Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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000
FNUS72 KJAX 201414
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR WARNER ZBLOCK...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
913 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EST ON DECEMBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH TONIGHT.
RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE SUNDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH WILL PREVAIL...WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WELL
ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...SIGNIFICANT FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS TO 15 MPH
                    POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....18 INCREASING TO 29 IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........80     64     68     75
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............63     68     68     68
RH..............86     71     67     72
20 FT WIND......NE 5   NE 7   NE 9   NE 9
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1700   2400   2500   2500
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 8   N 8    N 9    N 10
LVORI...........3      3      2      3
DISPERSION INDX.18     24     27     29
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 10 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....9 TO 13.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........74     76     80     82     86     92
WEATHER COV.....                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............63     60     59     58     57     56
RH..............80     88     94     96     100    100
20 FT WIND......NE 7   N 5    N 5    N 5    N 6    N 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10                          10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2100   1400   600    600    600    600
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 10  NE 10  NE 10  NE 10  NE 12  NE 12
LVORI...........4      4      5      5      6      6
DISPERSION INDX.13     10     9      9      9      9
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 10 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....16 INCREASING TO 29 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........92     92     91     91     92     92
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............55     56     62     67     69     69
RH..............100    100    94     81     76     76
20 FT WIND......N 7    NE 7   NE 8   NE 9   NE 10  NE 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....700    1300   2500   2700   2900   2900
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 10  NE 13  NE 14  NE 14  NE 14  NE 13
LVORI...........5      5      4      3      3      3
DISPERSION INDX.13     19     32     32     32     31
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     30     30     40     40
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...MARK REDDISH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141220.WARNE.02/JAX






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