Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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657
FNUS76 KMFR 220259
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Goosenest East Side Piles...USFS
National Weather Service Medford OR
659 PM PST Tue Nov 21 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 PST on November 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
An offshore low pressure system will send a few disturbances
through the area Wednesday, generating moderate winds. Thursday,
this system will push a cold front onshore, bringing stronger
winds, and possible rain. Snow levels will be around 10,000 feet.
Besides a slight chance of showers, Friday will be a break from
active weather. This weekend, a very wet, windy system will
approach from the southwest. Expect sustained winds of at least
20 mph at times. Precipitation amounts are a challenge
to predict, as much will depend on the track of this system. But,
a half inch over the weekend seems likely now.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....55-60.
Min humidity........4o to 45 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....South winds 4 to 5 mph.
WIND (20 FT)........South winds 13 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......200-1000 ft AGL increasing to 3000 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 18 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain after
                    midnight.
Min temperature.....40 to 45.
Max humidity........75 to 80 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....South winds 4 to 5 mph.
WIND (20 FT)........South 12 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 17 mph.
CWR.................9 percent.

.THANKSGIVING DAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain in the morning,
                    then a slight chance of rain in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....50 to 55.
Min humidity........60 to 65 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Southwest winds 3 to 4 mph.
WIND (20 FT)........Southwest winds 9 to 12 mph, gusting to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL increasing to 2900 ft AGL late
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 22 mph.
CWR.................36 percent.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs
in the lower to mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs
49 to 54. South winds 10 to 18 mph gusting to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs
in the mid to upper 40s. South winds 13 to 20 mph gusting to 25
mph.

$$
Forecaster...COHEN
Requested by...John Brodbeck
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1719077.0/MFR



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