Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 161930
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
230 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Rain chances will increase through the day on
Sunday...with scattered showers expected through the afternoon
and evening. Light scattered showers will be possible through
the middle of the work week...with temperatures remaining
several degrees above normal.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172030-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
230 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MClear       MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      27-32 (+7)   42-47 (0)    34-39        52-57
RH % (24h trend)      75-80 (-9)   43-48 (-4)   95-100       62-67
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5 G16     SW  6 G18
Precip type           NONE         showers      showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            40           30           0
Precip duration                    1            1
Precip begin                       11 AM        Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   7 AM
Precip amount         0.00         0.03         0.02         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 2800                      3700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                800                       1700
Transport wnd (mph)                S 10                      SW 15
Dispersion                         7 Poor                    22 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  5        S  5         S  6 G16     SW  8 G18

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 30s to lower 40s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid
40s to lower 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
40s to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and snow showers likely. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172030-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
230 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      28-33 (+8)   45-50 (+3)   35-40        53-58
RH % (24h trend)      56-61 (-22)  30-35 (-12)  95-100       56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  5 G20     SW  8 G25    W  6 G19
Precip type           NONE         showers      showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            40           30           0
Precip duration                    1            1
Precip begin                       11 AM        Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   7 AM
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.06         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3300                      3800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                600                       1100
Transport wnd (mph)                S 10                      W 15
Dispersion                         4 Very poor               11 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  5 G15     S  6 G20     SW 10 G25    W  7 G19

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 30s to mid 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 30s to mid 40s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and chance of snow showers. Lows in
the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. North winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-172030-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
230 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      31-36 (+14)  45-50 (-1)   38-43        54-59
RH % (24h trend)      52-57 (-25)  21-26 (-13)  95-100       51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  5 G16    SW  8 G35    SW 10 G41    SW  7 G25
Precip type           NONE         showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     0            60           40           20
Precip duration                    1            1            1
Precip begin                       11 AM        Continuing   1 PM
Precip end                         Continuing   7 AM         7 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.05         0.11         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3500                      4000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                500                       1000
Transport wnd (mph)                S 18                      SW 18
Dispersion                         6 Very poor               11 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S  6 G18                  SW  8 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  6 G16    SW 11 G35    SW 13 G41    SW  9 G25

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 30s to upper 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 30s to
mid 40s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to upper 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-172030-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
230 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      30-35 (+13)  46-51 (0)    40-45        56-61
RH % (24h trend)      68-73 (-13)  36-41 (-2)   95-100       60-65
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  5 G19     S  6 G19     LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     0            60           50           20
Precip duration                    2            1            1
Precip begin                       11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.06         0.10         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 2400                      3300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                400                       1300
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 16                     SW 10
Dispersion                         5 Very poor               10 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G19     S  8 G19     LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 40s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 50s
to lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 40s. West
winds less than 10 mph shifting to the north after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Lows around 40. Highs in the 50s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
mid 40s to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-172030-
Nantahala National Forest-
230 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+11)  46-51 (+3)   38-43        56-61
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-15)  35-40 (-6)   95-100       58-63
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5 G18     S  5 G22     LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         showers      showers      showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           50           20
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.12         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      3700
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*                400                       1500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 12                     SW  8
DISPERSION                         4 Very poor               8 Poor
MAX LVORI                          3                         6
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6 G18     S  7 G22     LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 30s to mid 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 50s
to lower 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower to
mid 40s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 50s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
40. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Lows around 40. Highs in the 50s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172030-
East Tennessee District East-
230 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      27-32 (+8)   43-48 (-2)   35-40        54-59
RH % (24h trend)      80-85 (-4)   47-52 (+3)   95-100       60-65
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         showers      showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            60           30           0
Precip duration                    1            1
Precip begin                       11 AM        Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   7 AM
Precip amount         0.00         0.03         0.06         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 2400                      3300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                900                       1800
Transport wnd (mph)                S  6                      SW 12
Dispersion                         5 Very poor               19 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 30s to mid 40s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 30s to mid 40s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
mid 40s to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172030-
East Tennessee District West-
230 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      29-34 (+9)   42-47 (-4)   36-41        55-60
RH % (24h trend)      78-83 (-4)   55-60 (+14)  95-100       63-68
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         showers      showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            60           30           0
Precip duration                    2            1
Precip begin                       9 AM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   7 AM
Precip amount         0.00         0.08         0.05         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 2000                      3200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                800                       1900
Transport wnd (mph)                S 12                      SW 13
Dispersion                         7 Poor                    21 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        SW  5        SW  5

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 40s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 50s
to lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
30s to upper 40s. West winds less than 10 mph shifting to the
north after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper
40s to mid 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-172030-
Cumberland District South-
230 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2017 /130 PM CST Sat Dec 16 2017/

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      29-34 (+12)  43-48 (-3)   39-44        56-61
RH % (24h trend)      79-84 (-8)   57-62 (+13)  95-100       65-70
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     0            60           40           0
Precip duration                    2            1
Precip begin                       7 AM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.11         0.05         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 1700                      2500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                600                       1400
Transport wnd (mph)                S 13                      SW  8
Dispersion                         6 Very poor               10 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 40s
to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs near 60.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 40s to
lower 50s. West winds less than 10 mph shifting to the north
after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 50s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


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