Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 222016
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
316 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will move through the region tonight through early
Wednesday. Numerous showers and thunderstorms will accompany the
front tonight and early Wednesday followed by cooler and drier
weather through the end of the week.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-231100-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Lawrence-Mississippi-Pemiscot-
Poinsett-Randolph-
316 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip Chance (%)     50           0            0            0
Precip Type           tstms        NONE         NONE         NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.31         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      3
Precip Begins         6 PM
Precip Ends           6 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      69 (-6)      82 (-9)      60           82
RH % (24h Trend)      99 (+3)      50 (-10)     88           47
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                NE 4-8                    NE 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   NW 2-6       NE 4-8       NE 2-6       NE 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1364                      1633
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                4475                      5356
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1450                      1719
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                4758                      5641
Transport Wnd (m/s)                N  6                      NE  6
Transport Wnd (mph)                N 13                      NE 14
Vent Index (m2/s)                  8700                      10314
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              77                        77
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               NE  7                     NE  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               NE 15                     NE 13
Dispersion Index      17           46           5            46
LAL                   4            4            2            1
LASI                  3            4            5            5
Stability             D            B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-231100-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
316 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip Chance (%)     70           30           0            0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        NONE         NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.42         0.11         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      8            3
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      71 (-3)      82 (-10)     61           82
RH % (24h Trend)      97 (0)       59 (+2)      88           49
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                N 4-8                     NE 4-8
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      NE 5-9       NE 3-7       NE 5-9
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1523                      1429
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                4996                      4687
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1585                      1491
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                5200                      4891
Transport Wnd (m/s)                N  6                      NE  7
Transport Wnd (mph)                N 13                      NE 16
Vent Index (m2/s)                  9510                      10437
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              80                        77
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               NE  6                     NE  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               NE 14                     NE 16
Dispersion Index      14           36           13           50
LAL                   4            4            3            1
LASI                  3            3            4            4
Stability             D            C            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-231100-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
316 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        Clear        Clear
Precip Chance (%)     40           10           0            0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        NONE         NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.27         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      2
Precip Begins         6 PM
Precip Ends           6 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      68 (-7)      82 (-8)      59           82
RH % (24h Trend)      99 (0)       48 (-12)     95           44
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                N 3-7                     NE 2-6
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      N 4-8        N 2-6        NE 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1366                      1595
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                4482                      5232
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1489                      1718
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                4885                      5635
Transport Wnd (m/s)                N  5                      NE  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                N 10                      NE 12
Vent Index (m2/s)                  7445                      8590
Category Day                       3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              76                        76
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               N  6                      NE  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               N 13                      NE 11
Dispersion Index      28           36           4            42
LAL                   4            4            2            1
LASI                  3            4            5            4
Stability             D            B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. East winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-231100-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
316 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip Chance (%)     60           30           0            0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        NONE         NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.33         0.06         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      6            2
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      71 (-4)      82 (-9)      61           83
RH % (24h Trend)      97 (0)       53 (-3)      93           46
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                N 2-6                     NE 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      N 4-8        N 2-6        NE 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1419                      1409
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                4655                      4624
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1541                      1532
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                5055                      5026
Transport Wnd (m/s)                N  5                      NE  6
Transport Wnd (mph)                N 10                      NE 14
Vent Index (m2/s)                  7705                      9192
Category Day                       3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              78                        76
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               N  5                      NE  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               N 12                      NE 14
Dispersion Index      22           32           7            48
LAL                   4            4            3            1
LASI                  3            4            5            5
Stability             D            B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
65 percent. East winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-231100-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
316 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip Chance (%)     60           50           0            0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        NONE         NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.22         0.28         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      8            3
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      73 (0)       85 (-7)      65           84
RH % (24h Trend)      94 (-1)      62 (+8)      88           47
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   NE 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      N 4-8        N 3-7        NE 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1758                      1367
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                5767                      4486
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1829                      1439
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                6002                      4721
Transport Wnd (m/s)                N  5                      NE  6
Transport Wnd (mph)                N 12                      NE 14
Vent Index (m2/s)                  9145                      8634
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              82                        77
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               NE  5                     NE  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               NE 10                     NE 15
Dispersion Index      13           32           15           50
LAL                   4            4            3            1
LASI                  3            3            4            4
Stability             E            C            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
67 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-231100-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
316 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip Chance (%)     60           50           0            0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        NONE         NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.14         0.26         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      6            2
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      72 (-2)      85 (-7)      65           85
RH % (24h Trend)      92 (-1)      58 (+10)     90           43
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   NE 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      N 3-7        N 2-6        NE 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1577                      1304
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                5174                      4277
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1701                      1427
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                5580                      4683
Transport Wnd (m/s)                N  4                      NE  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                N  9                      NE 12
Vent Index (m2/s)                  6804                      7135
Category Day                       3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              81                        76
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               N  4                      NE  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               N  9                      NE 14
Dispersion Index      21           27           18           44
LAL                   4            4            3            1
LASI                  3            3            4            4
Stability             E            B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph
late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.SUNDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
67 percent. East winds around 5 mph.

$$



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