Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 171649
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
TXZ000-NMZ000-AZZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/17/14 1649Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-15 1600Z  RUMINSKI
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LOCATION...TEXAS...NEW MEXICO...ARIZONA...
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ATTN WFOS...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...TWC...FGZ...PSR...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...CBRFC...
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EVENT...UPDATE TO PREVIOUS MESSAGE FOR HEAVY RAIN FROM ODILE
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...NUMEROUS FEATURES ASCD WITH THIS
BROAD SYSTEM TO SUPPORT HEAVY RAIN. LATEST IMAGERY SHOWS REMAINING
CORE CNVTN ASCD W/ODILE IS NEAR 30N111W AND HAS BN TRACKING ENE PAST
FEW HRS. CLD TOP TEMPS HAVE BN SLOWLY WARMING AND THIS SUGGESTS LOWER
RAIN RATES. MOST RECENT QMORPH PRODUCT (COMBINES MICROWAVE DERIVED RAIN
RATES WITH SUBSEQUENT GOES IR IMAGERY) SHOWS A CONTD DOWNWARD TREND FROM
OVERNIGHT. 6 HR ESTIMATES THRU 12Z SHOW MAX OF 1.5" TO 2"..ALTHO THIS DOES
NOT ACCOUNT FOR OROGRAPHICS. BINOVC FROM NRN CHIHUAHUA INTO SRN NM THEN
WRAPPING INTO SE AZ WILL ALLOW FOR SOME SOLAR HEATING/DESTABILITZATION
THIS AFTN ARND PERIPHERY OF CORE. SOME SEMBLANCE OF OUTER BAND IS N/S
ORIENTED RUNNING THRU FAR W TX INTO CENTRAL NM  WHERE IT FEEDS INTO
LARGER CLOUD/PRECIP MASS ASCD WITH WELL DEFINED VORT LOBE.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1630-2230Z...MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...CENTRAL CORE EXPECTED TO TRACK ACRS FAR SE AZ
(ERN PIMA..SANTA CRUZ..COCHISE) INTO SW NM (HIDALGO) THIS PD WITH 1-2"
GENERAL AMNTS AND LOCALIZED AMNTS UP TO 3" MAINLY IN OROGRAPHICALLY
FAVORED LOCATIONS (S AND SE FACING SLOPES). ANY CNVTN THAT DEVELOPS
IN BINOVC E AND N OF CENTRAL CORE HAS POTENTIAL FOR SOMEWHAT HIGHER
RAIN RATES BUT LESS DURATION. ORGANIZED AREA ASCD WITH VORT IN CENTRAL
NM EXPECT TO GRADUALLY SHIFT EWRD WITH SWATH OF HEAVY RAIN INTO SW TX
PANHANDLE..MAINLY ARND 1" WITH SPOTTY 2" AMNTS PSBL.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 3584 10311 3118 10248 2927 11279 3523 11256
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