Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 271220
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR EMERALD MOUNTAIN...ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
501 AM MST TUE JAN 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON JANUARY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL SHIFT EAST OF COLORADO THIS
EVENING AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE APPROACHES COLORADO. INCREASING
MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO A CHANCE OF SNOW TONIGHT BUT ANY ACCUMULATIONS
WILL BE UNDER AN INCH. EXPECT INCREASING WEST WINDS OVERNIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY WITH SPEEDS UP TO 35 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(35-45%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........30%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL
                    1100...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL
                    1400...THEN WEST 8-9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 2200 UNTIL
                    0300...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MAX HUMIDITY........66%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25-30 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN 35-45 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2400. VERY GOOD AFTER 0200.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MIN HUMIDITY........50%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 45-50 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN 35-45 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR EMERALD MOUNTAIN.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

01/27-04 14  2  0 30 50   W  9 15 4 1  SW 13  1393   W 15 18642 P
01/27-05 16  1  0 30 51   W 10 16 4 1 SSW 12  1355   W 16 19079 P
01/27-06 18  1  0 27 57   W 12 17 4 1  SW 12  1348   W 16 18732 P
01/27-07 21  1  0 28 54   W 12 18 4 1  SW 12  1342   W 16 18384 P
01/27-08 23  1  0 31 49   W 12 18 4 1  SW 12  1336   W 15 18036 P
01/27-09 25  1  0 37 43   W 10 17 4 1 SSW 13  1750   W 15 22359 P
01/27-10 28  1  0 43 39   W  9 15 4 1 SSW 15  2163   W 15 26681 P
01/27-11 30  2  0 49 34   W  8 13 4 1 SSW 17  2576   W 14 31003 P
01/27-12 33  2  0 52 32   W  8 13 4 1 SSW 17  2829   W 15 37088 P
01/27-13 37  2  0 53 30 WSW  8 14 4 1 SSW 18  3082   W 16 43172  F
01/27-14 40  2  0 52 31 WSW  9 15 4 1 SSW 20  3335   W 17 49256  F
01/27-15 43  2  0 50 32 WSW  9 16 4 1 SSW 20  2942   W 20 48518  F
01/27-16 47  2  0 47 35   W 10 17 5 1 SSW 18  2548   W 22 47779  F
01/27-17 50  2  0 44 38   W 12 18 5 1  SW 18  2154   W 25 47040  F
01/27-18 51  2  0 41 42   W 13 21 4 1  SW 18  2028   W 26 46716  F
01/27-19 53  2  0 39 46   W 15 24 3 1  SW 18  1902   W 29 46392  F
01/27-20 54  2  0 37 50   W 16 25 2 1  SW 18  1776   W 30 46068  F
01/27-21 55  7  1 36 53   W 16 26 2 1  SW 18  1912   W 31 51730  F
01/27-22 57 10  2 36 55   W 16 25 2 1  SW 18  2048   W 32 57392  F
01/27-23 58 18  4 36 56   W 16 25 2 1  SW 18  2184   W 33 63055   G
01/28-00 60 19  4 36 58   W 16 26 3 1  SW 24  2464   W 37 79350   G
01/28-01 63 22  4 36 58   W 17 28 3 1 WSW 29  2744   W 39 95646   G
01/28-02 67 24  5 36 59   W 18 30 4 1 WSW 33  3024   W 43111942    V
01/28-03 70 26  6 35 61   W 20 32 3 1 WSW 37  3025   W 45117419    V
01/28-04 73 29  8 35 61   W 21 33 3 1 WSW 40  3026   W 47122896    V
01/28-05 75 30  9 34 64   W 22 35 2 1 WSW 44  3027   W 48128373    V
01/28-06 75 30  9 33 66   W 22 35 2 1 WSW 52  3242   W 47132654    V
01/28-07 75 30  9 33 66   W 20 32 2 1   W 60  3457   W 45136934    V
01/28-08 75 30  9 34 64   W 18 30 2 1   W 68  3672   W 44141214    V
01/28-09 75 30  9 35 61   W 18 29 2 1   W 68  3931   W 44148531    V
01/28-10 75 30  9 37 57   W 18 29 2 1 WNW 64  4190   W 43155847     E
01/28-11 84 37 15 39 52   W 18 30 2 1 WNW 59  4449   W 43163163     E
01/28-12 84 37 15 40 50   W 20 31 2 1 WNW 53  4176   W 41150465     E
01/28-13 84 37 15 40 51   W 21 33 3 1  NW 46  3904   W 40137767    V
01/28-14 84 37 15 39 53   W 21 33 3 1  NW 39  3632   W 39125069    V
01/28-15 84 37 15 38 55   W 18 30 3 1  NW 37  3560   W 37113531    V
01/28-16 84 37 15 37 57   W 16 25 3 1  NW 35  3487 WNW 33101993    V
01/28-17 86 31 10 35 61   W 13 21 3 1  NW 32  3415 WNW 30 90455   G
01/28-18 86 31 10 33 66   W 10 17 3 1  NW 28  3258 WNW 26 75298   G
01/28-19 86 31 10 31 71   W  9 15 3 1  NW 23  3102 WNW 22 60141   G
01/28-20 86 31 10 30 72 WNW  8 13 3 1  NW 20  2945 WNW 17 44984  F
01/28-21 86 31 10 29 74   W  7  7 3 1  NW 17  2881 WNW 16 39464 P
01/28-22 86 31 10 29 73   W  7  7 2 1  NW 16  2816 WNW 14 33943 P
01/28-23 82 10  2 29 72   W  7  7 2 1  NW 15  2752 WNW 12 28423 P
01/29-00 82 10  2 28 73   W  6  6 2 1 WNW 16  2677 WNW 10 25470 P
01/29-01 82 10  2 27 73   W  6  6 2 1 WNW 17  2603 WNW 10 22517 P
01/29-02 82 10  2 26 74   W  5  5 2 1 WNW 18  2529   W  9 19564 P
01/29-03 82 10  2 25 76   W  5  5 2 1 WNW 18  2354   W  8 15967 P
01/29-04 82 10  2 25 75   W  3  3 2 1 WNW 20  2179   W  6 12370 P
01/29-05 81 10  2 24 78 WSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 21  2005   W  5  8773 P
01/29-06 81 10  2 24 79   W  3  3 2 1 WNW 21  1951   W  5  8072 P
01/29-07 81 10  2 24 82   W  3  3 3 1  NW 21  1898 WNW  5  7370 P
01/29-08 81 10  2 25 82   W  3  3 3 1  NW 21  1845 WNW  5  6669 P
01/29-09 81 10  2 28 76  SW  5  5 3 1  NW 20  2263  NW  3  6247 P
01/29-10 81 10  2 31 70 SSE  5  5 2 1  NW 17  2681 NNE  2  5825 P
01/29-11 82  5  1 34 64 ESE  6  6 2 1  NW 16  3100 ENE  2  5402 P
01/29-12 82  5  1 35 62 ESE  6  6 2 1 WNW 14  3093   E  3  8069 P
01/29-13 82  5  1 35 62  SE  6  6 2 1 WNW 13  3087 SSE  3 10736 P
01/29-14 82  5  1 34 64  SE  6  6 2 1 WNW 10  3080   S  5 13403 P
01/29-15 82  5  1 33 65  SE  6  6 2 1   W  9  2810   S  6 12689 P
01/29-16 82  5  1 31 70  SE  5  5 2 1   W  8  2540   S  6 11975 P
01/29-17 83  7  1 30 72  SE  5  5 2 1   W  8  2270 SSE  6 11261 P
01/29-18 83  7  1 27 81  SE  5  5 2 1   W  8  2018   S  7 11075 P
01/29-19 83  7  1 25 87   S  5  5 2 1 WSW  9  1767   S  7 10889 P
01/29-20 83  7  1 23 94   S  3  3 2 1 WSW 12  1515   S  8 10703 P
01/29-21 83  7  1 23 93  SW  3  3 2 1 WSW 13  1458   S  7  9488 P
01/29-22 83  7  1 24 89 WSW  3  3 2 1 WSW 14  1402 SSW  7  8274 P
01/29-23 84 11  2 25 85 WSW  3  3 2 1 WSW 15  1345 SSW  6  7059 P
01/30-00 84 11  2 24 88   W  3  3 2 1 WSW 16  1243  SW  6  6565 P
01/30-01 84 11  2 23 91   W  3  3 2 1 WSW 16  1141 WSW  6  6071 P
01/30-02 84 11  2 21 98   W  3  3 2 1 WSW 16  1039 WSW  6  5576 P
01/30-03 84 11  2 21 98   W  3  3 2 1 WSW 15  1099 WSW  7  6194 P
01/30-04 84 11  2 21 99   W  3  3 2 1 WSW 14  1158   W  7  6811 P
01/30-05 87 10  2 22 96   W  3  3 2 1   W 13  1218   W  7  7428 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...ENTREKIN
REQUESTED BY...CHARLIE REYNAR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150127.EMERA.01/BOU



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