482
FNUS53 KDTX 091955
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
355 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

.DISCUSSION...Rain showers around and south of M-59 will taper off
this evening and overnight. Dry and cool Friday with minimum
humidity values down to around 40 percent. Humidity will increase to
60 percent with showers and thunderstorms possible Saturday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-092115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
355 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....40-44.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........81-91 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph becoming around 5 mph after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......820-1020 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (27).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....58-62.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6750-7250 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (770).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 50
                    percent.
Min temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-94 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......660-860 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Rain showers
                    likely. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....56-60.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast around 5 mph becoming north 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4710-5210 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph becoming north in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (640).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-092115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
355 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2 am, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....39-44.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........83-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......820-1020 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (32).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....58-62.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6590-7090 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (730).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min temperature.....42-47.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........81-91 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming south in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming south in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (75-85 percent) until 2 pm, then partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers.
                    Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....54-60.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........54-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 5 mph becoming northeast 10 to
                    15 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3830-4330 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming north early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (448).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-092115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
355 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2 am, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 am. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Min temperature.....40-46.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (30).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....60-64.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........34-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest around 5
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6490-6990 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (823).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 50
                    percent.
Min temperature.....42-48.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........86-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West around 5 mph becoming southwest in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph becoming southwest in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Rain showers
                    likely. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....56-62.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........54-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 10 mph becoming northwest in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3840-4340 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph becoming north in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (816).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper
60s. West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 50. Highs
in the mid 60s. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 50. Highs
in the lower 70s.

$$

DRK