Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 310948
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
548 AM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

.DISCUSSION...A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT NEAR THE OHIO RIVER, A MOIST
AIRMASS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA AND PASSING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES
WILL BRING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. THE BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO SETTLE ACROSS
THE AREA ON TUESDAY WITH DRIER AIR BRIEFLY FILTERING INTO THE AREA
FOR TUESDAY WITH DRY WEATHER EXPECTED. HOWEVER...THE BOUNDARY WILL
RETURN NORTH AS A WARM FRONT AROUND MIDWEEK...WITH ANOTHER PERIOD
OF UNSETTLED WEATHER FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK.

KYZ068-079-083-084-312030-
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROADHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...BURNSIDE...
SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY
548 AM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....53.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (52600 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................19 INCREASING TO 29 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.02 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG
                    DEVELOPING TOWARDS DAWN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH LATE.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................26 DECREASING TO 1 LATE.
LVORI...............8.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 0 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....47.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (47300 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................17 INCREASING TO 32 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.06 INCHES.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-312030-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...
INEZ
548 AM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....61.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (61100 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................32.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG
                    DEVELOPING TOWARDS DAWN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................38 DECREASING TO 1 LATE.
LVORI...............8.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 0 TO 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....62.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (61600 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................33.
LVORI...............7.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.04 INCHES.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-312030-
JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...LONDON...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...COAL RUN...
ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
548 AM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....55.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (54500 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................20 INCREASING TO 31 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.17 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING TOWARDS DAWN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................34 DECREASING TO 1 LATE.
LVORI...............8.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 0 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5
                    TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....50.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (50300 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................26.
LVORI...............7.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.04 INCHES.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
JP



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