Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FNUS74 KFWD 271603
FWSFWD

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK CREEK PINES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1103 AM CDT MON OCT 27 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1057 CDT ON OCTOBER 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

BREEZY SOUTH WINDS WILL OCCUR TODAY AT SPEEDS OF 15-20 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. THE WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING TO 10-15
MPH AND THEN BECOME LIGHT OVERNIGHT AS A FRONT APPROACHES. AS THE
FRONT APPROACHES THE WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST
AND THEN WEST. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE WILDFIRE AROUND
DAYBREAK OR A LITTLE BEFORE DAYBREAK TUESDAY MORNING. NORTH-
NORTHEAST WINDS OF 10-15 MPH WILL PREVAIL ON TUESDAY.

HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP TO AROUND 40 PERCENT TODAY AND TUESDAY.
WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 80S TODAY WILL BE COOLER IN
THE MID 70S ON TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100-3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 29 TO 31 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MAX HAINES INDEX....4 (LOW).
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........25     25     25     31
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............70     78     82     84
RH..............62     50     44     41
20 FT WIND......S 11   S 12   S 13   S 13
20 FT WIND GUST.25     25     30     30
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 8    S 8    S 10   S 10
MIX HGT (FT)....1500   2300   2800   3000
TRANSPORT WIND..S 29   S 30   S 31   S 31
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 23 TO 28 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7
                    MPH.
MAX HAINES INDEX....4 (LOW).
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........40     48     56     64     67     67
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............80     71     69     66     63     62
RH..............47     63     71     76     84     87
20 FT WIND......S 11   S 10   S 11   S 10   SW 6   W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.25     20     25     20     10     5
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 8    S 7    S 8    S 7    SW 4   W 2
MIX HGT (FT)....1200   500    1000   800    600    400
TRANSPORT WIND..S 25   S 24   S 28   S 23   S 13   SW 5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      3      3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 17
                    TO 26 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MAX HAINES INDEX....3 (VERY LOW).
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........66     64     60     55     52     51
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............60     59     64     69     72     73
RH..............90     87     67     57     48     41
20 FT WIND......N 4    N 7    NE 10  NE 9   NE 9   NE 8
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     20     15     15     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 3    N 5    NE 7   NE 7   NE 7   NE 6
MIX HGT (FT)....1200   1800   2300   3100   3800   4400
TRANSPORT WIND..N 13   N 22   NE 26  NE 25  NE 22  NE 20
HAINES INDEX....3      2      2      2      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...JLDUNN
REQUESTED BY...T BUCHANAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20141027.BLACK.01/FWD






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