Spot Forecast Request
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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BMBB91 KLIX 062103
STQLIX

A SPOT FORECAST REQUEST HAS JUST BEEN RECEIVED FOR A PRESCRIBED FIRE
NAMED "CPT G-19"

           PRIORITY:  IMMEDIATE
               DATE:  3/6/15
               TIME:  1800
       PROJECT NAME:  CPT G-19
       PROJECT TYPE:  PRESCRIBED
  REQUESTING AGENCY:  U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
REQUESTING OFFICIAL:  Scott Saucier
     REQUEST REASON:  IAMS
                FAX:  (228) 497-9612
    EMERGENCY PHONE:  (228) 219-3937
           LOCATION:
              STATE:
               DLAT:   30.4309
               DLON:    88.67031
           EXPOSURE:  Flat
          FUEL TYPE:  Grass, Shrub, Timber
         SHELTERING:  PARTIAL
   BOTTOM ELEVATION:  5
      TOP ELEVATION:  40
       SIZE (ACRES):  84

WEATHER CONDITIONS AT PROJECT OR FROM NEARBY STATIONS
SHCM6 ELEV=25 TIME=1451 WIND=N@6G18 T=55 TW=40 RH=20 TD= PARTLY CLOUDY
TS629 ELEV=125 TIME=1446 WIND=NE@4G10 T=56 TW=41 RH=19 TD= N/A
KPQL ELEV=16 TIME=1453 WIND=N@14G25 T=55 TW=40 RH=20 TD= CLEAR
GRBM6 ELEV=7 TIME=1425 WIND=N@8G20 T=54 TW=39 RH=19 TD= N/A

...REMARKS...
We are requesting this Spot Forecast in support of planning for a
possible prescribed  burn tomorrow.  Please set up the data table so
it begins at 6pm tonight, and covers the forecast periods
Tonight/Tomorrow/Tomorrow Night.

The afternoon Fire Weather Planning Forecast was posted as we were
preparing to submit our Spot Forecast Request.  It appears there have
been some significant updates in the forecast for Saturday, that were
not yet reflected in the 1:17pm PointAndClick Forecast.

Please report forecast elements in 1-hour increments.

MAIN CONCERN: I-10 is immediately north of the burn unit.  Allowable
wind directions are Northwest, North, and Northeast.

NWS PRODUCTS CONSULTED:

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
700 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

PointAndClick Forecasts: 3 Miles SW Martin Bluff MS, 30.44N 88.67W,
Last Update: 1:17 pm and 2:18 pm CST Mar 6, 2015

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR S MS AND SE LA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
224 PM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
402 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

QUESTIONS:

1. Please include a Fog Potential Statement for tonight, tomorrow
morning, tomorrow night, and Sunday morning.

2. According to the updated 2:18pm PointAndClick Forecast, 20-ft wind
speeds will shift to the southeast tomorrow afternoon.  Is this due
to a seabreeze, or is it due to movement of the ridge of high
pressure

3. According to PointAndClick Forecast, wind will probably go calm or
light and variable Saturday night.  Will the pressure gradient be
strong enough to maintain a light northerly flow, or will the
movement of smoke be determined more by topographical features

4. Verification of Point Forecast Matrix for KPQL shows RH forecast
error of 13 percentage points at noon, with temperature 2 degrees
above forecast and dew point 8 degrees below forecast.  What are the
chances of RH dropping below 28 at our location tomorrow, and if so,
during what timeframe

RAWS LOCATIONS:

SHCM6 2 miles NNE
TS629 14 miles NNW
KPQL 9 miles ENE
GRBM6 15 miles E

...WEATHER PARAMETERS REQUESTED...
          SKY / WEATHER: 1,1,1
            TEMPERATURE: 1,1,1
      RELATIVE HUMIDITY: 1,1,1
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION: 1,1,1
          MIXING HEIGHT: 1,1,1
        TRANSPORT WINDS: 1,1,1
           20 FOOT WIND: 1,1,1

SITE:  LIX
OFILE:  20150306.CPTG1.01
TIMEZONE:  CST6CDT


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