Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
000
FNUS74 KMOB 292003
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO  1162...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
303 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1520 CDT ON MARCH 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE NORTH
ON MONDAY...RESULTING IN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...
ESPECIALLY OVER INLAND AREAS LATE MONDAY MORNING AND MONDAY AFTERNOON.
THE FRONT STALLS ACROSS INLAND AREAS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI MONDAY NIGHT. INCREASINGLY SOUTHWESTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS
ALONG WITH DEEP MIXING HEIGHTS WILL YIELD GOOD DISPERSIONS BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON. GENERALLY GOOD DISPERSIONS ARE EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN ON
TUESDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...LIGHT PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE
TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST-NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    EAST-SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2700 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 9 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 14 TO 16
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 44 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 64 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 45 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3 DECREASING TO 1 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING C
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      4 PM
SKY (%)...........M
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE
TEMP..............72
RH................52
20 FT WIND DIR....M
20 FT WIND SPD....M
20 FT WIND GUST...14
MIX HGT (FT)......2700
MIX HGT (M).......820
TRANSP WIND DIR...S
TRANSP WIND SPD...15
TRANS SPD (M/S)...7
DISPERSION........45
LVORI.............1
STABILITY CLASS...C
CWR...............0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH BECOMING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 7 TO
                    10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....45 DECREASING TO 6.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 9.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........45     40     40     40     29     29
WEATHER COV.......                            PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
TEMP..............69     65     63     62     60     59
RH................60     70     79     85     91     97
20 FT WIND DIR....S      S      S      S      S      SSW
20 FT WIND SPD....9      7      6      6      5      4
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......2700   1500   600    600    300    300
MIX HGT (M).......820    460    180    180    90     90
TRANSP WIND DIR...S      S      S      S      S      SSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...15     12     10     10     9      7
TRANS SPD (M/S)...7      5      4      4      4      3
DISPERSION........45     8      7      7      4      3
LVORI.............1      3      4      4      6      9
STABILITY CLASS...C      E      F      F      F      F
CWR...............0      0      0      0      10     10

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AND RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 800 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 6400 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5800 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO
                    WEST-SOUTHWEST 14 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 32 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 62 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 45 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING C IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........29     52     52     52     56     56
WEATHER COV.......PATCHY S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......FOG    TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............58     60     69     77     80     81
RH................96     94     69     54     49     49
20 FT WIND DIR....SSW    SW     WSW    WSW    WSW    WSW
20 FT WIND SPD....4      2      4      4      7      5
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......300    800    3300   3300   6400   5800
MIX HGT (M).......90     240    1010   1010   1950   1770
TRANSP WIND DIR...SSW    SW     WSW    WSW    W      WSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...7      6      13     13     18     14
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3      3      6      6      8      6
DISPERSION........3      5      32     32     62     45
LVORI.............9      6      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...F      B      C      C      C      C
CWR...............10     20     20     20     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...32
REQUESTED BY...JAY BOYKIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150329.DESOT.02/MOB



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.