Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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176
FNUS75 KBOU 091022
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR ALLENSPARK...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
322 AM MST TUE FEB 9 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1050 MST ON FEBRUARY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MODERATE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
COLORADO THROUGH THE PERIOD. WARMER AIR WILL SPREAD OVER THE
FORECAST AREA WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BOTH TODAY AND
WEDNESDAY. THE WARMER TEMPERATURES...SUNSHINE...AND MODERATE
FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING FAIR TO GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION.  BREEZY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTY SURFACE WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MIN HUMIDITY........31%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9-11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0600...THEN 1500-2500
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25-30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN
                    POOR.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 24.
MAX HUMIDITY........54%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1300 FT AGL UNTIL 2300...THEN BELOW 1000
                    FT AGL UNTIL 0100...THEN 1000 FT AGL UNTIL
                    0300...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MIN HUMIDITY........27%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 1300-2300
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25-35 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    GOOD AFTER 1400.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
WEST WINDS 10-12 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ALLENSPARK.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

02/09-03  4  0  0 28 40 WSW  9 15 5 1   N 46  1022 WNW 24 21361 P
02/09-04  4  0  0 25 50   W 10 16 4 1   N 45   982 WNW 25 21238 P
02/09-05  4  0  0 25 50   W 12 18 4 1   N 44   942 WNW 25 21056 P
02/09-06  4  0  0 24 55   W 13 21 4 1   N 44   972 WNW 25 21460 P
02/09-07  4  0  0 23 57   W 13 21 3 1   N 43  1002 WNW 25 21847 P
02/09-08  4  0  0 25 55   W 13 21 3 1   N 43  1032 WNW 25 22218 P
02/09-09  3  0  0 30 47   W 13 21 4 1   N 43  1335 WNW 25 29676 P
02/09-10  3  0  0 36 40   W 12 18 4 1   N 43  1638  NW 26 37556 P
02/09-11  3  0  0 40 37   W 12 18 5 1 NNW 44  1941  NW 28 45857  F
02/09-12  3  0  0 42 35   W 12 18 5 1   N 41  1973  NW 28 47505  F
02/09-13  3  0  0 44 32   W 10 16 5 1   N 40  2005  NW 29 49182  F
02/09-14  3  0  0 44 31   W 10 16 5 1   N 38  2037  NW 29 50888  F
02/09-15  3  0  0 42 33   W 10 16 5 1   N 40  1787  NW 28 43398  F
02/09-16  3  0  0 40 36   W 12 18 5 1   N 43  1536  NW 28 36255 P
02/09-17  3  0  0 35 42   W 12 18 5 1   N 44  1286  NW 26 29457 P
02/09-18  3  0  0 33 43   W 12 18 5 1   N 41  1238  NW 25 27066 P
02/09-19  3  0  0 30 45   W 13 21 5 1   N 39  1191  NW 24 24774 P
02/09-20  3  0  0 29 46   W 13 21 5 1   N 37  1144  NW 23 22582 P
02/09-21  3  0  0 28 46   W 13 21 5 1   N 38  1076 WNW 23 21541 P
02/09-22  3  0  0 27 48   W 14 22 4 1 NNW 40  1009 WNW 23 20463 P
02/09-23  3  0  0 27 46   W 14 22 4 1 NNW 43   941 WNW 24 19349 P
02/10-00  3  0  0 27 44   W 14 22 4 1 NNW 39   949 WNW 24 20073 P
02/10-01  3  0  0 26 44   W 14 22 4 1 NNW 35   956 WNW 25 20805 P
02/10-02  2  0  0 29 39   W 15 24 4 1 NNW 31   963 WNW 25 21547 P
02/10-03  2  0  0 27 40   W 15 24 4 1 NNW 32   895 WNW 26 20384 P
02/10-04  2  0  0 26 42   W 15 24 5 1 NNW 33   828 WNW 26 19168 P
02/10-05  4  0  0 20 54   W 15 25 5 1 NNW 28   762 WNW 26 17551 P
02/10-06  4  0  0 21 53   W 16 25 5 1 NNW 28   779 WNW 26 17542 P
02/10-07  4  0  0 22 52   W 16 25 5 1 NNW 28   795 WNW 25 17516 P
02/10-08  4  0  0 25 48   W 15 25 5 1 NNW 28   812 WNW 25 17473 P
02/10-09  4  0  0 29 44   W 15 24 5 1 NNW 28  1042 WNW 24 22321 P
02/10-10  4  0  0 34 39   W 15 23 5 1  NW 29  1271 WNW 24 27130 P
02/10-11  5  0  0 39 34   W 14 23 5 1  NW 29  1500 WNW 24 31900 P
02/10-12  5  0  0 43 30   W 15 23 5 1  NW 29  1843 WNW 26 42907  F
02/10-13  5  0  0 45 29   W 15 24 5 1  NW 30  2186 WNW 29 55297  F
02/10-14  5  0  0 46 27   W 15 24 5 1  NW 30  2529 WNW 31 69069   G
02/10-15  5  0  0 45 27   W 15 23 5 1  NW 30  2228   W 33 63857   G
02/10-16  5  0  0 43 27   W 14 23 5 1  NW 30  1927   W 35 57832  F
02/10-17 14  0  0 39 30   W 14 22 5 1  NW 30  1626   W 36 50995  F
02/10-18 14  0  0 36 33   W 14 22 5 1  NW 29  1381   W 36 42789  F
02/10-19 14  0  0 33 36   W 14 22 5 1  NW 29  1135   W 36 34759 P
02/10-20 14  0  0 30 41   W 14 22 5 1  NW 29   889   W 35 26907 P
02/10-21 14  0  0 28 44   W 14 22 5 1  NW 28   897 WNW 32 24956 P
02/10-22 14  0  0 26 47   W 14 23 5 1 NNW 25   905 WNW 29 22965 P
02/10-23 13  0  0 25 48   W 14 23 5 1 NNW 24   914 WNW 26 20932 P
02/11-00 13  0  0 24 49   W 14 23 5 1 NNW 23   881 WNW 25 19446 P
02/11-01 13  0  0 23 50   W 14 22 5 1 NNW 23   848   W 24 18015 P
02/11-02 13  0  0 22 52   W 14 22 5 1 NNW 22   815   W 23 16639 P
02/11-03 13  0  0 21 53   W 14 22 5 1 NNW 25   816   W 24 17065 P
02/11-04 13  0  0 21 53   W 14 23 4 1  NW 30   818   W 24 17492 P
02/11-05 12  0  0 20 56   W 14 23 4 1  NW 33   819   W 25 17920 P
02/11-06 12  0  0 19 63   W 14 22 4 1  NW 32   827   W 25 18143 P
02/11-07 12  0  0 19 68   W 13 20 3 1  NW 31   835   W 25 18366 P
02/11-08 12  0  0 21 68   W 12 17 3 1  NW 30   843   W 25 18590 P
02/11-09 12  0  0 26 59   W  9 15 3 1  NW 36  1175   W 28 28037 P
02/11-10 12  0  0 32 49   W  8 13 3 1  NW 40  1508   W 30 38683 P
02/11-11 22  0  0 38 40   W  7  7 3 1  NW 45  1840   W 31 50527  F
02/11-12 22  0  0 42 36   W  7  7 3 1  NW 46  2254   W 33 65573   G
02/11-13 22  0  0 44 33   W  6  6 3 1  NW 47  2668 WNW 36 81971   G
02/11-14 22  0  0 45 32   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 48  3082 WNW 37 99720   G
02/11-15 22  0  0 44 33   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 49  2903 WNW 37 93483   G
02/11-16 22  0  0 43 34   W  7  7 3 1  NW 49  2724 WNW 37 87301   G
02/11-17 23  2  0 40 37   W  7  7 3 1  NW 51  2544 WNW 37 81172   G
02/11-18 23  2  0 37 41   W  7  7   1
02/11-19 23  2  0 33 47   W  7  7   1
02/11-20 23  2  0 30 51   W  7  7   1
02/11-21 23  2  0 28 53   W  7  7   1
02/11-22 23  2  0 27 54   W  7  7   1
02/11-23 20  2  0 27 53   W  7  7   1
02/12-00 20  2  0 26 54   W  7  7   1
02/12-01 20  2  0 25 56   W  7  7   1
02/12-02 20  2  0 24 58   W  7  7   1
02/12-03 20  2  0 24 58   W  7  7   1
02/12-04 20  2  0 24 58   W  7  7   1
02/12-05 20  2  0 23 62   W  7  7   1

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH
REQUESTED BY...TOM DILLON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160209.ALLEN.01/BOU



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