Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 231325
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR RMA 2H...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
725 AM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WARM AND DRY TODAY WITH LIGHT WINDS OUT OF THE
SSW FROM 5-10 MPH DURING IGNITION TIME. EXPECT WINDS TO CHANGE
TO A PREDOMINATELY SOUTHERLY DIRECTION WITH SPEEDS OF JUST 4-8
MPH BY NOON. THERE WILL BE LIGHT CLOUD COVER THIS AFTERNOON BUT
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN PARTLY CLOUDY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 0800...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........19%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 7000-8000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST AROUND 10
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. FAIR AFTER 1200.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........57%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........15%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 6500-7500 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RMA 2H.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/23-07 34  0  0 47 71  SW  3  3 2 1   W 18   852 WSW  5  3597 P
10/23-08 29  0  0 51 56  SW  2  2 2 1 WNW 18  1150  SW  5  5283 P
10/23-09 24  0  0 56 42 SSW  2  2 2 1 WNW 20  1448  SW  6  6969 P
10/23-10 24  0  0 62 33   S  3  3 2 1 WNW 22  3520  SW  6 21713 P
10/23-11 24  0  0 67 27  SE  3  3 2 1 WNW 24  5592 WSW  7 36456 P
10/23-12 27  0  0 72 23 ESE  5  5 2 1  NW 25  7663   W  8 51200  F
10/23-13 27  0  0 75 21  SE  5  5 2 1  NW 26  8115   W  8 54938  F
10/23-14 27  0  0 77 19   S  5  5 3 1  NW 26  8567   W  8 58676  F
10/23-15 27  0  0 78 19   S  5  5 3 1  NW 28  9018 WNW  8 62415   G
10/23-16 27  0  0 77 19   S  5  5 3 1 WNW 28  7715   W  8 55872  F
10/23-17 27  0  0 75 21   S  5  5 3 1 WNW 28  6412 WSW  9 49329  F
10/23-18 28  0  0 71 24   S  5  5 3 1 WNW 29  5108  SW  9 42786  F
10/23-19 28  0  0 66 28   S  5  5 3 1 WNW 29  3601  SW  9 30049 P
10/23-20 28  0  0 60 36   S  6  6 4 1 WNW 30  2094 SSW  9 17311 P
10/23-21 28  0  0 56 42   S  6  6 4 1 WNW 31   586   S  9  4574 P
10/23-22 28  0  0 53 47   S  6  6 4 1 WNW 29   532 SSW  9  4050 P
10/23-23 28  0  0 51 50 SSW  7  7 5 1 WNW 28   477  SW  8  3526 P
10/24-00 44  0  0 50 52 SSW  7  7 5 1 WNW 25   423  SW  8  3002 P
10/24-01 44  0  0 49 53   S  7  7 5 1 WNW 23   425  SW  8  2881 P
10/24-02 44  0  0 49 52   S  7  7 5 1   W 21   428  SW  7  2760 P
10/24-03 44  0  0 48 54   S  7  7 5 1   W 18   431  SW  7  2639 P
10/24-04 44  0  0 47 56   S  7  7 5 1   W 17   442  SW  7  2707 P
10/24-05 44  0  0 47 57 SSW  7  7 4 1   W 17   452  SW  7  2774 P
10/24-06 37  0  0 48 56 SSW  7  7 4 1   W 16   462  SW  7  2842 P
10/24-07 37  0  0 49 55 SSW  7  7 4 1   W 18   542  SW  7  3007 P
10/24-08 37  0  0 52 51   S  7  7 3 1   W 20   621  SW  6  3173 P
10/24-09 37  0  0 57 43   S  7  7 3 1 WNW 21   700  SW  6  3338 P
10/24-10 37  0  0 63 34   S  7  7 3 1 WNW 22  2446  SW  6 15718 P
10/24-11 37  0  0 69 26   S  6  6 3 1   W 23  4191  SW  7 28098 P
10/24-12 34  0  0 74 21   S  6  6 3 1   W 23  5937 SSW  8 40479  F
10/24-13 34  0  0 78 17   S  6  6 3 1   W 24  6570  SW  7 40491  F
10/24-14 34  0  0 80 16 SSE  7  7 3 1   W 24  7204  SW  7 40503  F
10/24-15 34  0  0 80 15  SE  7  7 3 1   W 25  7837  SW  6 40515  F
10/24-16 34  0  0 79 16 ESE  7  7 3 1   W 26  7098  SW  6 34448 P
10/24-17 34  0  0 76 18   E  6  6 3 1   W 28  6359  SW  5 28381 P
10/24-18  4  1  0 71 22   E  6  6 3 1   W 28  5620  SW  5 22314 P
10/24-19  4  1  0 66 27 ESE  6  6 3 1   W 26  3965  SW  3 15264 P
10/24-20  4  1  0 61 35   S  6  6 3 1   W 25  2310 SSW  3  8213 P
10/24-21  4  1  0 56 43   S  6  6 3 1   W 23   655 SSW  2  1162 P
10/24-22  4  1  0 53 49 SSW  6  6 3 1   W 23   591  SW  3  1454 P
10/24-23  4  1  0 51 52 SSW  7  7 4 1   W 23   527  SW  5  1747 P
10/25-00  2  1  0 50 54  SW  7  7 4 1   W 23   463 WSW  5  2039 P
10/25-01  2  1  0 49 56 SSW  7  7 4 1   W 23   475  SW  6  2203 P
10/25-02  2  1  0 48 58 SSW  8  8 4 1   W 23   488  SW  6  2367 P
10/25-03  2  1  0 48 58 SSW  8  8 4 1   W 23   500  SW  6  2531 P
10/25-04  2  1  0 48 57 SSW  7  7 4 1   W 24   497  SW  6  2299 P
10/25-05  2  1  0 48 56 SSW  7  7 4 1   W 24   494  SW  5  2067 P
10/25-06  2  0  0 48 56  SW  6  6 4 1   W 25   490 WSW  5  1836 P
10/25-07  2  0  0 49 55 SSW  6  6 4 1   W 24   561  SW  5  2222 P
10/25-08  2  0  0 52 51 SSW  6  6 4 1   W 23   631 SSW  5  2608 P
10/25-09  2  0  0 56 45 SSW  6  6 4 1   W 22   702 SSW  5  2993 P
10/25-10  2  0  0 62 35   S  6  6 4 1   W 21  2436   S  6 12447 P
10/25-11  2  0  0 69 26  SE  5  5 4 1   W 21  4170   S  6 21900 P
10/25-12  3  0  0 75 21 ESE  5  5 4 1 WSW 20  5904   S  6 31353 P
10/25-13  3  0  0 78 18 ESE  6  6 4 1 WSW 21  6700   S  7 42893  F
10/25-14  3  0  0 80 17  SE  7  7 4 1 WSW 21  7495   S  8 54433  F
10/25-15  3  0  0 80 17  SE  8  8 4 1 WSW 22  8291   S  9 65974   G
10/25-16  3  0  0 78 18 ESE  8  8 4 1 WSW 21  7543   S 10 63385   G
10/25-17  3  0  0 76 21   E  7  7 4 1 WSW 20  6796 SSE 10 60796   G
10/25-18  2  1  0 72 25   E  7  7 4 1 WSW 18  6048  SE 12 58207  F
10/25-19  2  1  0 67 31 ESE  7  7 4 1 WSW 17  4240 SSE 10 40481  F
10/25-20  2  1  0 61 40   S  7  7 4 1 WSW 16  2431   S 10 22755 P
10/25-21  2  1  0 56 49  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 15   622 SSW  9  5029 P
10/25-22  2  1  0 53 53  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 17   586 SSW  9  4703 P
10/25-23  2  1  0 52 52  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 20   550  SW  9  4378 P
10/26-00  4  0  0 51 52  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 21   514  SW  9  4052 P
10/26-01  4  0  0 50 54  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 22   498  SW  8  3674 P
10/26-02  4  0  0 49 56  SW  8  8 4 1 WSW 22   482  SW  8  3297 P
10/26-03  4  0  0 48 58 SSW  8  8 4 1  SW 22   466 WSW  7  2919 P
10/26-04  4  0  0 48 57  SW  8  8 4 1  SW 21   456  SW  8  3033 P
10/26-05  4  0  0 48 57  SW  7  7 4 1  SW 20   446  SW  8  3146 P
10/26-06 22  0  0 48 56  SW  7  7 4 1  SW 18   436  SW  8  3260 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BOWEN
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT WHITEAKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141023.RMA2H.01/BOU



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