902
FNUS51 KBUF 090533
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
133 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered light showers will wind down through the early overnight
hours east of Lake Ontario as low pressure pulls east into New
England. Otherwise, high pressure will nose in from the northwest
providing mainly dry weather tonight through at least the first half
of Thursday, before shower chances slowly increase toward the
Pennsylvania state line Thursday afternoon. This will be the start
of another fairly unsettled weather pattern that will impact the
region for the end of the work week into this weekend as a series of
low pressure systems cross the region.

NYZ201-090800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
133 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024

                            Overnight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri
Cloud cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip chc (%)                      0            0           60           70
Precip type                      None         None      Showers      Showers
Min/Max Temp                       44           61           45           58
AM Wind (mph)                                NE  5                     NE  7
PM Wind (mph)                                NE  7        NE  7        NE  8
Precip amount                    0.00         0.00         0.13         0.18
Precip duration                                               5           10
Precip begin                                               7 PM   Continuing
Precip end                                           Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           42          100           51
Haines Index                        2            3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)            380         6020          210         6990
Transport wind (kt)              N 10        NE  9        NE 11        NE 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                3800        54180         2310        69900
Dispersion Index                    4           54            2           70
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-090800-
Southern Tier-
133 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024

                            Overnight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri
Cloud cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip chc (%)                      0           40           70           70
Precip type                      None      Showers      Showers      Showers
Min/Max Temp                       45           60           44           57
AM Wind (mph)                                NE  5                     NE  8
PM Wind (mph)                                NE  7        NE  8         N  9
Precip amount                    0.00         0.03         0.25         0.27
Precip duration                                  1            8            8
Precip begin                                  3 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                              Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           47          100           52
Haines Index                        2            3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)            440         5180          300         7840
Transport wind (kt)             NW  9        NE  9        NE 12        NE 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                3960        46620         3600       101920
Dispersion Index                    4           47            4          102
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the upper 50s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs around 70.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...North around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...East around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
WIND MONDAY...South 5 to 10 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...South around 10 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...East around 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$