Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 222124
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
324 PM CST Thu Feb 22 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Fire weather concerns are very low for the next week. Several
rounds of showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected
through Saturday night. Flooding is a major concern. Strong to
severe thunderstorms are also possible Saturday capable of
producing damaging wind. Temperatures will remain above normal.
Temperatures will turn slightly cooler Sunday into next week, but
remain above normal. Rain chances will diminish Sunday into early
next week, but return by midweek.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-231115-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Lawrence-Mississippi-Pemiscot-
Poinsett-Randolph-
324 PM CST Thu Feb 22 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     100          90           70           90
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    1.62         0.48         0.22         0.89
Precip Dur (hrs)      12           12           9            11
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      52 (+16)     61 (+11)     56           73
RH % (24h Trend)      100 (0)      79 (-8)      100          70
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                SW 2-6                    S 7-11 G17
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   E 2-6        Lgt/Var      E 2-6        S 11-15 G22
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 319                       875
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                1047                      2872
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 405                       961
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                1329                      3154
Transport Wnd (m/s)                NW  2                     S 14
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW  5                     S 31
Vent Index (m2/s)                  810                       13454
Category Day                       1                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              62                        69
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               W  4                      S 14
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               W  9                      S 30
Dispersion Index      11           13           10           83
LAL                   3            2            3            5
LASI                  2            2            3            3
Stability             D            D            D            D
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower
40s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph becoming north after midnight.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 76 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Rain likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of rain. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
50s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-231115-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
324 PM CST Thu Feb 22 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     80           80           70           80
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.78         0.79         0.15         0.47
Precip Dur (hrs)      12           11           9            7
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      55 (+18)     66 (+13)     60           75
RH % (24h Trend)      100 (0)      78 (-13)     100          67
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                SW 4-8                    S 8-12 G18
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      N 2-6        E 2-6        S 12-16 G22
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 185                       997
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                607                       3270
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 247                       1059
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                810                       3474
Transport Wnd (m/s)                NW  3                     S 15
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW  6                     S 35
Vent Index (m2/s)                  741                       15885
Category Day                       1                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              69                        70
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               W  6                      S 13
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               W 13                      S 28
Dispersion Index      12           10           15           81
LAL                   3            2            2            5
LASI                  2            2            3            3
Stability             D            D            D            D
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph becoming south in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of rain. Mostly clear. Lows in
the lower 40s. South winds around 5 mph becoming west after
midnight.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 76 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows around 50. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of rain. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
50s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-231115-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
324 PM CST Thu Feb 22 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     80           80           70           70
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.79         0.49         0.17         0.33
Precip Dur (hrs)      12           7            9            9
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      57 (+15)     68 (+13)     60           75
RH % (24h Trend)      97 (-2)      77 (-9)      98           64
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                SW 4-8                    S 6-10
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      W 3-7        Lgt/Var      S 9-13 G19
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 280                       1152
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                917                       3779
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 401                       1273
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                1314                      4176
Transport Wnd (m/s)                W  5                      SW 13
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 10                      SW 30
Vent Index (m2/s)                  2005                      16549
Category Day                       2                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              68                        69
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  8                     S 13
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 17                     S 28
Dispersion Index      15           30           12           84
LAL                   3            2            3            5
LASI                  2            2            3            3
Stability             D            D            D            D
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper
40s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 42 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. East winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 76 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Rain likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of rain. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
50s. Minimum RH 58 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-231115-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
324 PM CST Thu Feb 22 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     60           60           70           70
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.30         0.43         0.24         0.29
Precip Dur (hrs)      9            2            9            6
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      58 (+14)     71 (+15)     62           77
RH % (24h Trend)      97 (-2)      75 (-13)     98           63
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                SW 4-8                    S 7-11
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      SW 3-7       Lgt/Var      S 10-14 G19
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 280                       1235
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                917                       4051
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 401                       1356
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                1315                      4448
Transport Wnd (m/s)                W  5                      S 14
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 12                      S 31
Vent Index (m2/s)                  2005                      18984
Category Day                       2                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              69                        70
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  8                     S 12
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 18                     S 27
Dispersion Index      14           29           12           84
LAL                   3            2            2            5
LASI                  3            2            2            3
Stability             D            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper
40s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
41 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of rain. Partly cloudy. Lows in
the lower 40s. Light and variable winds becoming northwest around
5 mph after midnight.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 74 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows around 50. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of rain. Partly sunny. Highs around 60.
Minimum RH 58 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-231115-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
324 PM CST Thu Feb 22 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     60           40           50           60
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.14         0.21         0.26         0.27
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            2            2            6
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      60 (+15)     74 (+16)     63           78
RH % (24h Trend)      98 (-1)      72 (-17)     100          62
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 4-8                     S 7-11 G17
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SE 2-6       SW 3-7       E 2-6        S 11-15 G21
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 713                       1381
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                2338                      4532
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 784                       1453
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                2573                      4768
Transport Wnd (m/s)                W  5                      S 15
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 12                      S 35
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3920                      21795
Category Day                       2                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              72                        71
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  8                     S 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 17                     S 25
Dispersion Index      14           42           22           84
LAL                   2            2            2            3
LASI                  3            2            3            3
Stability             D            C            D            D
Stagnation Index      3            3            2            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 50.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph
becoming south in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of rain. Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid
40s. South winds around 5 mph becoming west after midnight.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 76 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Rain likely. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of rain. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-231115-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
324 PM CST Thu Feb 22 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     30           20           60           60
Precip Type           showers      tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.02         0.08         0.49         0.18
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            1            9            6
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      62 (+8)      79 (+14)     63           79
RH % (24h Trend)      94 (-4)      60 (-23)     99           56
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 3-7                     S 5-9
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SE 2-6       S 4-8        Lgt/Var      S 8-12
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 771                       1209
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                2531                      3968
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 895                       1333
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                2937                      4374
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  5                      S 12
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 12                      S 26
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4475                      15996
Category Day                       3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              71                        70
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  7                      S 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 15                      S 22
Dispersion Index      16           31           17           72
LAL                   2            2            2            3
LASI                  3            3            3            3
Stability             E            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower
50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph
becoming west in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid
40s. South winds around 5 mph becoming light and variable.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 74 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Rain likely. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SJM


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