River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 040117
RVFLIK
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
8:17pm EST Tuesday, March 3, 2015

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs


: Blue Lick Springs - Licking River - LMK
: Zero Datum 560.99 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Nicholas County, KY
: Record River Stage     47.6 ft
: Major River Stage      45.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   42.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      25.0 ft
: Action River Stage     23.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 10PM EST on Wed, Mar 4
.AR BLSK2 20150305 Z DC201503040117/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFFX :crest:   27.8
: Crest near   27.8 ft around 7AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
: Fall below flood level around 5AM EST on Fri, Mar 6
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  11.9 /  12.3 /  12.7
:     Mar 03   /  12.9 /  13.3 /  14.1 /  14.4
:     Mar 04   /  14.8
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 15.2 ft at 800pm EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER BLSK2 20150304 Z DC201503040117/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :         /  16.4 /  18.4 /  21.0
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  23.8 /  26.4 /  27.8 /  27.6
.E3 : Mar 06 : /  26.8 /  25.7 /  24.6 /  23.4
.E4 : Mar 07 : /  22.5 /  21.8 /  21.0 /  19.9
.E5 : Mar 08 : /  18.8 /  17.8 /  16.9 /  16.0
.E6 : Mar 09 : /  14.9
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  0.00 /  0.07 /  0.29
:     Mar 02   /  0.06 /  0.02 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.04
:     Mar 04   /  0.01
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  0.40 /  0.65 /  0.57
:     Mar 05   /  0.30 /  0.53 /  0.35 /  0.06
:     Mar 06   /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /   0.9 /  -0.3 /   1.2
:     Mar 02   /   4.5 /   2.6 /  -0.7 /  -2.2
:     Mar 03   /   1.4 /  -1.8 /  -2.0 /   1.9
:     Mar 04   /  11.6 /   9.3 /   5.7 /   3.4
:     Mar 05   /   0.5 /  -3.7 /  -7.2 /  -8.1
:     Mar 06   /  -7.1
:____________________________________________________________________

: McKinneysburg - Licking River - ILN
: Zero Datum 520.83 ft (USGS)
: Pendleton County, KY
: Record River Stage     55.2 ft
: Major River Stage      48.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   40.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      33.0 ft
: Action River Stage     28.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR MKBK2 20150305 Z DC201503040117/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFFX :crest:   32.1
: Crest near   32.1 ft around 1AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  10.7 /  10.7 /  10.8
:     Mar 03   /  11.2 /  11.8 /  12.1 /  12.5
:     Mar 04   /  13.1
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 13.3 ft at 745pm EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER MKBK2 20150304 Z DC201503040117/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :         /  15.7 /  21.1 /  28.8
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  31.3 /  32.1 /  31.7 /  30.3
.E3 : Mar 06 : /  29.3 /  28.2 /  26.8 /  25.3
.E4 : Mar 07 : /  23.7 /  22.2 /  20.8 /  19.4
.E5 : Mar 08 : /  18.1 /  16.9 /  15.8 /  15.0
.E6 : Mar 09 : /  14.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  0.00 /  0.07 /  0.24
:     Mar 02   /  0.03 /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.06
:     Mar 04   /  0.01
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  0.61 /  0.70 /  0.53
:     Mar 05   /  0.28 /  0.49 /  0.30 /  0.04
:     Mar 06   /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  -0.1 /  -1.5 /   1.3
:     Mar 02   /   3.9 /   1.8 /  -1.6 /  -2.4
:     Mar 03   /   1.2 /  -2.4 /  -2.4 /   1.6
:     Mar 04   /  11.0 /   7.9 /   5.4 /   2.6
:     Mar 05   /   0.2 /  -4.2 /  -8.3 /  -8.2
:     Mar 06   /  -6.8
:____________________________________________________________________

: Cynthiana - South Fork Licking River - LMK
: Zero Datum 688.52 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Harrison County, KY
: Record River Stage     28.5 ft
: Major River Stage      23.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   22.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      20.0 ft
: Action River Stage     19.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 6AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
.AR CYNK2 20150305 Z DC201503040117/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFFX :crest:   20.1
: Crest near   20.1 ft around 7AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
: Fall below flood level around 7AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   5.6 /   5.8 /   6.2
:     Mar 03   /   7.2 /   8.1 /   8.6 /   8.8
:     Mar 04   /   9.1
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 9.2 ft at 730pm EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER CYNK2 20150304 Z DC201503040117/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :         /   9.4 /  11.3 /  13.7
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  16.5 /  19.0 /  20.1 /  18.9
.E3 : Mar 06 : /  16.2 /  13.1 /  11.0 /   9.9
.E4 : Mar 07 : /   9.3 /   8.8 /   8.5 /   8.2
.E5 : Mar 08 : /   7.9 /   7.6 /   7.4 /   7.2
.E6 : Mar 09 : /   7.0
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  0.00 /  0.07 /  0.25
:     Mar 02   /  0.02 /  0.02 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.04
:     Mar 04   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  0.51 /  0.72 /  0.57
:     Mar 05   /  0.31 /  0.52 /  0.33 /  0.05
:     Mar 06   /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /   0.2 /  -0.8 /   1.8
:     Mar 02   /   4.2 /   1.8 /  -1.2 /  -2.3
:     Mar 03   /   1.2 /  -1.9 /  -2.1 /   2.1
:     Mar 04   /  13.2 /  11.3 /   6.7 /   2.5
:     Mar 05   /  -0.2 /  -4.0 /  -7.6 /  -8.0
:     Mar 06   /  -6.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: Falmouth - Licking River - ILN
: Zero Datum 510.39 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Pendleton County, KY
: Record River Stage     51.8 ft
: Major River Stage      41.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   37.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      33.0 ft
: Action River Stage     23.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR FLMK2 20150305 Z DC201503040117/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFFX :crest:   30.5
: Crest near   30.5 ft around 7AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   5.2 /   5.1 /   5.1
:     Mar 03   /   5.5 /   5.8 /   6.4 /   7.8
:     Mar 04   /   8.4
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 8.7 ft at 805pm EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER FLMK2 20150304 Z DC201503040117/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :         /  10.8 /  16.5 /  24.1
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  28.1 /  30.0 /  30.5 /  30.2
.E3 : Mar 06 : /  28.9 /  26.2 /  23.3 /  20.1
.E4 : Mar 07 : /  17.5 /  15.6 /  14.2 /  13.0
.E5 : Mar 08 : /  11.7 /  10.6 /   9.7 /   9.0
.E6 : Mar 09 : /   8.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  0.01 /  0.06 /  0.19
:     Mar 02   /  0.02 /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.05
:     Mar 04   /  0.02
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  0.65 /  0.72 /  0.49
:     Mar 05   /  0.28 /  0.47 /  0.28 /  0.03
:     Mar 06   /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  -0.7 /  -2.0 /   1.1
:     Mar 02   /   3.2 /   1.4 /  -1.8 /  -2.5
:     Mar 03   /   1.3 /  -2.4 /  -2.8 /   1.5
:     Mar 04   /   9.6 /   8.6 /   5.4 /   2.2
:     Mar 05   /  -0.1 /  -4.4 /  -8.2 /  -8.1
:     Mar 06   /  -6.9
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
: Mark J Fenbers
:...END of MESSAGE...




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