Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Eureka, CA

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FNUS76 KEKA 291900
FWSEKA

SPOT FORECAST FOR TULE CREEK UNIT 4...WATERSHED RESEARCH AND TRAINING CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
1200 PM PDT FRI APR 29 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON APRIL 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD THIS WEEKEND BRINGING DRYING AND WARMING.
GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING
OVER THE UPPER ELEVATIONS AND EXPOSED RIDGES WHERE OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES WILL BE POOR. OTHERWISE WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT WITH GOOD
OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING UPSLOPE AROUND 5 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL INCREASING 3000-4000 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-94 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT EAST WINDS.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...EAST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON,
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.


.OUTLOOK MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL SLOWLY
APPROACH THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST NEXT WEEK. THIS TROUGH WILL
PRODUCE GRADUAL COOLING THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S MON
AND TUE WILL LIKELY FALL INTO THE MID 60S WED AND THU. WINDS SHOULD
BE TERRAIN DRIVEN...GENERALLY LIGHT DRAINAGE DURING THE NIGHT AND MORNING
HOURS AND UPVALLEY/UPSLOPE IN THE AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS AROUND 10
TO 20 MPH. THE TROUGH WILL ALSO BRING INCREASING CLOUD COVER AND
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS NEXT WEEK. THE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS
HIGHLY UNCERTAIN RIGHT NOW. IT APPEARS THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE ON WED
AND THU. IF STORMS DEVELOP...A QUARTER TO HALF AN INCH OF RAIN WILL BE
POSSIBLE. GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

$$
FORECASTER...DJB
REQUESTED BY...GEORGE P  CHAPMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160430.TULEC.02/EKA



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