Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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761
FNUS74 KTSA 051447
FWSTSA

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WRIGHTS BOTTOM...CHOCTAW NATION FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
847 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON FEBRUARY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RETURN BY MID MORNING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS...WITH
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ON THE LOW SIDE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........45 AT IGNITION...MAX 51.
RH..................33 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100-5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 12 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
TEMP............45  48  49  50  51  51  50
DEWPT...........18  19  19  19  19  20  20
RH..............33  31  30  29  28  29  30
20FT WIND DIR...S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20FT SPD (MPH)..4   5   5   5   5   5   5
20FT GUST(MPH)..10  10  10  10  10  10  10
CLOUDS (%)......14  16  19  22  25  29  33
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
MIXHGT/100(FT)..031 044 051 054 055 056 054
TR WIND DIR.....S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S
TR WIND SPD(MPH)10  10  10  10  10  10  10
STABILITY.......B   B   B   B   C   C   D
1700FT MIX T (F)M   M   M   M   M   M   M
VENT/1000(M^3/S)004 006 007 007 007 008 007

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 30.
RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-2500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 50.
RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 13 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
TEMP............30  30  30  34  38  42  45  47  49  50  50  49
DEWPT...........25  26  26  27  29  30  32  31  31  30  30  30
RH..............81  85  85  75  70  62  60  53  50  46  46  48
20FT WIND DIR...W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20FT SPD (MPH)..3   3   4   4   4   3   3   4   5   5   5   4
20FT GUST(MPH)..5   5   10  10  10  5   5   10  10  10  10  10
CLOUDS (%)......54  48  42  36  30  24  19  17  14  12  9   6
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
MIXHGT/100(FT)..005 002 002 007 010 027 040 045 044 040 037 032
TR WIND DIR.....W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TR WIND SPD(MPH)5   5   5   6   7   8   9   12  12  13  13  13
STABILITY.......F   D   D   C   C   B   B   B   B   C   C   D
1700FT MIX T (F)M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
VENT/1000(M^3/S)000 000 000 001 001 003 005 007 007 007 007 006

$$
FORECASTER...K.HATFIELD
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT HAMLET
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160205.WRIGH.01/TSA



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