Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 281426
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WRF BATTLEMENTS RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
826 AM MDT SAT MAR 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0810 MDT ON MARCH 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE RIDGE AXIS ALOFT WILL BE PUSHED EAST THIS AFTERNOON TURNING WINDS
TO THE WEST/SOUTHWEST. TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL SHOULD ALLOW
DEEP MIXING TO TAP INTO THESE WINDS AND COULD LEAD TO A FEW GUSTS
AROUND 20 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON. EXPECT UPSLOPE WINDS TO OCCUR BY LATE
MORNING WHICH SHOULD BECOME MORE WESTERLY BY MID AFTERNOON AS
UPVALLEY AND MIXING WINDS OCCUR. DOWNSLOPE THEN DOWNVALLEY WINDS
OCCUR NEAR AND AFTER SUNSET. A WEAK SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE FLOW
TONIGHT WITH NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. WINDS ALOFT TURN BACK TO
THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THIS SYSTEM A LIGHTEN SOMEWHAT FOR SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%) THROUGH 1100 THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/SOUTHEAST WINDS NEAR 5 MPH BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY 1000 BEFORE SHIFTING TO
                    UPSLOPE/NORTH AT 7 TO 12 MPH BY 1200. WINDS
                    COULD TURN TO WEST AT PEAK HEATING WITH A FEW
                    GUSTS TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE. RIDGE TOP WINDS
                    WEST/SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH 1000 THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL OR LESS THROUGH 1100 THEN INCREASING
                    TO 11800 BY FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 25 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS DOWNSLOPE/SOUTH AT 6 TO 9 MPH NEAR
                    SUNSET. THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD NEAR SUNSET DECREASING TO POOR BY LATE
                    EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL NEAR SUNSET DECREASING TO 1400 FT
                    AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 MPH NEAR SUNSET BECOMING DOWNSLOPE
                    DOWNVALLEY 6 TO 11 MPH BY MID EVENING.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 73 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING
                    UPSLOPE/NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR BY 1100 INCREASING TO EXCELLENT BY 1400.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 14 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...TONI TOELLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150328.WRFBA.01/GJT


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