Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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791
FNUS72 KJAX 240824
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAISLEY...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
424 AM EDT TUE MAY 24 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MAY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CAROLINAS WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST
AND OFF THE EAST COAST TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AN EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW REGIME IS
EXPECTED TODAY. RH VALUES WILL DECREASE INTO THE MIDDLE 30 PERCENT
RANGE THIS AFTERNOON. ELEVATED DISPERSION INDICES ARE EXPECTED
FOR THE OCALA NATIONAL FOREST TODAY DUE TO INCREASED TRANSPORT
WINDS.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...SIGNIFICANT FOG FORMATION IS NOT
EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT)...BECOMING
                    PARTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-6300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 1 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 15 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....1 INCREASING TO 84.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........10     18     25     28     40
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............74     83     88     90     88
RH..............68     48     39     35     36
20 FT WIND......E 3    E 6    E 7    E 7    E 11
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     11     15
DISPERSION IDX..10     51     60     69     88
LVORI...........3      1      1      1      1
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1400 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 15 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 2 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....81 DECREASING TO 2.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........18     13     13     13     12     10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............86     81     75     72     70     68
RH..............39     49     62     71     76     81
20 FT WIND......E 8    E 8    E 6    E 3    E 1    E 1
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     5
DISPERSION IDX..85     13     4      1      1      1
LVORI...........1      2      3      4      4      6
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     0      0

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-6300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 2 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 15 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO INCREASING TO 37 LATE
                    IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO AROUND 85
                    IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 67.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........8      6      8      9      11     18
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............66     69     80     87     90     90
RH..............87     84     56     40     33     32
20 FT WIND......E 1    E 2    E 6    E 8    E 8    E 10
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      10     15     15     15
DISPERSION IDX..0      2      37     83     87     67
LVORI...........7      5      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...DWIGHT SNOW
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160524.PAISL.01/JAX



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