Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FNUS75 KFGZ 171242
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR JACOB RYAN SOUTH...KNF KAIBAB NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
542 AM MST WED SEP 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON SEPTEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVING UP INTO NORTHERN ARIZONA
WILL BRING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO
THE BURN SITE THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
                    POSSIBLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-40.
WINDS (20 FT).......VARIABLE 3-6 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (64800 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......648.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 KNOTS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A FEW
                    THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 90 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......VARIABLE 0-4 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (300 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING...DECREASING
                    TO 300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-42 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......VARIABLE 3-6 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR (31300 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......313.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 KNOTS...BECOMING EAST LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...BOHLIN
REQUESTED BY...DAVE ROBINSON
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140917.JACOB.01/FGZ






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