Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FNUS74 KSJT 221359
FWSSJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR QUAIL BMUS...TPWD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO
859 AM CDT THU SEP 22 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
...CONDITIONS WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FEW DAYS NEAR
THE FIRE AREA TODAY. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL
ALLOWING FOR TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 90S DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL FALL TO AROUND 35 PERCENT WITH
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 5 TO 10 MPH. SCATTERED CLOUDS WILL
LIKELY DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON OVER THE FIRE
AREA AS WELL. EXPECT RH VALUES TO CLIMB OVER 40 PERCENT BY 8
PM...WITH A MAX RH VALUE NEAR 100 PERCENT. SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY WITH A MINIMUM RH OF AROUND 45
PERCENT AND A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS DURING THE AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (40500 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........7      9      17     21
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............81     87     90     91
RH..............54     40     38     37
20 FT WIND......S 6    SE 7   SE 8   SE 8
20 FT GUST......10     10     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....5200   6800   7500   7100
TRANS WIND......S 5    SE 5   SE 5   SE 8
VENT CAT........POOR   POOR   POOR   FAIR

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3200 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........22     23     23     22     28     50
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............90     82     78     75     73     72
RH..............38     53     67     76     84     90
20 FT WIND......SE 8   SE 7   SE 5   SE 6   SE 5   SE 3
20 FT GUST......15     10     10     10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)....6300   3700   200    500    600    500
TRANS WIND......SE 9   SE 8   SE 3   SE 8   S 10   S 7
VENT CAT........FAIR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 5
                    TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (68300 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........58     54     73     56     51     52
WEATHER COV.....                            ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............70     71     78     84     88     90
RH..............97     93     76     57     48     45
20 FT WIND......SE 3   S 6    S 8    S 9    S 10   S 10
20 FT GUST......5      10     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....600    1400   2900   5100   6300   6500
TRANS WIND......S 6    S 7    S 10   S 12   S 12   S 13
VENT CAT........POOR   POOR   POOR   FAIR   GOOD   GOOD

$$

FORECASTER...NAGLE
REQUESTED BY...WESLEY EVANS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160922.QUAIL.01/SJT



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