Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 270657
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
257 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
LATE TODAY THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE STRONG
PRODUCING STRONG GUST WINDS AND HAIL. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
UNSEASONABLY MILD. DRIER WEATHER EXPECTED BY MID-WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-280800-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
257 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      69-74 (+2)   50-55 (0)    68-73
RH % (24h trend)      43-48 (-8)   95-100 (+5)  49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  7 G19                 S  6 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G20    LGT/VAR      SW  8 G19
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           60           70
Precip duration       1            2            2
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.05         0.35         0.07
LAL                   3            5            2
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6200                      5700
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 17                     SW 17
Dispersion            61 Good                   53 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  9 G19                 S  8 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 10 G20    LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower
50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southeast winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. South winds less than
10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-280800-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
257 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      68-73 (+3)   48-53 (+1)   65-70
RH % (24h trend)      41-46 (-9)   92-97 (+1)   48-53
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  7 G16                 S  6 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  6        S  5         W  9 G21
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           60           70
Precip duration       1            2            2
Precip begin          12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.04         0.30         0.08
LAL                   3            4            2
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    7400                      6000
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 14                     W 17
Dispersion            56 Gen good               48 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  8 G16                 S  8 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  7        S  6         W 12 G21

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 40s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph shifting to the southeast after
midnight.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. South winds less than
10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-280800-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
257 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      68-73 (+3)   49-54 (+1)   64-69
RH % (24h trend)      43-48 (-10)  95-100 (+8)  51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  8 G20                 SW  9 G24
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G19    S  9 G26     W 10 G23
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           60           60
Precip duration       1            2            2
Precip begin          12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.02         0.47         0.11
LAL                   3            4            2
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6900                      6000
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 15                     W 17
Dispersion            51 Gen good               44 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW 10 G20                 SW 11 G24
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 11 G19    S 11 G26     W 13 G23

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 40s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 50s to upper 70s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower
50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 50s to lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to upper 60s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. South winds less than
10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-280800-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
257 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      71-76 (+3)   52-57 (+3)   69-74
RH % (24h trend)      46-51 (-6)   93-98 (+7)   48-53
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  7 G19                  SW  8 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  9 G20     S  9 G22     SW  8 G20
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           60           50
Precip duration       1            2            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.03         0.45         0.12
LAL                   3            4            2
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6400                      6000
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 15                     W 16
Dispersion            56 Gen good               53 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  9 G19                  SW  9 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G20     S 11 G22     SW 11 G20

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s to mid 50s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 60s to 70s. Northwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to mid 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 50. Highs
in the 60s to lower 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-280800-
Nantahala National Forest-
257 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+4)   49-54 (+2)   68-73
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-9)   95-100 (+8)  49-54
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G16                  SW  6 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G19     S  7 G16     W  8 G20
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           50
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.46         0.14
LAL                   3            4            2
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      W 15
DISPERSION            44 Gen good               50 Gen good
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G16                  SW  8 G16
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G19     S  9         W 10 G20

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 60s to 70s. Northwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower
50s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph shifting to the southeast
after midnight.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-280800-
East Tennessee District East-
257 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      71-76 (0)    50-55 (0)    70-75
RH % (24h trend)      43-48 (-3)   95-100 (+8)  49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  6 G18                  S  6 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  6 G18    LGT/VAR      SW  9 G21
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           60           60
Precip duration       1            2            2
Precip begin          12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.04         0.40         0.07
LAL                   3            5            2
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6300                      5600
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 15                     W 17
Dispersion            65 Good                   60 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  8 G18                  S  7 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G18    LGT/VAR      SW 11 G21

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s to lower 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower
50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southeast winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to upper 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 50. Highs
in the upper 50s to lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-280800-
East Tennessee District West-
257 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      71-76 (+3)   53-58 (+2)   70-75
RH % (24h trend)      46-51 (-8)   91-96 (+6)   49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  7 G20                  SW  6 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  9 G21     S  6 G20     SW  8 G20
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           70           60
Precip duration       1            3            2
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.05         0.48         0.06
LAL                   4            5            2
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5400                      5600
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 16                     W 16
Dispersion            59 Gen good               60 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  9 G20                  SW  8 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G21     S  8 G20     SW 10 G20

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 70s. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows near 50. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. South winds less than
10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-280800-
Cumberland District South-
257 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017 /157 AM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      72-77 (+4)   55-60 (+4)   72-77
RH % (24h trend)      50-55 (-5)   92-97 (+5)   48-53
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  7 G21                  SW  6 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  9 G22     S  8 G21     SW  8 G17
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           60           50
Precip duration       1            3            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.05         0.35         0.07
LAL                   4            4            2
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4800                      5700
Transport wnd (mph)   S 16                      W 16
Dispersion            51 Gen good               62 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G21                  SW  8 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 12 G22     S 11 G21     SW 10 G17

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
West winds less than 10 mph shifting to the north after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 70s. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 50s.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Northwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
60s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.

$$


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