Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Raleigh/Durham, NC

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FNUS72 KRAH 141314
FWSRAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR BSA...NCFS D-3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
914 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EDT ON APRIL 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WARM MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE OVER THE AREA
TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE MOUNTAINS FROM
THE WEST LATE TONIGHT... THEN PROGRESS EAST ACROSS THE CAROLINAS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND INTO
THE AREA FROM THE NORTH WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2700-4500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO 21 TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............82     87     90
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............              ISOLTD
TEMP................70     74     74
RH..................63     57     59
20 FT WIND..........S 7    S 8    S 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     25     25
MIX HGT (FT)........2700   3900   4500
TRANSPORT WIND......S 25   S 24   S 22
LVORI...............1      1      1
ADI.................56     66     66

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 25 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............95     98     98     99     99     99
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............S CHC  S CHC  ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
TEMP................73     72     69     67     66     65
RH..................64     68     76     81     84     87
20 FT WIND..........S 7    S 6    S 5    S 6    S 6    S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)........4500   300    300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND......S 18   S 16   S 20   S 24   S 25   S 20
LVORI...............1      3      3      3      4      4
ADI.................55     16     16     21     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...FIGURSKEY
REQUESTED BY...JEREMY CALLICUTT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140414.BSA__.01/RAH



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