Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 210833
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
333 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...
 SHOWERS WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION THIS
MORNING...WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING BY MIDDAY. A FEW OF THESE
THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE STRONG OR EVEN SEVERE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND
ALONG WITH THE MILD TEMPERATURES. THE THREAT FOR LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL EXIST AS A SLOW MOVING UPPER-LOW PASSES
OVER THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
333 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (0)    46-51 (+1)   59-64
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-1)   95-100 (+1)  65-70
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G17                  SE  8 G19
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6 G16
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           80
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.15         0.39
LAL                   4            4            5
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     S 17
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   34 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G17                  SE 10 G19
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SE  5        S  7 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
333 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-1)   47-52 (+3)   58-63
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-2)   95-100 (+1)  57-62
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5 G15                 SE  9 G26
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6 G17    S  5 G18
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           90
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.26         0.44
LAL                   4            5            5
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     S 17
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               28 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G15                 SE 11 G26
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G17    S  7 G18

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-220945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
333 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-2)   48-53 (+3)   58-63
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+4)   95-100 (+2)  55-60
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G20                  S 10 G30
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G23     SW  7 G24
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           90
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            8
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.50         0.67
LAL                   4            5            5
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      S 23
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   52 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G20                  S 12 G30
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        S 10 G23     SW  9 G24

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-220945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
333 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-3)   51-56 (+2)   60-65
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+8)   95-100 (+1)  58-63
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      S  9 G24
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  7 G20    SW  7 G21
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           90
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            5
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.70         0.66
LAL                   4            5            5
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      S 22
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               61 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8                      S 12 G24
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  8 G20    SW  9 G21

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-220945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
333 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-2)   50-55 (+4)   59-64
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+8)   95-100 (0)   61-66
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S  8 G20
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  5 G16    SW  6 G18
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           90
PRECIP DURATION       3            5            5
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.69         0.70
LAL                   4            5            5
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      S 17
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               50 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI             6                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      S  9 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE  7 G16    SW  8 G18

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
333 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-2)   48-53 (+2)   62-67
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+1)   95-100 (+2)  56-61
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      SE  7 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5 G15
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           80
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.25         0.47
LAL                   4            5            5
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     S 16
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               37 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      SE  8 G16
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  7 G15

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
333 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-4)   50-55 (+1)   61-66
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+5)   95-100 (+1)  59-64
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S  8 G21
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7 G21
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           80
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.40         0.47
LAL                   4            5            5
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     S 23
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               71 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      S 10 G21
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  5        SW  9 G21

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-220945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
333 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2017 /233 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-4)   51-56 (+1)   60-65
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+8)   95-100 (+1)  61-66
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S  9 G22
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5 G15    SW  7 G21
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           80
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            5
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.70         0.45
LAL                   4            5            5
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW 23
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   70 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      S 11 G22
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5 G15    SE  7 G15    SW  9 G21

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$



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