Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 200531
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for North Pelican...USFS Klamath Ranger District
National Weather Service Medford OR
1031 PM PDT Sat Aug 19 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0600 PDT on August 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions will persist Sunday into Monday. Overall, there will
be an upward trend in temperature and a downward trend in
humidity on Sunday followed by worse RH recovery Sunday night. A
shift in winds is expected on Monday to more southerly, but
they`ll become westerly in the afternoon. Confidence is growing
that moisture and instability will increase substantially Tuesday
into Wednesday bringing our next threat for significant lightning.
Dry, breezy weather should return late in the week.


.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mainly sunny. Areas of smoke.
Max temperature.....74-78.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....East-northeast 0-2 mph early becoming north-northwest
                    and increasing to 2-5 mph with gusts to 7 mph.
WIND (20 FT)........East-northeast 4-8 mph becoming north-northwest and
                    increasing to 6-12 mph with gusts to 18 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East-northeast becoming north 10 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 (low).

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Areas of smoke.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........35 percent upper elevations to 55 drainages.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....North 2-5 mph with gusts to 7 mph becoming southeast 1-2 mph.
WIND (20 FT)........North 6-12 mph with gusts to 18 mph in the evening becoming
                    southeast 2-5 mph.
Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL early
                    in the evening.
Transport winds.....North 10 mph becoming southeast overnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. Areas of smoke.
Max temperature.....77-81.
Min humidity........15 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Southeast 1-2 mph becoming southwest 2-5 mph by late morning,
                    then west at similar speeds in the afternoon. Gusts to 8 mph.
WIND (20 FT)........Southeast 2-5 mph becoming southwest 5-10 mph by late morning,
                    then west at similar speeds with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 8500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 mph becoming west-southwest 10-15 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 (low).

$$
Forecaster...SPILDE
Requested by...SCOFMP IMT3 Team
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1714486.3/MFR



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