to 30 mph.

$$

PAZ019-025>028-034-035-202115-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, and McConnellsburg
1105 AM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Tue

Cloud Cover                     PCldy       MClear        Clear
Precip Type                      None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)              44 (+2)      29 (-2)           54
RH % (24h trend)             38 (-16)      85 (-7)           32
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W 12 G24                 SW  6 G20
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W  9 G21        SW  5    SW  9 G21
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3350           70         3260
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 18         S  6        SW 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               70630            0        73900
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            5
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs
around 40. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. West winds 15 to
25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers. Lows in
the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds 20 to 30 mph.

$$

PAZ037-041-042-202115-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
1105 AM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Tue

Cloud Cover                     PCldy       MClear       MClear
Precip Type                      None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)              41 (+1)      27 (-1)           50
RH % (24h trend)             46 (-11)     78 (-14)           33
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W 11 G23                  S  8 G20
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 11 G24    SW  7 G17    SW 11 G24
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           4100          110         2450
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 26         S  9        SW 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              110330            0        71940
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 30s. Northwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs
in the upper 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs around 40.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain or snow showers. Lows
in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers.
Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. West winds 20 to
30 mph.

$$

PAZ045-046-049>053-202115-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, and Berwick
1105 AM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Tue

Cloud Cover                     PCldy       MClear       MClear
Precip Type                      None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)              44 (-1)      27 (-5)           52
RH % (24h trend)              43 (-9)       88 (0)           34
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W 10 G22                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W  9 G21      LGT/VAR     S  7 G18
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3630          130         2360
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 18         S  6         S 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               67880            0        52270
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 2            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
lower 40s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the lower 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows around 30. Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers. Lows
around 30. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds 15 to 25 mph.

$$

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-202115-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
1105 AM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Tue

Cloud Cover                    MClear       MClear        Clear
Precip Type                      None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)              46 (-1)      28 (-5)           54
RH % (24h trend)             37 (-12)      88 (+9)           34
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W 10 G22                  S  5 G18
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W  9 G19      LGT/VAR     S  8 G19
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3570            0         1940
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 20        SW  6         S 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               69560            0        44960
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            5            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in
the lower 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers. Lows
in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 15 to
25 mph.

$$

PAZ058-202115-
Schuylkill-
Including the city of Pottsville
1105 AM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Tue

Cloud Cover                     PCldy       MClear        Clear
Precip Type                      None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)              43 (-3)      28 (-4)           51
RH % (24h trend)              45 (-7)      88 (+7)           39
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W 10 G21                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W  9 G21      LGT/VAR         S  7
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3720          120         1640
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 21         S  6         S 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               82850            0        25860
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
40s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the lower 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows around 30. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the upper 30s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


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