Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS72 KILM 171410
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR GREEN SWMAP MEYERS 2...TNC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
910 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON JANUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
AREAS OF DENSE FOG THIS MORNING ACROSS ALL BUT THE CAPE FEAR
COASTAL AREA SHOULD DISSIPATE AROUND NOON. A WARM FRONT LOCATED
JUST OFFSHORE WILL LIFT NORTH THROUGH THE AREA AROUND NOON OR VERY
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS TURNING
WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE FOG THIS
                    MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX VENT RATE.......16905 MPH-FT.
MAX LVORI...........10.
MAX ADI.............17.

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........99  81  67  62  60  58  56  55
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............51  53  59  65  66  68  67  64
RH..............99  99  90  79  76  72  75  80
CHC PCPN (%)....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  E   SE  S   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..1   1   3   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.1   3   7   10  10  13  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.8 1.8 1.6 0.8
TRANS WND DIR...NE  E   SE  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANS WND SPD...2   3   5   8   9   9   9   7
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5
VR MPH-FT/1000..1   1   4   9   17  17  15  6
STABILITY.......F   F   E   D   D   D   D   D
LVORI...........5   4   3   3   3   3   3   4
ADI.............3   5   7   12  17  17  16  8
APARNT TMP (F)..51  53  60  68  69  68  67  64
SFC PRES (IN)...021 021 021 015 015 015 015 015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH.
MIN VENT RATE.......1609 MPH-FT.
MAX LVORI...........8.
MIN ADI.............4.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........54     52     50     42     42     51
WEATHER COV.....                            ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............62     58     58     58     58     57
RH..............86     95     96     96     96     98
CHC PCPN (%)....0      0      0      0      0      0
20 FT WIND......SW 6   SW 6   SW 7   SW 7   SW 8   SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....300    300    300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 7   SW 7   SW 9   SW 9   SW 10  SW 10
HAINES INDEX....5      4      3      3      4      4
VR MPH-FT/1000..2      2      2      2      2      3
STABILITY.......E      E      D      D      D      D
LVORI...........5      7      6      6      6      8
ADI.............4      5      8      8      9      9
APARNT TMP (F)..62     58     58     58     58     57
SFC PRES (IN)...30.15  30.12  30.12  30.12  30.07  30.07

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO 13 TO 22 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX VENT RATE.......47149 MPH-FT.
MAX LVORI...........8.
MAX ADI.............44.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........62     72     80     78     68     48
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............57     59     63     68     70     68
RH..............99     94     84     73     66     64
CHC PCPN (%)....20     20     20     20     0      0
20 FT WIND......SW 8   SW 9   W 10   W 10   W 9    NW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     20     20     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....300    200    300    1400   1900   1400
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10  SW 10  W 13   W 20   W 21   W 15
HAINES INDEX....4      3      4      4      3      3
VR MPH-FT/1000..3      3      3      30     40     22
STABILITY.......C      D      D      D      D      C
LVORI...........8      5      4      3      3      2
ADI.............8      12     13     32     40     28
APARNT TMP (F)..57     59     63     68     70     68
SFC PRES (IN)...30.07  30.03  30.03  30.03  29.98  29.98

$$
FORECASTER...ARMSTRONG
REQUESTED BY...ANGIE CARL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700467.0/ILM
.EMAIL ACARL@TNC.ORG



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