Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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173
FNUS73 KABR 221151
FWSABR

SPOT FORECAST FOR ADAM-GEINER WPA...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
651 AM CDT FRI MAY 22 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
TODAY WILL PROBABLY BE THE LAST DAY OF DRY AND SUNNY WITH A LIGHT
AND VARIABLE WIND...AS THE SURFACE HIGH OVERHEAD BEGINS TO MOVE
AWAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS SHOULD BECOME PREVAILING BY THIS
AFTERNOON...GENERALLY AROUND 10 MPH OR LESS. LOWEST RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD FALL BELOW 40 PERCENT AS
WELL.

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT CLOUD).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 0800...THEN SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 8300-8400 FT AGL AFTER
                    1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4 TO 12 MPH UNTIL 1600...THEN 13 TO
                    18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1100-7400) UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD
                    (89000-109000).
CWR.................ZERO.
LAL.................1.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........3      6      23     35
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............63     69     71     72
RH..............48     36     32     31
20 FT WIND......SE 8   SE 10  SE 14  SE 14
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     20     20

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT CLOUD) UNTIL
                    2100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT CLOUD)
                    UNTIL 2300...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT
                    CLOUD).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 21 TO 26 MPH UNTIL 2200...THEN 12 TO
                    19 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2500-5000).
CWR.................ZERO.
LAL.................1.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........53     47     53     77     81     83
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............70     62     55     52     49     46
RH..............33     46     61     69     80     88
20 FT WIND......SE 11  S 8    S 6    S 6    S 6    SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     10     10

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT CLOUD). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 2200-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (27700-42700).
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........81     94     99     100    100    100
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............47     51     55     58     60     60
RH..............91     90     83     75     73     72
20 FT WIND......SE 6   SE 7   SE 9   SE 10  SE 10  SE 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     15     15

$$
FORECASTER...DORN
REQUESTED BY...COLBY CRAWFORD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150522.ADAMG.01/ABR



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