Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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000
FNUS76 KLOX 231630
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for Frazier MTN Pile Burn...USFS LPF
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
930 AM PDT Thu Mar 23 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 PDT on March 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Gusty northerly winds behind the passage of a low
pressure system last night will diminish this afternoon with much
lighter winds Friday and Saturday mornings. Humidities will decrease
through the afternoon as a drier air mass moves in. Good recoveries
are expected at the burn site overnight but poor recoveries expected
just above the valley floor and over the higher slopes and ridges.
There is a chance of rain late Friday night into Saturday morning as
a weak weather system moves in. Gusty northwest winds will return
Saturday night and Sunday behind the system.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy with a chance of snow showers in the morning.
                    Mostly sunny by afternoon.
Temperature.........34 at ignition...Max 44.
RH..................90-95 percent at ignition...Min 42 percent...except
                    20-30 percent at higher elevations by afternoon.
Eye level winds.....Northwest 6-12 mph with gusts to 22
                    mph...decreasing to 5-10 mph with gusts to 15 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest 10-15 with gusts to 25 mph at ignition...
                    becoming 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Northwest 15-25 mph with gusts to 40 mph...decreasing to
                    10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL at ignition...rising to 2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Temperature.........Min 19.
RH..................Max 60-70 percent...except max 25-35 percent at higher
                    elevations.
Eye level winds.....Northwest 5-10 mph. Gusts to 15 mph in the evening.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest 6-12 mph. Gusts to 20 mph in the evening.
 Ridgetop...........Northwest 10-15 mph. Gusts to 25 mph in the evening.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL in the evening lowering to 500 ft overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 20 mph decreasing to around 10
                    mph after midnight.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Temperature.........Max 53.
RH..................Min 20-30 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest 3-5 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest 4-8 mph shifting to west to southwest in the
                    afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Northwest 10-15 mph shifting to southwest in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL increasing to 4500 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 5-10 mph.

$$
Forecaster...MW
Requested by...Capt David Carrera
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1704969.1/LOX
.EMAIL dcarrera@fs.fed.us



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