Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 301025
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR WAGON TONGUE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
425 AM MDT THU OCT 30 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON OCTOBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS TODAY. FLOW ALOFT WILL ALSO DECREASE...
BRINGING LIGHTER AND MORE DIURNALLY DRIVEN WINDS TODAY. LIGHT
AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING SHOULD TRANSITION TO UPSLOPE
AT 5-10 MPH BY OR SHORTLY BEFORE NOON.  DESPITE SLIGHTLY
COOLER TEMPERATURES...ENOUGH HEATING AND SUNSHINE SHOULD
PRODUCE ADEQUATE MIXING AND GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION FOR THE
AFTERNOON HOURS.  HUMIDITIES WILL STILL BE LOW FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR AS THE AIRMASS REMAINS QUITE DRY.  SIMILAR WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY ALTHOUGH WINDS MAY BE
SLIGHTLY STRONGER IN THE AFTERNOON.  THE NEXT CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........17%.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT/VARIABLE 2-6 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    SOUTH/SOUTHEAST 4-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2300 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 5200-6200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    POOR.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.
MAX HUMIDITY........69%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY
                    UNTIL 1300...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........20%.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    SOUTH/SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 1900-2900
                    FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 4500-5500 FT AGL UNTIL
                    1700...THEN 3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    POOR.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-10 MPH.
.MONDAY...COLDER. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 20.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WAGON TONGUE.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/30-04 16  0  0 36 36 WNW  5  5 2 1  NW 44  1046 WNW  8  6933 P
10/30-05 14  0  0 34 40 WNW  3  3 2 1  NW 44  1013 WNW  7  6163 P
10/30-06 12  0  0 32 45 WNW  3  3 2 1  NW 45   980  NW  7  5392 P
10/30-07 16  0  0 30 49 WNW  3  3 2 1  NW 44  1043 WNW  6  5644 P
10/30-08 20  0  0 32 45 WNW  5  5 2 1  NW 43  1106 WNW  6  5897 P
10/30-09 24  0  0 36 38 WNW  5  5 2 1  NW 41  1169 WNW  6  6149 P
10/30-10 22  0  0 42 31   W  5  5 2 1  NW 40  2594 WNW  8 24919 P
10/30-11 21  0  0 49 25 WSW  5  5 2 1  NW 38  4020 WNW 10 43690  F
10/30-12 19  0  0 54 21  SW  5  5 2 1  NW 37  5445 WNW 13 62460   G
10/30-13 17  0  0 58 18   S  6  6 2 1  NW 35  5956 WNW 13 67122   G
10/30-14 15  0  0 59 17 SSE  6  6 2 1  NW 32  6467 WNW 13 71783   G
10/30-15 13  0  0 58 17  SE  7  7 2 1  NW 31  6978  NW 13 76445   G
10/30-16 14  0  0 55 20  SE  7  7 2 1  NW 30  5863 WNW  9 54820  F
10/30-17 15  0  0 51 25 SSE  7  7 2 1  NW 30  4749 WNW  7 33194 P
10/30-18 15  0  0 47 30   S  7  7 2 1  NW 29  3635 WNW  3 11569 P
10/30-19 16  0  0 43 35   S  6  6 2 1  NW 29  2710 WSW  5  8997 P
10/30-20 16  0  0 39 41   S  5  5 2 1  NW 28  1786   S  5  6425 P
10/30-21 17  0  0 37 44   S  5  5 2 1  NW 26   862  SE  5  3853 P
10/30-22 18  0  0 35 48   S  5  5 2 1  NW 25   866 SSE  7  5255 P
10/30-23 18  0  0 33 53   S  6  6 2 1 WNW 25   870   S  9  6657 P
10/31-00 19  0  0 32 56   S  7  7 2 1 WNW 24   873   S 10  8059 P
10/31-01 19  0  0 31 59   S  8  8 3 1 WNW 25   869   S 12  8516 P
10/31-02 19  0  0 30 63   S  8 13 4 1 WNW 25   864   S 12  8973 P
10/31-03 18  0  0 29 66 SSW  8 14 5 1 WNW 26   859   S 13  9430 P
10/31-04 17  0  0 29 66 SSW  8 14 5 1 WNW 25   829 SSW 13  8905 P
10/31-05 17  0  0 28 69 SSW  8 14 5 1 WNW 24   799 SSW 12  8380 P
10/31-06 16  0  0 28 69 SSW  8  8 5 1 WNW 22   770 SSW 12  7855 P
10/31-07 16  0  0 29 67 SSW  7  7 5 1 WNW 21   838 SSW 12  8368 P
10/31-08 16  0  0 31 63  SW  6  6 5 1   W 20   906  SW 12  8880 P
10/31-09 16  0  0 37 50  SW  6  6 5 1   W 18   974  SW 12  9393 P
10/31-10 21  0  0 43 39  SW  6  6 5 1   W 20  1446  SW 12 15318 P
10/31-11 25  0  0 50 29 SSW  7  7 5 1   W 20  1917  SW 13 21243 P
10/31-12 30  0  0 55 24 SSW  8  8 5 1 WSW 21  2389  SW 13 27167 P
10/31-13 29  0  0 59 21 SSW  9  9 5 1 WSW 22  3465  SW 14 44220  F
10/31-14 28  0  0 60 20 SSW 10 15 4 1 WSW 24  4540  SW 15 61273   G
10/31-15 27  0  0 59 21 SSW 10 16 4 1 WSW 26  5616  SW 16 78325   G
10/31-16 26  0  0 56 23 SSW  9 14 4 1 WSW 26  4316  SW 15 59092  F
10/31-17 25  0  0 51 28 SSW  8  8 3 1   W 25  3016 SSW 15 39858 P
10/31-18 26  0  0 48 31 SSW  7  7 3 1   W 24  1716 SSW 14 20625 P
10/31-19 26  0  0 44 38 SSW  6  6 3 1   W 24  1379 SSW 13 16115 P
10/31-20 26  0  0 40 46  SW  6  6 3 1   W 25  1043  SW 13 11605 P
10/31-21 26  0  0 38 52  SW  6  6 3 1   W 25   706  SW 12  7095 P
10/31-22 26  0  0 36 58  SW  6  6 3 1   W 26   688  SW 12  7164 P
10/31-23 26  0  0 35 62  SW  6  6 4 1   W 29   669  SW 13  7234 P
11/01-00 24  1  0 34 66 WSW  6  6 4 1   W 30   651 WSW 13  7303 P
11/01-01 24  1  0 34 67 WSW  6  6 4 1   W 28   631 WSW 13  7238 P
11/01-02 24  1  0 33 71 WSW  6  6 3 1   W 24   612 WSW 14  7172 P
11/01-03 24  1  0 33 72 WSW  6  6 3 1   W 22   592 WSW 14  7106 P
11/01-04 24  1  0 31 80 WSW  6  6 3 1 WSW 20   583 WSW 14  6985 P
11/01-05 24  1  0 30 86 WSW  6  6 3 1 WSW 17   573   W 14  6864 P
11/01-06 29  2  0 30 88 WSW  6  6 3 1 WSW 16   563   W 14  6742 P
11/01-07 29  2  0 31 88 WSW  6  6 3 1 WSW 17   634   W 13  6983 P
11/01-08 29  2  0 34 82 WSW  7  7 3 1 WSW 18   706   W 12  7224 P
11/01-09 29  2  0 39 70  SW  7  7 3 1 WSW 20   777   W 12  7465 P
11/01-10 29  2  0 45 57  SW  8  8 3 1 WSW 21  2294 WSW 14 32337 P
11/01-11 29  2  0 52 45  SW  8  8 3 1  SW 23  3811  SW 15 57208  F
11/01-12 45  5  1 57 39 SSW  9 14 3 1 SSW 25  5328  SW 17 82080   G
11/01-13 45  5  1 60 35 SSW  9 14 3 1  SW 28  6266  SW 20108469    V
11/01-14 45  5  1 61 34 SSW  9 14 3 1  SW 30  7204  SW 21134858    V
11/01-15 45  5  1 60 35 SSW  9 14 3 1  SW 32  8142  SW 23161248     E
11/01-16 45  5  1 57 38 SSW  9  9 3 1  SW 36  6817  SW 22132931    V
11/01-17 45  5  1 54 42 SSW  8  8 3 1  SW 39  5492  SW 22104615    V
11/01-18 41  2  0 51 46 SSW  8  8 3 1 WSW 43  4167  SW 21 76299   G
11/01-19 41  2  0 47 53 SSW  8  8 3 1 WSW 44  3089  SW 20 55674  F
11/01-20 41  2  0 45 56 SSW  7  7 3 1 WSW 46  2010  SW 18 35050 P
11/01-21 41  2  0 42 62  SW  7  7 3 1 WSW 47   931 SSW 17 14425 P
11/01-22 41  2  0 41 64  SW  7  7 3 1 WSW 49   905  SW 18 14552 P
11/01-23 41  2  0 40 65  SW  7  7 3 1 WSW 53   878  SW 20 14678 P
11/02-00 34  2  0 39 67  SW  7  7 3 1 WSW 55   852  SW 20 14805 P
11/02-01 34  2  0 38 69  SW  7  7 3 1  SW 56   861 WSW 21 15158 P
11/02-02 34  2  0 37 71  SW  7  7 3 1  SW 58   870 WSW 21 15512 P
11/02-03 34  2  0 37 70  SW  8  8 3 1  SW 59   879 WSW 21 15865 P
11/02-04 34  2  0 35 75 WSW  8  8 3 1  SW 61   805 WSW 21 14707 P
11/02-05 34  2  0 34 77 WSW  8  8 2 1  SW 63   731 WSW 22 13549 P
11/02-06 44  4  1 33 78 WSW  9 14 2 1  SW 66   657 WSW 22 12391 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH
REQUESTED BY...DAVID HOWARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141030.WAGON.01/BOU



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