Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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FNUS71 KRNK 172123
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG WILSON...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
523 PM EDT THU APR 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON APRIL 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL MAINTAIN CONTROL OF WEATHER
CONDITIONS ON FRIDAY WITH A FAIRLY COOL EASTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE
REGION. LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS INTO THE AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS IN THE
LOW 50S AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LEVELS NEAR 40 PERCENT.

LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP LATER FRIDAY ALONG THE GULF COAST
AND TRACK TOWARD THE SOUTH ATLANTIC COAST. MOISTURE FROM
THIS SYSTEM WILL PUSH RAPIDLY NORTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND INTO
SATURDAY WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF MEASURABLE RAINFALL ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA MUCH
OF SATURDAY. THE NORTH MAY REMAIN DRY BUT CLOUDY WITH EASTERLY
FLOW PERSISTING.

THE LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE OFF THE COAST BY SUNDAY...WITH
HIGH PRESSURE AND CLEARING SKIES  BUILDING BACK IN ACROSS THE AREA.
OUR NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL COME TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT
WHEN A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS.
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............17     18     14     5      0      7
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................45     43     42     40     40     39
RH..................31     38     43     45     51     55
20 FT WIND..........SE 2   SE 2   SE 1   SE 1   SE 2   SE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      10     10     10     10
CWR.................0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX........4      3      3      3      3      3

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT SOUTH WIND IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............23     30     56     59     62     62
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................38     40     44     47     50     51
RH..................58     54     48     44     42     40
20 FT WIND..........S 1    S 3    S 5    S 6    S 6    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     8      10     10     10
CWR.................0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX........3      3      3      3      3      2

$$
FORECASTER...STONEFIELD
REQUESTED BY...SAM LINDBLOM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140418.BIGWI.01/RNK



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