Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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FNUS71 KCTP 241042
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for BU Unit 1...Silvix
National Weather Service State College PA
542 AM EST Fri Nov 24 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EST on November 24.

If conditions become unrepresentative...
contact the National Weather Service in State College.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will bring dry weather and seasonable temperatures
to the Lewisburg region today.  A cold front will bring a chance of
rain showers to the area on Saturday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 48.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds, becoming south around
                    5 mph in the afternoon, then becoming light and
                    variable late.
Mixing height.......200-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 4...or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  21  17  8   3   2   2   2   2   1   0   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............25  25  29  33  36  39  42  45  45  45  45  43
RH..............88  84  78  69  64  57  50  45  47  49  51  55
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   3   4   4   4   4   3
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.9 2.0 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   5   6   7   8   9   8   7   6   6
Haines index....2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 31.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds.
Mixing height.......200-300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4...or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........2   0   2   5   6   7   10  12  16  25  30  36
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............40  38  37  36  35  34  33  32  32  32  32  31
RH..............62  67  70  72  75  78  82  85  88  88  88  92
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   5   5   5
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). A chance of rain
                    showers in the morning. A slight chance of rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 49.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds.
Mixing height.......200-600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 2 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 4...or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........50  57  61  69  73  75  78  80  79  77  76  75
Weather cov.....    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............31  31  34  37  40  42  45  47  47  46  46  45
RH..............88  88  85  82  76  76  70  71  71  76  76  79
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   7   8   8   8   7   6   3   2   2
Haines index....4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...WFO-CTP/Ross
Requested by...Shannon Henry
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1719099.0/CTP
.EMAIL Shannon@silvixforestry.com



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