Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 191155
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
655 AM EST THU JAN 19 2017

...ANOTHER ROUND OF WARM AND WET WEATHER ON THE WAY...

.DISCUSSION...AN APPROACHING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TO EASTERN KENTUCKY FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE AT TIMES. THE RAIN WILL TAPER OFF FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST ON FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE
TODAY AND TOMORROW...WITH HIGHS READINGS OUT FROM THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S TODAY AND IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S ON FRIDAY.

KYZ068-079-083-084-192130-
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BRODHEAD, MOUNT VERNON, BURNSIDE,
SOMERSET, MONTICELLO, STEARNS, AND WHITLEY CITY
655 AM EST THU JAN 19 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....11.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10600 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................11.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.10 - 0.20 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................20.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.35 - 0.80 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING, THEN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....34.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (34300 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................32.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.10 INCHES.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-192130-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF FLEMINGSBURG, CAMARGO, JEFFERSONVILLE,
MOUNT STERLING, OWINGSVILLE, MOREHEAD, IRVINE, RAVENNA,
CLAY CITY, STANTON, FRENCHBURG, SANDY HOOK, WEST LIBERTY,
PAINTSVILLE, CAMPTON, SALYERSVILLE, AND INEZ
655 AM EST THU JAN 19 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....10.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10300 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................12.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING,
                    THEN WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................10.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.20 - 0.60 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED
                    RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....62.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (61600 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................42 INCREASING TO 52 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 - 0.10 INCHES.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-192130-
JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MCKEE, ANNVILLE, LONDON, CORBIN,
WILLIAMSBURG, BARBOURVILLE, MIDDLESBORO, PINEVILLE, CUMBERLAND,
HARLAN, PRESTONSBURG, WHEELWRIGHT, BEATTYVILLE, JACKSON, HINDMAN,
PIPPA PASSES, BOONEVILLE, HAZARD, MANCHESTER, HYDEN, JENKINS,
WHITESBURG, COAL RUN, ELKHORN CITY, PIKEVILLE,
AND SOUTH WILLIAMSON
655 AM EST THU JAN 19 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX.... 9.
VENT RATE...........POOR (9100 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................10.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.15 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING,
                    THEN WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
   24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................12.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.15 - 0.60 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING, THEN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....50.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (49800 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................39.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 - 0.10 INCHES.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING, THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING.
.MONDAY...COOLER. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS LIKELY IN
THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 40. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
GREIF



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