Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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000
FNUS71 KPHI 281930
FWSPHI

SPOT FORECAST FOR CRESCO COMPLEX FIRE...CRESCO COMPLEX SITL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
330 PM EDT THU APR 28 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1520 EDT ON APRIL 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A CHANCE OF RAIN TONIGHT AND TOMORROW AT THE BURN SITE.
HOWEVER...ANY PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE LIGHT...GENERALLY NEAR OR
LESS THAN A QUARTER INCH.

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKS JUST TO OUR SOUTH TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY, WITH ANOTHER WEAK SYSTEM ARRIVES BY LATE FRIDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD DOWN FROM THE NORTH SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.
LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO TRACK ACROSS OUR AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY BEFORE SHIFTING OFFSHORE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE MAY EXTEND INTO OUR AREA TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY, THEN THE
NEXT COLD FRONT ARRIVES ON THURSDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE.
CWR.................40 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE EXPECTED.

TIME (EDT)          3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............96     96
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................56     57
RH..................29     34
20 FT WIND..........SE 3   S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5
CWR.................40     50
CHC OF PCPN (%).....40     50
LAL.................1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
CWR.................60 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
WIND SHIFT..........LATE TONIGHT...WINDS COULD BE LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE FOR A TIME...BUT SHOULD SETTLE
                    OUT OF THE SOUTH OR SOUTHEAST BY SUNRISE.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............96     99     98     97     96     95
WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................55     50     49     47     46     44
RH..................39     54     60     64     71     76
20 FT WIND..........S 6    SW 6   S 5    S 5    S 3    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10                   5
CWR.................60     60     50     50     40     40
CHC OF PCPN (%).....60     60     50     50     40     40
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
WIND SHIFT..........BEGINNING SOUTH OR SOUTHEAST SHIFTING OUT OF
                    THE EAST BY MID DAY.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............94     92     92     92     92     93
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................42     44     47     50     52     52
RH..................84     78     70     63     59     59
20 FT WIND..........SE 6   E 6    E 6    E 6    E 6    SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....       10     10     10     10
CWR.................40     30     30     30     50     50
CHC OF PCPN (%).....40     30     30     30     50     50
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...JOHNSON
REQUESTED BY...JOHN HINTZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160428.CRESC.01/PHI



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