Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Las Vegas, NV

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130
FNUS75 KVEF 291745
FWSVEF

SPOT FORECAST FOR GROOM PEAK...AZ-CRD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1045 AM PDT FRI JUL 29 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1023 PDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
COMPLICATED FORECAST TODAY AS STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ARIZONA THIS AFTERNOON LIKELY MOVING IN
FROM THE SOUTH AND EAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING...GUSTY/ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS...AND
HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE LIKELY WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. OUTFLOW
WINDS MAY PROGRESS FAR FROM ANY STORMS AND REACH THE AREA WITH
LITTLE TO NO WARNING. OUTFLOW GUSTS COULD EXCEED 40 MPH.
OUTSIDE OF ANY STORMS...WINDS LOOK TO BECOME PRIMARILY SOUTHERLY
TO SOUTHWESTERLY THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING MORE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE LATE TONIGHT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....97-102.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
  20 FT-10 MIN AVG..UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY BELOW 10 MPH BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
  10K FT WIND.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)....15 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 INCREASING TO 2 IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
VENTILATION.........VERY GOOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
  20 FT-10 MIN AVG..SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH BECOMING LIGHT
                    AND VARIABLE LATE.
  10K FT WIND.......NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)....25 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 DECREASING TO 2 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13500 FT AGL FALLING TO BELOW 10000 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
VENTILATION.........GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...SHAFER
REQUESTED BY...IC M  DEFER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160729.GROOM.01/VEF



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