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000
FXUS64 KBMX 230602
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
102 AM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024

...New SHORT TERM, AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 102 AM CDT TUE APR 23 2024

High pressure will slide slowly to the east today and begin to
elongate over the area. Southerly flow returns on the west of the
high and will allow the area to warm into the 70s. The southerly
flow will continue tonight and keep temperatures in the upper 40s
to low 50s wit fair skies. A weak front will move into the region
Wednesday as a 500 mb shortwave moves from the Great Lakes to the
Mid-Atlantic coast. Other than an increase in clouds and a few
showers/storms in the afternoon, this front should hardly be
noticeable with only a minor temperature gradient from north to
south across our area.

16

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Through next Sunday)
Issued at 243 PM CDT MON APR 22 2024

Only change in the extended needed this afternoon was to expand
the slight chance of showers and storms to cover the northern half
of the area Thursday afternoon. Otherwise, a dry week with
temperatures warming each day. expect upper 70s to mid 80s
areawide by Friday.

14

Previous long-term discussion:
(Through Sunday)
Issued at 357 AM CDT MON APR 22 2024

To our west, a weak shortwave in Oklahoma cresting a ridge may
kick off convection Wednesday night near a warm front and moisture
gradient. Weak impulses within west- northwest flow may reach
northwestern Alabama on Thursday along this same
moisture/temperature gradient. This could result in a few showers
across our northwestern quadrant.

After Thursday, a 500 mb ridge is expected to take hold over the
Southeast CONUS and Gulf of Mexico. This should deflect any
shortwaves to our north and west, and subsidence should keep
conditions dry through Sunday.

87/Grantham

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 102 AM CDT TUE APR 23 2024

VFR conditions through the next 24 hours. There will be some
increasing clouds in the north outside of this period. Winds will
be more southerly during the day around 7 to 10 kts.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Drier air is in place through most of the week, with just a few
wrinkles. For today, 20 ft winds become southerly, at 6 to 10
mph, with minimum RH values in the 26 to 35 percent range. A weak
front with just a few showers/storms with very little rain, moves
through on Wednesday. 20 ft winds will become westerly at 6 to 9
mph, with minimum RH values above 35 percent. Another shortwave
may move through on Thursday as well.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     75  47  75  51 /   0   0  20  10
Anniston    75  50  76  54 /   0   0  20  10
Birmingham  75  52  76  56 /   0   0  20  10
Tuscaloosa  76  51  79  57 /   0   0  20  10
Calera      74  51  76  56 /   0   0  20   0
Auburn      74  51  77  58 /   0   0  20   0
Montgomery  76  51  80  58 /   0   0  20   0
Troy        76  49  81  57 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...16