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Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

000
FNUS72 KMFL 231534
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR LPK TRAINING WF...EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1134 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1122 EDT ON MAY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A FEW SHOWERS WERE NEAR THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING...AND A BRIEF
PASSING SHOWER IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. A LIGHT
WESTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. THE
EAST COAST SEA BREEZE IS NOT EXPECTED TO MAKE IT AS FAR WEST AS
THE BURN SITE...BUT THE WINDS MAY BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE
MID/LATE AFTERNOON AS THE BOUNDARY TRIES TO PUSH INLAND. THERE IS
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON...AND SOME STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT OR CALM OVERNIGHT. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THIS
AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 45-50 PERCENT...WITH RH
RECOVERY TONIGHT NEAR 100 PERCENT. WIDESPREAD FOG IS NOT
ANTICIPATED...BUT LIGHT PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR DAYBREAK.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 47 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....21 INCREASING TO 49 EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 39 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
SKY (%).........40     40     40     40     40     40
WEATHER COV.....              CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV........              CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............88     91     92     90     84     79
RH..............68     56     51     49     61     72
20 FT WIND......W 2    W 2    W 4    W 3    W 3    NW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....3100   3100   4500   4000   4000   2200
MIXNG WIND......W 6    W 6    W 9    W 8    W 8    W 7
DISPERSION IDX..21     21     49     39     39     3
LVORI...........2      2      1      1      1      4
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     30     30     10
LAL.............1      1      3      3      3      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 1 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 9
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 42.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...KENNEDY
REQUESTED BY...WILLIAM GRAHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130523.LPKTR.01/MFL