Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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855
FNUS74 KEPZ 261600
FWSEPZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR TIMBER...NM STATE/USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1000 AM MDT TUE JUL 26 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0940 MDT ON JULY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA WILL CIRCULATE ADDITIONAL
MOISTURE OVER THE AREA TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...FOR AN UPTICK
IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY BOTH DAYS.  THIS WILL RESULT IN HEAVY RAIN
FROM MORE OF THE STORMS...WITH RAPID RUNOFF IN ADDITION TO LIGHTNING
AND 50 MPH WIND GUSTS AS THE MAIN IMPACTS.  RELATIVELY DRIER AIR REMAINS
FORECAST TO MOVE IN FROM THE NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY...BUT SCATTERED
STORM ACTIVITY WILLCONTINUEE FROM THE CONVECTION WITH RECYCLED
MOISTURE UNDER THE HIGH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9400-10800 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 4 KNOTS.
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (63700 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 3 KNOTS.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10200-11300 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 KNOTS.
MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD (136700 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...SILVER CITY DISPATCH
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160726.TIMBE.01/EPZ



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