Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 172018
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
317 PM EST SUN DEC 17 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID DEC 18/0000 UTC THRU DEC 21/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES

ANOMALOUS MOISTURE AFFORDED BY A LONG FETCH OF DEEP ONSHORE FLOW
IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT HEAVY AMOUNTS ACROSS THE
OLYMPICS...NORTHERN CASCADES AND NORTHERN ROCKIES OF NORTHERN ID
AND NORTHWEST MT...WITH LIQUID EQUIVALENTS OF MORE THAN A FEW
INCHES POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHERN CASCADES BEFORE PRECIPITATION
BEGINS TO WANE ON MONDAY.  A SHORTWAVE RIDGE MOVING ACROSS THE
REGION LATE MON IS EXPECTED TO BRING A RELATIVE LULL TO THE
NORTHWEST BEFORE HEAVIER AMOUNTS RETURN IN THE DAY 2 PERIOD.


NORTHWEST MEXICO---SOUTHEAST ARIZONA---SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR
SOUTHWEST TEXAS

AN UPPER LOW NOW CENTERED NEAR THE AZ/MEX BORDER IS FORECAST TO
DRIFT SLOWLY EAST THIS PERIOD.  SHOWER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTH AND EAST ACROSS SOUTHEAST AZ...SOUTHERN
NM AND FAR WEST TX THIS PERIOD.  GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW SOME
MODERATE AMOUNTS LATE SUN INTO EARLY MON ACROSS THE FAVORED
TERRAIN OF SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH-CENTRAL NM...WITH THE HEAVIEST
TOTALS REMAINING FURTHER SOUTH WITH THE STRONGER LIFT ACROSS
NORTHWEST MEX.  BY LATE...MON WITH THE LOW BEGINNING TO SHEAR TO
THE NORTHEAST AND MOISTURE ADVECTION WANING...EXPECT ONLY LIGHT
AMOUNTS BY THE END OF THE DAY 1 PERIOD.


WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF COAST INTO THE SOUTHEAST

GUIDANCE SHOWS DEEP MOISTURE REMAINING IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION
ON MON...WITH THE GFS SHOWING PW ANOMALIES OF 1.5-2.5 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL ALONG A LINGERING FRONTAL BAND EXTENDING
FROM SC AND CENTRAL GA BACK INTO THE NORTHWEST GULF.  ORGANIZED
HEAVIER PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND SPREAD EAST FROM
NEAR THE UPPER TX COAST AND SOUTHERN LA ON MON AS THIS DEEP
MOISTURE INTERACTS WITH A WEAK MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE AND
RIGHT-ENTRANCE REGION UPPER JET DYNAMICS.  FORECAST CONFIDENCE
ACROSS THIS AREA IS BELOW AVERAGE...WITH THE 12 UTC MODELS SHOWING
SIGNIFICANT LATITUDINAL AND TIMING DIFFERENCES WITH RESPECT TO
HEAVIER AMOUNTS.  GIVEN THE SPREAD...WPC AMOUNTS REFLECT AN
ENSEMBLE APPROACH WITH SIGNIFICANT WEIGHT GIVEN TO THE HREF MEAN
AND THE 00 UTC ECMWF FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD.
HOWEVER...AS PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON MON...TRENDS
IN THE GUIDANCE...INCLUDING THE GFS...OFFERED ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO
SHIFT THE AXIS OF HEAVIER AMOUNTS A LITTLE FURTHER TO THE SOUTH --
NEARER THE UPPER TX COAST AND SOUTHERN LA INTO AN AREA OF DEEPER
MOISTURE AND GREATER INSTABILITY.

DAYS 2/3...


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES/NORTHERN
PLAINS...

A POSITIVELY TILTED LONG WAVE TROUGH APPROACHES THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST DURING DAY 2...CROSSING THE COAST AND MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES AND NORTHERN PLAINS DURING DAY 3. THERE WAS
GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE SYNOPTIC SCALE
FEATURES...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 12Z
ECMWF/GFS.

DAY 2...
AHEAD OF A POSITIVELY TILTED LONG WAVE TROUGH APPROACHING THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST LATE ON DAY 2...A 30 TO 40 KNOT LOW LEVEL
SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 0.75/1.00 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR
OVER WA...MAINLY IN THE 19/18Z TO 20/00Z TIME FRAME. THE BEST MID
LEVEL LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LONG WAVE TROUGH OCCURS DURING THIS
SAME TIME FRAME ACROSS WA/OR. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG UPSLOPE
FLOW AND DEEP MID LEVEL LIFT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN AREA OF
3.00 TO 4.00 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS THE OLYMPIC RANGE IN WESTERN WA.
THERE IS A MULTI MODEL SIGNAL SUPPORTING THESE AMOUNTS...AND GIVEN
THE STRENGTH OF THE UPSLOPE FLOW...THESE AMOUNTS APPEAR PLAUSIBLE.

THE LOW LEVEL FLOW THEN FOCUSES THE PACIFIC MOISTURE IN THE LENGTH
OF THE WA CASCADES...WITH THE BEST UPSLOPE EXPECTED OVER THE
NORTHERN PORTION OF THE RANGE (WHERE THE LOW LEVEL FLOW IS NEARLY
ORTHOGONAL TO THE TERRAIN). AGAIN...GIVEN THE COMBINATION OF THE
UPSLOPE FLOW AND MID LEVEL LIFT...AN AXIS OF 2.25 TO 3.25 INCHES
OF QPF STRETCHED ACROSS THE FAVORED UPSLOPE AREAS...WITH THE
HIGHEST AMOUNTS OVER THE NORTH. SNOW LEVELS SHOULD BE LOW ENOUGH
TO PRECLUDE A FLASH FLOOD THREAT IN THESE AREAS.

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE FORMS ON A LOW LEVEL BOUNDARY EXTENDING
ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...AND THE
SURFACE LOW HELPS FOCUS THE UPSLOPE OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...AS
THE BEST MID LEVEL ARRIVES LATE ON DAY 2. THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH
MOISTURE LEFT IN THE PACIFIC PLUME TO SUPPORT AXES OF 1.50 INCHES
OF QPF ACROSS THE CLEARWATER AREA OF NORTHERN ID...AS WELL AS THE
ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT RANGE IN MT. AS WAS THE CASES ACROSS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST...SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOW ENOUGH TO
PRECLUDE A FLASH FLOOD THREAT HERE ON DAY 2.

DAY 3...
THE POSITIVELY TILTED LONG WAVE TROUGH COMES ASHORE OVER THE WA/OR
COASTS BEFORE 20/12Z...THEN WEAKENS AS IT CROSSES THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES DURING DAY 3. AS THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM COMES ASHORE...THE
PACIFIC MOISTURE PLUME DROPS SOUTH ACROSS OR/NORTHWEST CA...WHERE
THE 30 TO 40 KNOT LOW LEVEL FLOW FOCUSES 0.75/1.00 INCH
PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR ON THE OR COASTAL RANGES...AS WELL AS CA
NORTHERN COASTAL RANGE. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MARGINAL
INSTABILITY IN THE COLUMN (DUE MAINLY TO STEEPENING MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES)...SO CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS ARE POSSIBLE HERE AS WELL.
AN AXIS OF 1.00 TO 1.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS EXTENDED FROM THE
SOUTHERN WA CASCADES ACROSS THE OR CASCADES INTO THE NORTHERN CA
COAST RANGE...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS OVER THE SIERRA NEVADA
RANGE...AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WEAKENS.

THE WEAKENING MID LEVEL SYSTEM PRODUCES LIFT ACROSS THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES (MAINLY EARLY IN THE PERIOD)...AND WHEN COMBINED WITH
UPSLOPE FLOW NORTH OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING ACROSS NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL MT...IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AREAS OF 0.75 INCHES OF
QPF OVER THE NORTHERN BITTERROOTS OF ID...AS WELL AS THE ROCKY
MOUNTAIN FRONT RANGE. FINALLY...MID LEVEL LIFT NORTH OF THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING ACROSS NORTHEAST MT INTO NORTHWEST ND
IS EXPECTED TO TAP SOME OF THE REMAINING PACIFIC MOISTURE TO
PRODUCE AN AXIS OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF IN THIS AREA DURING
DAY 3.


...SOUTHERN PLAINS/LOWER MS VALLEY ACROSS THE TN VALLEY TO THE MID
ATLANTIC...

A POSITIVELY TILTED LONG WAVE TROUGH WEAKENS AS IT TRACKS FROM THE
SOUTHWEST STATES ACROSS TX ON DAY 2...BEFORE WEAKENING FURTHER AS
IT HEADS TOWARD THE MID ATLANTIC COAST ON DAY 3. DEEP MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM WILL RAISE THE SPECTER
OF FLASH FLOODING ON DAYS 2 AND 3. THERE WAS BETTER MODEL
AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING OF THE SYNOPTIC SCALE FEATURES...BUT
THERE WAS A LATITUDINAL DIFFERENCE IN PLACEMENT OF THE MAXIMUM QPF
ON DAY 3. IN AN ATTEMPT TO MITIGATE THE DIFFERENCES...THE WPC QPF
WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS.

DAY 2...
A CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW OVER SOUTHEAST AZ/SOUTHWEST NM EARLY ON DAY
2 OPENS INTO A LONG WAVE TROUGH THAT CROSSES NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
TX AS IT WEAKENS. AHEAD OF THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM...A 20 TO 30 KNOT
LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 1.50/1.75 INCH PRECIPITABLE
WATER AIR (WHICH IS BETWEEN TWO AND THREE STANDARD DEVIATIONS
ABOVE THE MEAN) ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TX...AS WELL AS
SOUTHERN AR...FOCUSED ON AN INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH. MODEL
SOUNDINGS SHOWED MARGINAL TO LOCALLY MODERATE INSTABILITY
SOUTH/EAST OF THE INVERTED TROUGH...AS SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT IS
AUGMENTED IN THE RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF 1 130 KNOT JET STREAK
MOVING ACROSS THE OH/TN VALLEYS...MAINLY DURING THE 19/18Z TO
20/00Z TIME FRAME.

THERE WAS A GOOD MODEL SIGNAL FOR 0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES OF QPF
STRETCHING FROM A PORTION OF CENTRAL TX ACROSS THE UPPER TX AND
SOUTHERN LA. THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE GENERALLY
ABOVE 3.00 INCHES...SO WHILE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS
POSSIBLE...ORGANIZED FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.

DAY 3...
LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM SPINS UP A SURFACE LOW
ON THE INVERTED TROUGH LATE ON DAY 2...AND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARIES
ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEWLY MINTED SURFACE LOW BECOME THE FOCUS FOR
FLASH FLOODING ON DAY 3. THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM WEAKENS AS IT
CROSSES THE LOWER MS VALLEY...BUT THERE SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT LIFT
TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED CONVECTION SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT ACROSS FAR
NORTHEAST TX....SOUTHERN AR...NORTHERN MS INTO FAR NORTHWEST AL.
AS MENTIONED EARLIER...THERE IS SOME SPREAD ON THE PLACEMENT OF
THE WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM NORTHEAST TX INTO TN. THE 12Z GFS
APPEARED TO HAVE THE BEST HANDLE ON THE PLACEMENT OF THE BEST
INSTABILITY SOUTH OF THE FRONT... WHILE THE 12Z ECMWF (AND
ESPECIALLY THE 12Z NAM) APPEAR TO BE TOO FAR NORTH WITH THEIR
INSTABILITY AXIS. GIVEN THAT THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM IS WEAKENING AS
IT TRACKS ACROSS THE INTERIOR SOUTH...IT SHOULD NOT ALLOW
INSTABILITY TO BUBBLE NORTHWARD AS FAR AS THE 12Z NAM...WHICH IS
WHY THE 12Z GFS WAS CHOSEN FOR THE PLACEMENT OF THE QPF MAXIMUM ON
DAY 3.

HAVING SAID THAT...AN AXIS OF 2.50 TO 3.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS
STRETCHED FROM FAR NORTHEAST TX ACROSS SOUTHERN AR...NORTHERN MS
AND NORTHERN AL. WHILE THERE WERE SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE
PLACEMENT OF THE QPF MAXIMUM...THERE WAS BETTER AGREEMENT ON
AMOUNTS (WITH THE 12Z ECMWF/NAM SHOWING MAXIMUM VALUES GREATER
THAN 4.00 INCHES). AS THE PROPAGATION VECTORS BECOME BETTER
ALIGNED WITH THE 850-300 MB MEAN FLOW OVER/SOUTH OF THE WARM
FRONT...TRAINING BECOMES MORE OF AN ISSUE...AND LOCAL AMOUNTS
ABOVE 4.00 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE
VALUES ARE GENERALLY BETWEEN 2.00 AND 3.00 INCHES...SO FLASH
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY WHERE TRAINING OCCURS. WITH THIS
IN MIND...THE SLIGHT RISK AREA REMAINS IN PLACE FOR DAY 3.


...NORTHEAST...

SHORT WAVE ENERGY IN A FAST BROADLY CYCLONIC MID LEVEL FLOW WILL
TAP THE LIMITED MOISTURE IN THE COLUMN TO PRODUCE MAINLY LIGHT QPF
AMOUNTS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST ON DAYS 2 AND 3. THERE WAS GENERALLY
MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE SYNOPTIC SETUP...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED
ON A MULTI MODEL BLEND.

DAY 2...
SHORT WAVE ENERGY RACES FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY TO NEW ENGLAND IN
A FAST BROADLY CYCLONIC FLOW DURING DAY 2. THE SHORT WAVE PROVIDES
SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT OVER AN AREA WHERE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
BRIEFLY TOP OUT NEAR 0.50 INCHES...SO A LARGE AREA OF 0.10 TO 0.25
INCHES OF QPF WAS STRETCHED FROM UPSTATE NY ACROSS NORTHERN
VT/NORTHERN NH INTO WESTERN AND NORTHERN ME. LOCAL 0.35 INCH
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ADIRONDACKS IN NY AND THE NORTHERN
WHITE MOUNTAINS IN NH...WHERE UPSLOPE FLOW AUGMENTS THE SYNOPTIC
SCALE ASCENT.

DAY 3...
SHORT WAVE ENERGY CONTINUES TO TRAVEL THROUGH THE FAST BROADLY
CYCLONIC FLOW OVER THE NORTHEAST ON DAY 3. THE COLUMN IS DRIER
THAN DAY 2... RESULTING IN GENERALLY LIGHT QPF AMOUNTS. THE
EXCEPTION IS EXPECTED TO BE NORTHERN NH AND NEARBY WESTERN
ME...WHERE THE UPSLOPE FLOW COULD PRODUCE LOCAL 0.25 INCH QPF
AMOUNTS.


PEREIRA/HAYES


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

24HR QP VT 19/00Z
 0.01 535209 535199 535194 536178 534168 531159 528148 526139
      524126 522120 521114 518103 516093 514081 512069 510056
      507041 504027 503011 503996 505987 509975 510970 511966
      504917 508913 510910 514899 516884 517876 518867 520853
      519838 519831 517826 511822 505828 504834 502838 499842
      496845 493848 489848 484847 481844 478841 475836 472826
      473813 474808 474800 473793 471789 470783 467777 462769
      459764 458756 457749 455743 455735 457729 457722 457714
      454711 454706 453699 454693 456684 456675 454669 452666
      445665 441663 437659 432652 427651 425655 422660 423669
      424677 423681 421687 417690 412692 409694 400697 397701
      397705 400711 404715 407717 412716 416713 420712 425712
      428715 429721 426724 419729 416738 417747 419751 422756
      423763 427772 424776 421779 410778 411764 412753 408743
      403733 399736 399742 399750 395751 392755 394758 395762
      396769 395777 394782 391787 384793 378799 373806 366813
      363817 358819 349817 342813 342807 342801 340796 340790
      342779 339775 337777 331783 328792 320806 317816 312824
      300835 295843 294848 293854 291859 288864 282873 269907
      262925 260934 257940 254951 250955 246957 233965 232971
      236974 242974 248977 252979 257979 261981 264984 269993
      275997 291006 294006 295005 296001 295998 295995 298995
      301996 310995 315990 325975 330967 334960 336954 336947
      334934 329924 329911 330885 332874 337867 349855 354848
      359843 369826 372822 373818 378812 383811 386815 389815
      391811 394812 400818 404820 405823 404825 403829 403836
      405841 408844 399862 400873 407873
 0.01 407873 416868 418865 420865 425865 432864 433861 434848
      434838 433833 434830 436825 439823 442822 446824 450828
      455837 455846 453851 453862 457864 460861 465854 469849
      472850 472852 473857 474863 474873 470885 470888 473885
      476887 475891 475896 472907 470915 470921 469926 470931
      472937 474941 475945 475950 472956 471966 473973 475979
      473993 472997 473002 478014 480024 485053 486060 487064
      485062 480054 477050 474047 472046 471052 470083 470087
      469090 465094 462097 458103 459106 462109 467111 473112
      476112 478114 479119 476121 472121 469119 464118 461122
      459128 450134 452137 452141 451144 448148 444152 440149
      438148 437151 439156 441160 446167 449173 449180 454188
      457189 461187 469177 473175 478176 484182 488187 488193
      487197 483198 475200 471202 468205 461205 459205 458209
      450214 447216 446220 447226 450230 443236 440239 441242
      443248 444251 447251 455252 462255 464261 470269 473274
      476276 479279 481278 484279 487276 489274 490276 497281
      503284 508286 511284 513280 517276 519270 523257 525248
      526242 527239 528232 530227 533216 535209
 0.01 454108 455101 453098 448096 443095 433093 428089 427094
      430099 431103 425102 422104 421108 429113 431116 434115
      438114 439117 442120 446119 450119 452112 454108
 0.01 431742 430740 429738 428737 426736 424736 422736 421735
      420734 419735 421736 422737 423738 424739 425741 427743
      428743 430744 431742
 0.01 422886 422879 419876 416879 414882 413887 411891 409896
      410903 412905 415903 417900 419896 420891 422886
 0.01 352066 352058 352051 344044 343041 344038 348033 346028
      343028 337030 335034 334043 330046 325047 317051 313057
      311053 309051 307052 301057 296062 283068 269070 263068
      254059 248053 244054 241058 242062 245066 248071 250076
      251079 249081 245085 242091 243094 248096 252098 262103
      267108 270113 274117 278117 295106 298107 300110 300117
      298123 295127 294132 298135 303133 307130 316123 321121
      323117 324110 320108 316107 314105 316099 318096 322097
      326101 329106 332106 339114 343111 344103 344098 343095
      340090 345081 347078 348072 352066
 0.25 528177 528170 526166 519158 516153 511149 501146 498146
      496144 494139 492134 489130 478126 472124 469127 469135
      470141 468142 464141 459142 456147 456152 456157 459160
      462164 464168 467172 471171 476170 482173 490178 493183
      493190 494197 490201 473206 469210 465211 457215 452218
      452221 454223 458226 461230 452234 449238 451242 457244
      461244 472246 480250 485252 488253 490251 488244 485238
      482234 480229 475227 475224 476224 483225 486228 496236
      500239 503236 504227 503220 503212 504207 509205 512199
      516199 519196 521186 526181 528177
 0.25 496161 495155 492152 491152 487149 483147 478145 474146
      478149 483150 486152 489155 492158 495161 496161
 0.25 462181 463179 464176 463175 461176 459177 457179 457180
      457182 459183 460183 462181 462181
 0.25 441750 440750 440753 440752 441750 441750
 0.25 438729 437729 436728 434727 433727 432727 430728 429728
      428729 429729 430731 431731 432731 434731 436730 437729
      438729
 0.25 337069 336058 333054 327054 315068 307070 295071 287073
      276075 268077 263079 259082 258086 259090 263093 268095
      281105 289101 298097 306094 310092 313089 317086 319087
      324090 329091 334090 335084 334078 336073 337069
 0.25 321879 321870 320863 320852 320850 317851 312854 307858
      303864 300870 298876 297878 296877 294872 291872 288877
      284890 282894 283899 285902 288902 291908 290917 289926
      287933 285938 281944 274956 271960 270965 271969 272972
      274972 279970 285969 297973 301973 304972 308968 312962
      314956 314951 314946 313939 314931 316924 320909 320892
      321879
 0.50 515177 516171 514168 506164 491163 487158 485155 481153
      476152 471148 463145 460147 460153 463159 467166 469168
      472167 479166 485171 488173 492174 496175 497181 495187
      497192 499195 504195 506193 511189 515179 515177
 0.50 497231 496208 492205 487204 479205 465214 458216 454218
      457223 464228 466230 463233 455235 455238 458239 468240
      476246 480247 484248 485244 485243 482238 480234 477230
      472228 472224 475222 479222 484224 489226 493230 497231
 0.50 494148 493143 491137 489134 485131 481129 476127 472128
      471133 471138 475140 480140 482140 486144 488147 490149
      493149 494148
 0.50 314913 315906 313901 310895 309890 309882 313871 312864
      310860 305869 306883 305889 303895 299905 296916 293926
      289937 284945 281950 280956 277964 284964 288963 299960
      303958 304952 307941 310928 314913
 0.50 305089 300082 298079 294077 289076 285077 276078 266080
      263082 262086 265088 269091 278094 281095 283099 287099
      291097 298094 305089
 1.00 494212 491209 485207 479207 476209 470213 466216 462221
      465223 469223 473221 478220 484222 487223 491222 494215
      494212
 1.00 481244 480241 480239 479236 478233 476232 475232 474233
      473234 473236 474238 474239 475241 476242 477243 478244
      479244 481244
 1.00 489139 488136 486135 482133 479132 478132 476131 473133
      474137 477138 480138 482137 485138 487140 489139
 1.00 484161 483159 483158 482157 480157 480159 480160 481161
      483161 484161
 1.00 479160 477158 475156 472154 470153 467150 465152 465156
      466159 468161 469163 473164 474163 477162 479160
 1.00 305924 306920 304918 303916 301918 299920 299922 297925
      297928 297929 296933 296937 297941 298941 299938 301935
      302933 303931 304926 305924
 1.00 288087 289085 288084 287083 286082 285082 283081 281082
      280082 279082 277082 275083 274083 273084 272085 273087
      275088 277089 278089 280090 282090 284089 286089 288087
      288087
 1.00 291950 291952 293952 294948 294946 293947 291950
 1.50 489221 489216 488213 486210 484209 481208 479209 477210
      474212 472213 470215 468217 471220 474219 476219 480219
      483220 486221 489221
 2.00 487218 487217 485215 484212 484211 483210 481210 479210
      477211 476211 475212 474214 473214 472216 473218 475218
      476217 477217 478217 480218 481218 483218 485219 486219
      487218

24HR QP VT 20/00Z
 0.01 454626 458629 461635 463638 466639 472640 481644 487650
      492656 495660 499666 501675 504683 503694 503697 501702
      499708 496713 495715 497719 499725 503733 507745 508753
      510755 510759 515775 515779 517785 518793 524815 525823
      526826 527833 531848 531853 533856 533868 535875 535884
      536903 535906 534913 534921 533927 531931 531937 530939
      519942 515942 513946 510949 509955 506958 501960 496957
      492954 486928 477921 477912 480907 485902 488892 488886
      485885 482887 479891 475895 470893 467893 466890 464883
      466878 467874 466870 463866 458863 456860 453858 445858
      441858 439856 438856 437851 441848 454842 456826 454818
      452816 448814 439812 434803 438801 443797 443789 445779
      447775 448771 447768 444770 438782 435787 432794 429808
      420829 419832 417832 415830 415826 414819 412812 405816
      401823 397828 394830 392828 386818 376824 373821 373813
      372809 373806 375799 379795 384792 392790 399788 404785
      409779 413777 416776 419775 423775 427774 430771 424757
      420747 420745 423742 427740 430738 429735 425734 425731
      428726 426722 429721 432718 437712 441707 444700 449690
      450682 445684 438690 425694 420692 416691 414688 411682
      410672 410664 412656 415650 420646 425640 432633
 0.01 466331 473331 480328 490323 493316 498306 502296 506282
      509275 514268 518264 521258 523251 524248 526235 527221
      531208 537190 538188 539183 539178 538174 535163 533153
      525136 518121 516114 513107 509099 506091 501082 500077
      497072 494066 489060 478052 476050 475046 473034 472029
      470025 468021 463020 461021 458024 457028 457035 459052
      460065 460075 458087 457092 453095 445094 439098 437099
      434097 432097 430101 428108 436110 441113 446114 449113
      452115 455116 456122 455135 456137 454142 452152 450161
      450168 448175 448180 450184 454186 458186 460188 460195
      459200 456203 452208 446210 440214 435220 429226 422231
      411239 401245 397252 393261 388287 386298 395303
 0.01 448323 445321 442320 439318 437316 434314 433311 432308
      431305 429303 427304 425305 421306 419306 416306 414307
      411307 408307 407308
 0.01 373860 372854 371850 370837 370832 369826 367824 364821
      360820 353825 351826 349823 347818 346803 345798 341799
      340801 338808 339817 339823 338826 336837 333846 330850
      327852 323854 318857 317860 317865 313873 310879 310884
      309888 309894 307897 303896 300891 298886 295883 291882
      285883 282888 286894 290899 295906 295926 292930 290935
      287944 279943 275944 272947 270948 270953 270964 269975
      270980 271986 268989 264992 257997 249999 241002 238007
      236009 235015 239024 245028 253033 259034 263033 293039
      295047 297051 301053 312054 317052 320050 326044 330038
      333030 334027 332025 329021 327019 329016 335011 338008
      340004 343000 348998 354994 359989 364985 366983 366978
      364974 362972 360971 355971 351973 349971 350968 352964
      356956 360949 361945 361938 360930 360918 360904 364896
      367888 367880 368876 371867 373860
 0.01 348727 347719 346714 344712 341712 334712 328712 323714
      315723 313729 313734 313740 311747 307756 303768 302774
      302780 304795 308800 309807 310814 311817 312822 315825
      320826 325824 328818 330813 330807 331805 331801 330792
      332780 333774 336767 339763 340758 343746 348727
 0.01 342098 342091 343085 343078 342076 336075 332077 329079
      328083 328088 331092 333095 336098 342098 342098
 0.25 516240 518231 517221 516215 516207 515198 515190 516178
      516164 514149 513143 510137 503126 494113 488102 486097
      484091 481086 476081 472080 470082 466090 465099 465106
      470116 471119 470123 467130 464138 459145 458152 458161
      463172 465177 471178 474179 477182 480188 447221 439229
      432236 423244 415258 413264 412272 414277 418281 422283
      425288 431292 437298 442303 447307 450310 456313 461316
      467316 472314 478308 484296 490288 497273 504260 516240
 0.25 492866 491860 489856 488846 485836 480829 475830 472833
      470836 469839 468846 472853 476860 481866 487869 489869
      492866
 0.25 482774 482768 480762 478752 475744 470741 466742 463744
      463748 464755 467762 470771 473780 474784 476785 480777
      482774
 0.25 476715 472711 468708 464708 459711 457713 455710 453710
      452713 452718 454720 457721 461723 467727 471723 475717
      476715
 0.25 444744 444743 444742 442740 440740 439740 438741 437742
      437744 436745 435746 434749 435751 436753 437754 438755
      439755 440754 441752 442751 443749 444747 444745 444744
 0.25 356885 356874 354867 351858 348855 344855 339860 337866
      334876 332885 330894 328900 319913 311926 307933 302939
      294950 290958 287966 286986 286994 289997 293998 299998
      307999 315998 321992 330982 335977 341969 344962 345955
      348946 350943 351936 350927 350919 352910 355900 356885
 0.25 328744 328740 328735 326732 323734 321736 320739 320741
      319744 318748 318752 319757 321758 323758 325756 326753
      327751 328746 328744
 0.50 509238 512229 512220 510208 508202 505195 503188 503181
      506175 505167 502156 503142 501136 496130 492126 488123
      483122 479125 475126 473128 472132 472136 474139 480143
      482145 481148 475148 466149 464150 462153 462158 465164
      469170 477177 486184 487189 484195 480200 475202 466207
      458212 455216 452223 449228 443232 435238 429244 425247
      422253 421260 423263 427266 441282 445280 450277 452281
      453288 452296 453304 456307 462310 466308 470305 475301
      478295 481289 484281 488269 491263 494259 503249 509238
 0.50 350879 349875 348871 345867 343869 341873 340882 339889
      337893 330906 324915 317926 310936 303946 297956 294962
      292970 292987 293990 295992 302991 308993 314992 323984
      330975 337963 340958 342952 344945 345936 346919 349903
      347897 345890 346883 350879
 1.00 502233 504225 504217 503210 500205 496202 492201 487202
      483204 475208 467213 459216 456222 457229 453233 450235
      442239 441244 445244 447251 447256 451254 456255 460258
      464263 464276 465279 467282 471279 476270 481257 484252
      488250 492248 495244 499239 502233
 1.00 491165 490160 487158 484155 479154 475154 471155 470159
      473163 476166 479169 482172 487172 490170 491165
 1.00 494140 492138 491136 488134 486132 484130 481129 478128
      476129 475131 475134 477136 479137 482139 485141 487142
      490144 493143 494140
 1.00 438246 438243 436245 437246 438246
 1.00 341932 341921 340910 337908 335909 331917 330922 328924
      323926 321929 317935 312941 307947 303956 297973 297981
      299983 304985 307986 310984 316979 321975 327969 336954
      339947 341936 341932
 1.50 499224 500219 499214 495207 490205 487205 480208 467214
      461218 459222 461227 463228 461233 457242 460244 464245
      472251 479250 486246 490241 491237 486233 482229 477227
      473227 471224 473221 481221 489223 495229 498227 499224
 1.50 487136 486135 484135 484136 486136 487136
 1.50 337939 337930 333931 330935 324936 321939 313945 307954
      305958 304964 304971 305975 306977 309977 314974 321969
      327960 330956 332950 337941 337939
 2.00 496221 496216 495213 491209 486208 481209 476212 472216
      466217 463221 465222 469222 471217 478219 483219 490221
      496221
 2.00 486243 487238 484235 483234 480231 478230 475229 473229
      470230 468232 468237 469240 470243 472245 476247 479247
      481247 484245 486243
 2.00 325956 326949 323946 318947 315949 312954 310956 309959
      309962 310967 314969 317967 320964 323960 325957 325956
 3.00 490216 491214 489213 487212 486212 484211 482211 481212
      479213 479214 478215 480217 482217 483217 484217 485217
      487217 488217 490217 490216
 3.00 482239 481236 480236 479235 478234 476233 474232 473234
      472236 473239 474239 475241 476242 478242 480243 481242
      482241 482239

24HR QP VT 21/00Z
 0.01 541192 542181 542176 542173 540154 534125 530111 526102
      523094 521088 518082 516074 508045 506037 505029 505011
      504994 502985 501980 496966 491954 488947 485942 479929
      472919 468916 463914 460913 456915 453919 450925 453941
      455948 455959 456967 458974 462989 463996 466003 466010
      466016 468049 467069 466080 466085 464088 456080 452074
      447071 442069 435068 432073 434076 446082 448083 449086
      446088 443087 433082 428086 426087 424091 422097 421105
      422107 421111 419113 414113 411115 411117 414118 419122
      419128 421131 423132 424135 422137 419142 415143 408142
      402139 399138 396138 392141 387145 391155 391159 389161
      387166 385179 375182 369183 363181 357180 354180 352181
      348186 346194 349200 351202 354203 359200 361193 365194
      365198 366206 363212 363217 364220 368223 370229 371243
      372257 371266 373271 377275 380275 382274 388274 394276
      401278 406281 417281 430282 449280 453280 455279 459277
      465275 469271 486255 499259 501259 502255 504249 506246
      509248 514251 517248 519241 520229 521221 521216 522212
      525206 533197 541192
 0.01 519761 512730 512723 510720 509716 505706 504699 502697
      501692 500688 500680 499673 500666 502653 502646 501638
      500629 497623 494620 490618 487618 481620 463631 455638
      445644 437651 435655 432652 430649 431646 429647 421652
      418656 417662 419676 418683 420690 421695 425698 427700
      429700 433696 436693 439688 447680 450678 452678 453681
      461678 463680 465685 461691 448702 442705 440709 434718
      431720 428720 426720 424724 421728 418733 420733 427731
      430728 441730 443732 440736 434739 431741 425743 421742
      418747 419752 422754 425758 433780 436785 438780 439774
      438767 440761 443757 450750 453745 454740 453734 455730
      457725 461722 465721 468720 471721 474724 474730 472737
      468741 464744 462748 459753 458759 459771 458778 455781
      449782 444780 441789 439803 438808 440811 446821 452831
      456840 459852 462864 468872 469876 471878 474878 483873
      487864 486846 486838 487829 492822 502804 507796 513786
      516772 519761
 0.01 475199 476194 475191 471189 468189 466190 463190 460190
      459195 460200 461201 465202 467202 470201 472200 475199
 0.01 443174 442169 440165 437161 434157 432153 430152 427153
      428160 429165 431168 432174 437176 442176 443174
 0.01 428788 428786 427784 427783 426782 425781 424782 422782
      422785 422787 423789 424789 426789 428788 428788
 0.01 383841 382828 379816 377796 367750 362726 360721 359716
      355709 350704 339707 331706 321709 313714 309717 310722
      312735 314744 320762 324786 324810 320817 314822 308827
      304833 298839 292847 287852 281859 271871 267878 265885
      262895 262899 260903 262909 266909 270910 268914 263920
      259927 251940 244945 239953 235959 233964 234968 236972
      241972 248974 254970 261966 267967 271968 275971 279974
      279980 282981 288981 292979 306972 315970 322973 324976
      326981 326986 328991 333997 344998 355998 358998 360995
      364985 366976 370968 367958 373912 374901 376892 379883
      380878 380870 382855 382846 383841
 0.25 527161 526154 524149 520136 515126 510118 506107 505097
      505081 504073 502067 499055 498038 496024 493013 490002
      485992 482991 479994 477012 478026 478044 478059 477074
      479087 482098 488106 491110 494115 493122 489124 485124
      478123 475124 471126 468140 460138 455139 452141 448144
      442143 437143 436148 438154 442158 448167 451171 454176
      456176 456171 456168 457165 461162 469167 470172 475174
      481177 484180 490188 493195 492201 484204 477207 467209
      459210 450211 439209 418210 417201 412199 409199 405201
      400199 389196 383194 379194 377198 379201 381205 390211
      399218 403220 406221 406224 403228 399229 396231 393235
      392241 393246 394251 396255 403258 408258 426254 435251
      443248 450244 453242 457242 459240 457237 453235 454231
      456229 461228 469228 478223 483223 487227 492228 495225
      504207 511200 514194 516187 518177 521171 527161
 0.25 458714 456713 455713 453715 453716 455717 455718 456717
      457716 458714 458714
 0.25 452107 451105 451104 449103 448102 446102 444102 443102
      441103 440105 439108 440108 442109 444109 445109 447109
      449109 451109 452108 452107
 0.25 374871 374865 374860 373847 373836 372826 370805 369794
      367782 365773 361765 355750 353742 349737 345736 342737
      336743 333750 332760 332778 333789 333796 330814 329822
      326831 322847 312877 310884 308893 304899 300904 292915
      289922 284919 281918 279919 273924 268929 264933 260940
      259946 264951 271949 279950 286947 295937 305929 308922
      315918 318918 318921 317924 314933 310937 305941 299946
      300951 303954 310956 319957 328957 335961 337964 337968
      339976 343977 347976 353973 354970 354964 355952 361937
      362926 364918 366902 368893 370883 374871
 0.50 510178 511170 510166 507156 505147 503143 500140 486131
      481130 478132 476137 480140 486144 488149 488154 484156
      480155 476155 474153 470150 467150 466150 464153 467155
      474160 479166 493176 496184 498188 502189 507185 510178
 0.50 475219 476216 475214 472214 463214 446215 437215 429216
      422220 415224 402233 398237 398243 400247 403249 412251
      421250 428247 434243 442239 445231 453227 460225 469224
      475219
 0.50 401213 400209 399207 397205 395203 393201 389200 385200
      385202 387205 388206 392208 393209 396212 398214 401213
 0.50 368838 368830 367821 365809 365801 364795 361780 356767
      352760 350758 346757 343758 339766 337772 337778 337793
      336819 335824 331827 328838 328851 327861 327879 329876
      330882 331893 324917 322928 320933 317937 310944 308949
      310952 315951 319949 323947 328945 331948 335952 340961
      342966 345969 349969 350967 351963 352949 355936 359925
      360914 362900 364887 367875 368870 368862 367856 367850
      368838
 1.00 454221 450219 447220 443220 438221 434221 430222 429225
      429228 431229 435228 440227 444226 448226 451224 454221
 1.00 426242 427237 425234 423234 422233 418233 415233 413234
      411235 408238 408241 410242 413243 416244 418244 422244
      424243 426242
 1.00 358805 356797 353791 350785 349782 345782 343789 343797
      343807 343816 344826 343834 341842 341849 339867 338882
      336900 332914 328930 327937 330940 334940 340937 343936
      345934 346930 348928 350927 351921 353913 355905 356899
      358890 360883 361876 360868 360859 360841 359831 358821
      358805
 1.50 354819 353814 351811 349812 348824 345847 343859 342871
      339895 337906 334917 332928 333932 337928 341920 343915
      346911 349907 350902 353891 356882 355868 354854 355844
      354819
 1.50 351809 351806 351805 349805 349807 349809 349810 351810
      351809
 2.00 352837 351830 350835 347851 346858 345864 343879 342893
      340899 340904 342906 346904 347897 352886 353879 353870
      351853 352837
 2.00 339917 340915 340912 339911 337912 337913 336915 336917
      337919 339918 339917
 3.00 350877 351875 351873 351870 351868 350866 350865 349866
      348868 347871 347873 346875 346877 346879 346882 346884
      347886 349885 350884 350881 350879 350878 350877

$$





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