Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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FNUS72 KMHX 281105
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for C 43 Morton Field Rd...USFS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
705 AM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on June 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will build in from the west today, and then shift
offshore Thursday. High pressure remains offshore through the
weekend with troughing inland through early next week.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds, becoming northeast 5 to 6 mph
                    until late afternoon, then becoming southeast
                    around 6 mph late.
Mixing height.......Max 7700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 13 mph, becoming east around 3
                    mph late.
Vent Rate...........Max 35075 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 5.
ADI.................Max 57.
Haines index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.06 to 30.14 inHg.

TIME (EDT)         8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)............3   3   3   3   4   6   7   7   7   7
Weather cov........
Weather type.......
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............68  74  78  81  83  85  86  86  86  85
RH.................70  55  47  39  35  32  29  31  34  36
20 FT wind dir.....N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   SE
20 FT wind spd.....5   6   6   6   5   5   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust....                        5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)......0.3 2.2 4.2 6.1 6.6 7.2 7.7 7.7 7.7 7.7
Transp wind dir....N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  E
Transp wind spd....9   12  13  13  12  10  8   6   5   3
LVORI..............3   2   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2
ADI................7   29  47  57  55  48  40  29  20  17
Haines index.......5   5   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5
VRate mph-ft/1000..2   15  27  35  35  33  29  20  12  10
Stability class....F   F   F   F   B   A   A   A   B   B

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph early in the
                    evening, becoming light.
Mixing height.......Min 300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 2 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 345 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 7.
ADI.................Min 1.
Haines index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.10 to 30.18 inHg.

TIME (EDT)         6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)............7   6   6   6   6   6   7   9   10  9   8   8
Weather cov........
Weather type.......
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............83  80  77  74  71  70  69  69  69  68  66  64
RH.................40  47  54  64  71  73  76  78  78  81  87  93
20 FT wind dir.....SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd.....4   5   5   4   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust....5           5   5
Mix hgt (kft)......6.1 4.4 2.7 1.9 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir....E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd....6   8   10  9   8   6   5   3   2   2   2   2
LVORI..............2   2   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   6   6   7
ADI................25  4   5   4   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1
Haines index.......4   4   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
VRate mph-ft/1000..15  14  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   0   0
Stability class....B   B   B   A   A   A   F   F   F   F   F   F

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds, becoming south 5 to 9 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......Max 6600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 94185 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 7.
ADI.................Max 46.
Haines index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.14 to 30.21 inHg.

TIME (EDT)         6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%)............9      13     18     25     30     30
Weather cov........
Weather type.......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............64     69     77     82     85     84
RH.................97     87     62     49     45     46
20 ft wind.........SE 1   SE 2   SE 5   SE 7   SE 8   SE 8
20 ft wind gust....                     10     15     15
Mix hgt (ft).......300    300    4000   6100   6600   6100
Transport wind.....SE 3   SE 7   SE 7   SE 7   SE 7   S 9
LVORI..............7      5      2      1      1      1
ADI................2      7      27     30     32     41
Haines index.......5      5      5      5      4      5
VRate mph-ft/1000..0      1      27     62     85     94
Stability class....F      F      F      B      B      B

$$
Forecaster...Kearns
Requested by...David Nelson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1711777.0/MHX
.EMAIL davidnelson@fs.fed.us



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