Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Billings, MT

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000
FNUS75 KBYZ 201150
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAVER CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
550 AM MDT WED AUG 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON AUGUST 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A FEW SHOWERS WILL BE AROUND THE SITE DURING THE EARLY MORNING BUT
SHOULD SHIFT NORTH BY 9 AM MDT. THIS WILL BE A BRIEF BREAK THOUGH AS
ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP BY MID AFTERNOON. THIS ACTIVITY COULD HAVE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.
SHOWERS WILL DECREASE IN COVERAGE TONIGHT. THURSDAY WILL SEE ANOTHER
ROUND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER TODAY THAN TUESDAY WITH THURSDAY BEING
COOLER STILL. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AND ERRATIC THIS AFTERNOON AS THEY
TRY TO FOLLOW THE DIURNAL TERRAIN INFLUENCES. A RATHER WET PATTERN
IS AHEAD FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE.
WET SNOW IS ALSO POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER PEAKS SATURDAY NIGHT. TWH

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................4...16 TO 25 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNCANYON 6 TO 14 MPH THROUGH MID
                    MORNING. WINDS BECOMING WEST TO NORTHWEST
                    8 TO 16 MPH GUSTS TO 20 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
                    WINDS ERRATIC IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING.
                    NORTHWEST 15 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNCANYON 4 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNCANYON 6 TO 14 MPH THROUGH MID
                    MORNING. WINDS BECOMING WEST 8 TO 16 MPH GUSTS
                    TO 20 MPH BY LATE MORNING. ERRATIC WINDS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

$$
FORECASTER...HUMPHREY
REQUESTED BY...MIKE ORTNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140820.BEAVE.01/BYZ


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