Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 012226
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAGOSA...PAGOSA FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
426 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1606 MDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE EVENING.  AFTER A LULL IN THE
ACTIVITY LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING...EXPECT MORE SHOWERS
AND STORMS IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F (REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON).
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH. ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL THIS AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING SOUTH 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...PAUL FRISBIE
REQUESTED BY...JOHN GILBERT
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20140801.PAGOS.01/GJT



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