Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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490
FNUS74 KMOB 241303
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Chick Cpt 412...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
703 AM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CST on February 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A frontal boundary approaches the central Gulf coast
tonight. The front makes passage over the interior zones during
the early morning hours Saturday and over the coast by around
daybreak. The front brings a slight chance of showers tonight then
a much drier airmass filters in on Saturday following the frontal
passage. Good dispersion today north of the coast today and area wide
on Saturday.

Fog Potential And Other Remarks...Areas of morning fog today...
locally dense in spots reducing visibility to a half mile or less...
lifting by mid morning. Patchy fog and light showers tonight.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Areas of dense
                    fog early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......400-1900 ft AGL increasing to 2600-3900 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Mixing height (m)...122-579 meters AGL increasing to 792-1189
                    meters AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 15 mph increasing to 16 to 20 mph
                    late in the morning.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 7 meters/second increasing to 7 to 9
                    meters/second late in the morning.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 19 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 34 late in the morning increasing
                    to 48 late in the morning increasing to 64
                    increasing to 70 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 62.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........76     65     54     49     44     40
Weather cov.....AREAS
Weather type....FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............57     66     74     80     80     76
RH..............96     73     59     49     49     56
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..5      8      10     10     10     9
20 FT wind gust.10     15     15     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....700    1300   2600   3500   3900   3900
Mix hgt (m).....210    400    790    1070   1190   1190
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.8      13     17     20     20     16
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).4      6      8      9      9      7
Dispersion idx..7      19     48     68     72     62
LVORI...........6      3      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......1200-2000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...366-610 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 16 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 15 to 22 mph after midnight.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 5 to 7 meters/second shifting to the
                    northwest 7 to 10 meters/second after midnight.
Dispersion index....11.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........39     50     57     68     50     38
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............73     68     63     60     57     53
RH..............62     73     87     96     86     80
20 FT wind dir..S      S      SW     SW     W      W
20 FT wind spd..8      7      6      6      6      6
20 FT wind gust.15     10     10     10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....2000   1300   1300   1200   1600   1600
Mix hgt (m).....610    400    400    370    490    490
Transp wind dir.S      S      SW     SW     NW     NW
Transp wind spd.14     14     13     13     20     18
Trans wind dir..S      S      SW     SW     NW     NW
Trans spd (m/s).6      6      6      6      9      8
Dispersion idx..13     12     10     11     13     10
LVORI...........2      4      4      6      4      4

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......1200-2900 ft AGL increasing to 3500-4700 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Mixing height (m)...366-884 meters AGL increasing to 1067-1433
                    meters AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 17 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Northwest 5 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....25 increasing to 38 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 51 late in the morning increasing
                    to 62 late in the morning increasing to 70
                    increasing to 84 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 71.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........20     15     9      4      3      2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............50     51     56     61     65     63
RH..............71     61     45     33     28     31
20 FT wind dir..NW     NW     NW     NW     NW     NW
20 FT wind spd..6      7      8      8      8      8
20 FT wind gust.10     10     15     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....1200   2000   2900   4000   4500   4700
Mix hgt (m).....370    610    880    1220   1370   1430
Transp wind dir.NW     N      NW     NW     NW     NW
Transp wind spd.12     14     17     17     17     15
Trans wind dir..NW     N      NW     NW     NW     NW
Trans spd (m/s).5      6      8      8      8      7
Dispersion idx..21     38     54     62     70     80
LVORI...........3      2      1      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...12
Requested by...Ryan Barnett
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702791.0/MOB
.EMAIL rbarnett@fs.fed.us



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