Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL

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997
FXUS62 KKEY 051950
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
350 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 227 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024
Once again, day to day weather conditions remain similar.
Scattered clouds are transversing the forecast area, and radar
shows a cluster of showers to the west and northwest of the
Marquesas Keys that simply won`t give up. THese showers will
continue to slowly track to the northwest, and any mariners who
will cross paths with these showers may temporarily experience
reduced visibility as some of these showers have a history of
higher reflectivity on radar. This weather will continue through
the midweek, so we can essentially copy and paste the forecast
each day between now and Wednesday. Chances for rainfall fluctuate
between less than 10 percent and up to 10 percent over the first
half of the week as well.

Things may look a little different as we head into the end of the
week. Guidance is suggesting that temperatures from Thursday
onward trend warmer and approach the 90 degree mark.
Climatologically, some locations along the Keys will see their
first 90 degree day between mid May and mid June, so the low
chances of seeing this come to fruition at the end of the week is
non-zero. However, the chance is still low. Chances for rainfall
will also increase at the end of the week, but they`re still
relatively low at 20 percent.


&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 227 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024
High pressure over the western North Atlantic will
continue to encourage moderate to fresh easterly breezes for the
next several days. Breezes will turn to the southeast and south
over the course of Tuesday and Wednesday as the high pressure
flattens. Chances for isolated showers will fluctuate between less
than 10 percent and up to 20 percent through the week.


&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 227 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024
Although a passing shower cannot be ruled out, VFR conditions will
prevail at both island terminals through the TAF period. Near-
surface winds will remain out of the east to southeast at 10 to 13
knots, with occasional gusts near 20 knots.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Key West  77  85  78  86 /  20  10  10   0
Marathon  78  86  78  86 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...DP
Aviation/Nowcasts....BT
Data Acquisition.....BT

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