Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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000
FNUS74 KFWD 161634
FWSFWD

Spot Forecast for prescribed...ccvfd
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1034 AM CST Fri Feb 16 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CST on February 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Gusty north winds will begin to decrease this evening as the
pressure gradient slackens. An upper level disturbance will bring
a round of showers overnight with an isolated thunderstorm
possible. Light northeast winds on Saturday will shift around to
the southeast on Sunday. Rain chances will return on Sunday and
continue periodically through the middle of next week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the morning, then chance
                    of rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to around
                    24 mph.
Mixing height.......2700-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 26 to 35 mph shifting to the northeast 24
                    to 25 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Eye level winds.....North winds 7 to 9 mph with gusts to around 12
                    mph.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........78  96  93  91  88  86  84
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............49  50  53  53  54  54  53
RH..............56  54  46  43  40  40  41
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..18  17  16  15  14  14  13
20 FT wind gust.24  22  23  21  20  18  18
Eye lvl wnd dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Eye lvl wnd spd.9   9   8   8   7   7   6
Eye lvl wnd gst.12  11  12  10  10  9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.1 2.9 2.7
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   NE
Transp wind spd.35  32  30  29  26  25  24
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers in the evening, then rain showers
                    likely after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 12 mph becoming light.
Mixing height.......900-2500 ft AGL decreasing to 100 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast 13 to 22 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 8 to 13 mph in the late evening and
                    overnight, then shifting to the southwest
                    around 7 mph early in the morning.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds up to 6 mph becoming light.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........82  86  90  94  92  90  88  92  96  100 100 100
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............51  48  47  46  46  46  45  45  44  44  42  42
RH..............44  49  51  53  55  55  60  62  68  70  79  79
20 FT wind dir..N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   NW  NW  W
20 FT wind spd..12  9   8   7   6   5   5   5   6   6   6   3
20 FT wind gust.16  14  12                                  4
Eye lvl wnd dir.N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   NW  NW  W
Eye lvl wnd spd.6   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.8   7   6
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 1.7 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   NW  W   SW
Transp wind spd.22  18  16  13  10  9   8   9   12  13  10  7
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2   2   2   2   2

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Rain showers in
                    the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 6 mph in
                    the afternoon, then shifting to the northeast
                    around 5 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......100-1900 ft AGL increasing to 2300-3100 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 3 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming northwest around 3 mph in
                    the afternoon, then shifting to the northeast
                    late in the afternoon.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........100 94  89  83  77  72  66  62  59  56  52  49
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............42  41  40  43  44  49  52  55  58  59  59  58
RH..............82  85  92  86  86  74  66  59  53  51  51  53
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  N   NE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   6   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.                4   4
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW  W   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  N   NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.3 2.7 3.1 2.9 2.7
Transp wind dir.S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  N   N
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   5   7   9   12  12  12  10  10  9
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Bishop
Requested by...james
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1802075.0/FWD
.EMAIL miller150041@gmail.com


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