Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FNUS75 KFGZ 031524
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK CREEK WASH RX...NAVAJO REGION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
824 AM MST TUE MAR 3 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON MARCH 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL PASS THROUGH THE
REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT BRINGING ONE MORE ROUND OF SNOW AND
RAIN SHOWERS. A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON IN THE HEAVIER SHOWERS. THE DISTURBANCE MOVES EAST
OF THE REGION WEDNESDAY...THOUGH NORTHEAST FLOW WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW NORMAL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-39.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-53 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    25 MPH.
MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT (141700 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......1417.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 7400
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 KNOTS...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    20 KNOTS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 21-23.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-93 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (7100 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......71.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING...DECREASING
                    TO 1700 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 KNOTS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO
                    10 KNOTS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. A
                    CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-34.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-42 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    20 MPH.
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (68300 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......683.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 3700
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 KNOTS...INCREASING TO 15 TO
                    20 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...RICKEY
REQUESTED BY...PHILLIP JAMES
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150303.BLACK.01/FGZ





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