Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FNUS74 KMAF 131646
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOLDIER RX...ALAMOGORDO DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1146 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON APRIL 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER.


...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...STRONG COLD FRONT WITH A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH LATE TONIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...
INTENSE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE WILL
RESULT IN VERY WINDY CONDITIONS THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. RH/S
WILL DROP TO 7 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND RESULT IN CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE TONIGHT AND RESULT IN WIND SHIFT TO THE
NORTH AND NORTHEAST WITH FAIR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. MUCH COOLER
AND MORE MOIST EXPECTED MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........7 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........VERY WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
                    GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 33
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (224900 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............66     71     75     75
RH..............15     10     8      7
20 FT WIND DIR..SW     W      W      W
20 FT WIND SPD..25     30     33     33
20 FT WIND GUST.40     40     45     45
MIX HGT (FT)....2500   8000   9000   9000
TRANS WIND DIR..W      W      W      W
TRANS WIND SPD..30     30     30     30
VENT CAT........GOOD   EXCLNT EXCLNT EXCLNT
LAL.............1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX....3      3      4      4

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
MAX HUMIDITY........57 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........STRONG WINDS. WEST WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 55 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 30 TO 40 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 50 MPH LATE TONIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (203000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO GOOD
                    (40500 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............69     56     48     43     41     35
RH..............9      14     20     29     42     57
20 FT WIND DIR..W      W      W      W      NW     NW
20 FT WIND SPD..33     35     40     40     30     30
20 FT WIND GUST.50     55     55     55     40     40
MIX HGT (FT)....7000   7000   500    500    500    1500
TRANS WIND DIR..W      W      W      W      W      N
TRANS WIND SPD..30     40     40     45     45     45
VENT CAT........EXCLNT EXCLNT POOR   POOR   POOR   FAIR
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      2

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........STRONG WINDS. NORTHEAST WINDS 22 TO 32 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (69900 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............31     33     38     41     43     43
RH..............53     49     41     35     31     29
20 FT WIND DIR..NE     NE     NE     NE     NE     NE
20 FT WIND SPD..35     35     30     25     25     20
20 FT WIND GUST.50     50     45     40     35     30
MIX HGT (FT)....1000   1000   2000   4000   4000   5000
TRANS WIND DIR..N      N      NE     N      N      N
TRANS WIND SPD..26     26     24     18     18     14
VENT CAT........POOR   POOR   FAIR   GOOD   GOOD   GOOD
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2      2      2

$$

FORECASTER...CICCONE
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140413.SOLDI.01/MAF






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