River Forecast
Issued by NWS

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FGUS51 KTIR 040943
RVFCML
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
5:43am EDT Wednesday, May 4, 2016

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://weather.gov/erh/mmefs


: Carthage - Cumberland River - OHX
: Zero Datum 437.53 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Smith County, TN
: Record River Stage     59.8 ft
: Major River Stage      47.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   43.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      40.0 ft
: Action River Stage     35.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                   /   8.0 /   7.6
:     May 03   /   9.5 /   6.3 /   8.4 /   6.2
:     May 04   /   8.0 /   6.6
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 6.6 ft at 500am EDT on Wed, May 4
:
.ER CTHT1 20160504 Z DC201605040943/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 04 :                 /   6.8 /   8.4
.E2 : May 05 : /   8.3 /   6.4 /   6.8 /   8.4
.E3 : May 06 : /   8.1 /   6.5 /   6.8 /   8.3
.E4 : May 07 : /   8.1 /   6.4 /   6.6 /   8.3
.E5 : May 08 : /   8.0 /   6.4 /   6.5 /   8.2
.E6 : May 09 : /   8.0 /   6.3
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01                   /  0.14 /  0.00
:     May 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     May 03   /  0.05 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 04                   /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 05   /  0.19 /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 06   /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01                   /  17.9 /  23.1
:     May 02   /  27.0 /  21.1 /  16.7 /  19.4
:     May 03   /  18.0 /  15.6 /  13.5 /  15.8
:     May 04   /  17.9 /  13.4 /   8.9 /  13.8
:     May 05   /  17.7 /  11.0 /   7.3 /  11.6
:     May 06   /  15.2 /  10.1
:____________________________________________________________________

: Old Hickory Dam - Cumberland River - OHX
: Zero Datum 0.0 ft (Vertical Datum Unknown)
: Davidson County, TN
: Record Discharge   MISSING
: Major Discharge    135.00 kcfs
: Moderate Discharge 120.00 kcfs
: Flood Discharge    100.00 kcfs
: Action Discharge    75.00 kcfs
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                   / 11.20E/  6.24E
:     May 03   / 11.40E/ 10.13E/  2.41E/  2.22E
:     May 04   /  8.96E/  9.12E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Discharge MISSING
:
.ER OHIT1 20160504 Z DC201605040943/DUE/DQG/DH12/QIIFF/DIH6
: Forecast values (below) are reservoir inflows from model simulations.
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 04 :                 /  1.69 /  1.64
.E2 : May 05 : /  8.51 /  8.45 /  1.58 /  1.55
.E3 : May 06 : /  8.43 /  8.28 /  1.37 /  1.30
.E4 : May 07 : /  8.12 /  8.05 /  1.66 /  1.65
.E5 : May 08 : /  7.97 /  8.09 /  1.64 /  1.51
.E6 : May 09 : /  7.76 /  8.01
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01                   /  0.05 /  0.00
:     May 02   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.34
:     May 03   /  0.09 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 04                   /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 05   /  0.19 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 06   /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01                   /  18.4 /  22.2
:     May 02   /  26.1 /  20.5 /  17.9 /  16.7
:     May 03   /  16.1 /  14.9 /  13.2 /  15.3
:     May 04   /  17.6 /  13.4 /   9.5 /  14.0
:     May 05   /  18.0 /  11.4 /   7.5 /  11.9
:     May 06   /  16.0 /  10.8
:____________________________________________________________________

: Antioch - Mill Creek - OHX
: Zero Datum 472.57 ft (NGVD29)
: Davidson County, TN
: Record River Stage     26.1 ft
: Major River Stage      20.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   17.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      14.0 ft
: Action River Stage     12.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                   /   2.8 /   2.8
:     May 03   /   3.1 /   2.8 /   2.9 /   2.8
:     May 04   /   2.8 /   2.8
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 2.8 ft at 500am EDT on Wed, May 4
:
.ER ANTT1 20160504 Z DC201605040943/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 04 :                 /   2.8 /   2.8
.E2 : May 05 : /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.7
.E3 : May 06 : /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.6
.E4 : May 07 : /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.6
.E5 : May 08 : /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.6
.E6 : May 09 : /   2.6 /   2.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01                   /  0.04 /  0.00
:     May 02   /  0.11 /  0.00 /  0.03 /  0.06
:     May 03   /  0.16 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 04                   /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 05   /  0.13 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 06   /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01                   /  18.0 /  21.6
:     May 02   /  25.4 /  19.9 /  17.3 /  16.4
:     May 03   /  16.4 /  14.9 /  13.2 /  15.3
:     May 04   /  17.6 /  13.5 /   9.8 /  14.3
:     May 05   /  19.0 /  12.3 /   8.0 /  12.1
:     May 06   /  16.7 /  11.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Woodbine - Mill Creek at Thompson Lane - OHX
: Zero Datum 432.55 ft (Vertical Datum Unknown)
: Davidson County, TN
: Record River Stage   MISSING
: Major River Stage      21.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   17.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      14.0 ft
: Action River Stage     12.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                   /   2.6 /   2.6
:     May 03   /   2.9 /   2.8 /   2.7 /   2.7
:     May 04   /   2.6 /   2.6
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 2.6 ft at 500am EDT on Wed, May 4
:
.ER WBNT1 20160504 Z DC201605040943/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 04 :                 /   2.6 /   2.6
.E2 : May 05 : /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.5 /   2.5
.E3 : May 06 : /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.5
.E4 : May 07 : /   2.5 /   2.4 /   2.4 /   2.4
.E5 : May 08 : /   2.4 /   2.4 /   2.4 /   2.4
.E6 : May 09 : /   2.4 /   2.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01                   /  0.05 /  0.00
:     May 02   /  0.04 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.19
:     May 03   /  0.20 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 04                   /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 05   /  0.15 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 06   /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01                   /  18.2 /  21.9
:     May 02   /  25.7 /  20.1 /  17.8 /  16.2
:     May 03   /  16.2 /  14.9 /  13.4 /  15.4
:     May 04   /  17.6 /  14.0 /  10.0 /  14.7
:     May 05   /  19.1 /  12.4 /   8.2 /  12.6
:     May 06   /  16.9 /  11.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Nashville - Cumberland River - OHX
: Zero Datum 368.1 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Davidson County, TN
: Record River Stage     56.2 ft
: Major River Stage      45.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   42.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      40.0 ft
: Action River Stage     30.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                   /  17.5 /  18.1
:     May 03   /  18.0 /  18.0 /  17.8 /  17.9
:     May 04   /  17.7 /  17.3
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 17.3 ft at 530am EDT on Wed, May 4
:
.ER NAST1 20160504 Z DC201605040943/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 04 :                 /  17.0 /  17.4
.E2 : May 05 : /  17.0 /  17.4 /  17.0 /  17.3
.E3 : May 06 : /  17.0 /  17.3 /  17.0 /  17.3
.E4 : May 07 : /  17.0 /  17.3 /  17.0 /  17.2
.E5 : May 08 : /  17.0 /  17.3 /  17.0 /  17.2
.E6 : May 09 : /  17.0 /  17.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01                   /  0.04 /  0.00
:     May 02   /  0.11 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.49
:     May 03   /  0.15 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 04                   /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 05   /  0.18 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 06   /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01                   /  18.5 /  22.1
:     May 02   /  25.6 /  20.2 /  18.2 /  15.9
:     May 03   /  15.9 /  14.8 /  13.2 /  15.2
:     May 04   /  17.5 /  13.6 /  10.1 /  14.6
:     May 05   /  18.7 /  12.2 /   8.2 /  12.5
:     May 06   /  16.8 /  11.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Franklin - Harpeth River - OHX
: Zero Datum 604.42 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Williamson County, TN
: Record River Stage     35.2 ft
: Major River Stage      38.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   34.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      30.0 ft
: Action River Stage     22.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                   /   3.6 /   3.6
:     May 03   /   3.7 /   3.6 /   3.6 /   3.6
:     May 04   /   3.6 /   3.6
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 3.6 ft at 515am EDT on Wed, May 4
:
.ER FRAT1 20160504 Z DC201605040943/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 04 :                 /   3.6 /   3.6
.E2 : May 05 : /   3.6 /   3.6 /   3.6 /   3.6
.E3 : May 06 : /   3.6 /   3.6 /   3.6 /   3.6
.E4 : May 07 : /   3.6 /   3.6 /   3.6 /   3.6
.E5 : May 08 : /   3.6 /   3.6 /   3.6 /   3.6
.E6 : May 09 : /   3.6 /   3.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01                   /  0.02 /  0.00
:     May 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.08 /  0.01
:     May 03   /  0.13 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 04                   /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 05   /  0.08 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 06   /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01                   /  17.6 /  21.4
:     May 02   /  25.4 /  19.6 /  16.7 /  17.0
:     May 03   /  17.1 /  15.0 /  13.2 /  15.5
:     May 04   /  17.5 /  13.1 /   9.6 /  14.7
:     May 05   /  18.8 /  11.7 /   7.7 /  12.3
:     May 06   /  16.3 /  10.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: Bellevue - Harpeth River - OHX
: Zero Datum 541.04 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Davidson County, TN
: Record River Stage     33.2 ft
: Major River Stage      28.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   24.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      20.0 ft
: Action River Stage     14.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                   /   1.5 /   1.6
:     May 03   /   1.6 /   1.6 /   1.6 /   1.7
:     May 04   /   1.6 /   1.6
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 1.6 ft at 430am EDT on Wed, May 4
:
.ER BELT1 20160504 Z DC201605040943/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 04 :                 /   1.6 /   1.6
.E2 : May 05 : /   1.6 /   1.6 /   1.6 /   1.6
.E3 : May 06 : /   1.6 /   1.6 /   1.6 /   1.6
.E4 : May 07 : /   1.6 /   1.6 /   1.6 /   1.6
.E5 : May 08 : /   1.6 /   1.6 /   1.6 /   1.6
.E6 : May 09 : /   1.5 /   1.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01                   /  0.02 /  0.00
:     May 02   /  0.12 /  0.00 /  0.04 /  0.11
:     May 03   /  0.23 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 04                   /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 05   /  0.07 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 06   /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01                   /  17.4 /  21.3
:     May 02   /  25.0 /  19.4 /  16.9 /  15.8
:     May 03   /  16.4 /  14.6 /  12.9 /  15.1
:     May 04   /  17.3 /  13.0 /   9.7 /  14.4
:     May 05   /  18.7 /  11.9 /   7.9 /  12.3
:     May 06   /  16.5 /  11.2
:____________________________________________________________________

: Cheatham Lock & Dam - Cumberland River  - OHX
: Zero Datum 0.0 ft (Vertical Datum Unknown)
: Cheatham County, TN
: Record Discharge   MISSING
: Major Discharge    125.00 kcfs
: Moderate Discharge 110.00 kcfs
: Flood Discharge     90.00 kcfs
: Action Discharge    75.00 kcfs
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                   /  3.45E/  8.85E
:     May 03   /  9.66E/  7.07E/  6.54E/ 12.73E
:     May 04   /  8.90E/ 11.66E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Discharge MISSING
:
.ER CHET1 20160504 Z DC201605040943/DUE/DQG/DH12/QIIFF/DIH6
: Forecast values (below) are reservoir inflows from model simulations.
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 04 :                 /  7.70 / 10.70
.E2 : May 05 : /  6.78 /  9.98 /  6.40 /  9.21
.E3 : May 06 : /  6.09 /  9.01 /  6.12 /  8.66
.E4 : May 07 : /  5.92 /  8.53 /  5.26 /  8.09
.E5 : May 08 : /  5.57 /  8.33 /  5.47 /  8.04
.E6 : May 09 : /  5.05 /  7.82
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01                   /  0.02 /  0.00
:     May 02   /  0.12 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.73
:     May 03   /  0.13 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 04                   /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 05   /  0.06 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 06   /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01                   /  17.7 /  21.4
:     May 02   /  24.4 /  19.0 /  17.4 /  14.1
:     May 03   /  15.1 /  14.1 /  12.3 /  14.7
:     May 04   /  16.6 /  12.5 /  10.1 /  14.7
:     May 05   /  18.3 /  11.8 /   8.3 /  12.8
:     May 06   /  16.5 /  11.2
:____________________________________________________________________

: Clarksville - Cumberland River - OHX
: Zero Datum 330.9 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Montgomery County, TN
: Record River Stage   MISSING
: Major River Stage      55.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   50.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      46.0 ft
: Action River Stage     40.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                   /  28.7 /  29.1
:     May 03   /  28.7 /  28.8 /  28.9 /  29.5
:     May 04   /  29.2 /  28.8
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 29.0 ft at 530am EDT on Wed, May 4
:
.ER CKVT1 20160504 Z DC201605040943/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 04 :                 /  28.7 /  28.5
.E2 : May 05 : /  28.4 /  28.3 /  28.2 /  28.1
.E3 : May 06 : /  28.0 /  27.9 /  27.9 /  27.8
.E4 : May 07 : /  27.8 /  27.7 /  27.7 /  27.7
.E5 : May 08 : /  27.7 /  27.5 /  27.5 /  27.6
.E6 : May 09 : /  27.6 /  27.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01                   /  0.02 /  0.00
:     May 02   /  0.31 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.82
:     May 03   /  0.04 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 04                   /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 05   /  0.05 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 06   /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 01                   /  17.7 /  21.4
:     May 02   /  24.2 /  18.7 /  16.8 /  13.2
:     May 03   /  14.7 /  14.0 /  12.0 /  14.5
:     May 04   /  16.1 /  11.9 /  10.0 /  14.8
:     May 05   /  18.1 /  11.6 /   8.1 /  12.8
:     May 06   /  16.4 /  11.2
:____________________________________________________________________
$$
:
:...END of MESSAGE...




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