Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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800
FOUS30 KWBC 240830
QPFERD

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
430 AM EDT SAT JUN 24 2017

...VALID 12Z SAT JUN 24 2017 - 12Z SUN JUN 25 2017...
...REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHIC UNDER...DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...


MARGINAL RISK OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING FFG TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
50 SSE BID 30 E BLM JFK 10 SE OXC 25 E BVY.

MARGINAL RISK OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING FFG TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
20 W MAI JKA 10 WNW 2GL 25 WSW KVBS 25 NW KMZG 10 SE T65
30 WNW EBG 25 S SSF ECU 25 NNE 6R6 35 NW SJT 20 W SNK 15 S CVS
30 NW RTN 20 SW SPD 10 SW PPA 20 E LTS 25 WSW 1F0 15 SE DUA 4F4
15 SSE TVR 10 SW EET 15 SSE DNN 10 ESE GVL 15 WSW FQD 10 SE INT
20 NNE FFA 75 E FFA 60 SE HSE 80 SSE MRH 65 SSE MYR 10 SSE HXD
20 W DQH 20 W MAI.

MARGINAL RISK OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING FFG TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
105 S DMN 45 SSW SVC 30 NW SVC 50 NW TCS 60 N TCS 65 NNE TCS
35 NW 4CR 10 E 4CR 35 SE SRR 30 ENE ELP 60 SSE MMCS.

MARGINAL RISK OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING FFG TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
15 NNW TPA 30 E GNV 20 N DAB 10 E ORL 35 SSE BOW 35 ESE RSW
10 SSW APF 15 NNW TPA.

SLIGHT RISK OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING FFG TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
35 SSW HSE 35 SE CRE 15 NNW VDI 10 SSW OZR MOB 20 SSW MSY
15 E 7R5 15 W GLS 15 W RKP 55 SE SSF 25 W AUS 40 N JCT 10 N DYS
55 SSW CDS 20 SE F05 10 NNE ADS 25 SSE IER 25 NW PIB 50 W MGM
15 ESE FFC 30 N SSC 25 ENE OCW 60 ESE MQI 35 SSW HSE.



...SOUTHEAST TO TEXAS/NEW MEXICO...

A SLIGHT THREAT OF EXCESSIVE RAIN IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY FROM PARTS
OF THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES TO A LARGE
PORTION OF TX INTO NM. AN ANOMALOUS SURFACE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH A BROAD UPPER TROUGH AND ACTIVE WESTERLIES WILL SETTLE INTO
THE SOUTHERN TIER OF THE COUNTRY. THIS FRONT WILL INTERACT WITH AN
ELEVATED PLUME OF TROPICAL MOISTURE FOR ROUNDS OF SCATTERED
SHOWERS/STORMS WITH SOME ORGANIZATION. SOME OF THESE SPOTS,
INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF AL/MS AND LA ARE ALREADY
ATTEMPTING TO RECOVER FROM RECENT LOCAL HEAVY RAINS FROM CINDY.
THE GLOBAL MODELS AND HI-RES SUITE APPEAR TO HAVE A DECENT HANDLE
ON THE CONVECTIVE HEAVY RAINFALL ASPECTS OVER THE NEXT 24 HRS WITH
AREAL AVG AMOUNTS OF 1-3 INCHES POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
VALUES. THE MAIN AREAS FOR CONCERN ARE EASTERN PORTIONS OF NC/SC,
SOUTHERN TIER OF AL/MS/LA AND EAST CENTRAL TX.


MUSHER

$$





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