605
FNUS73 KGRR 090800
FWSGRR

Spot Forecast for Looney 31...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
400 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on May 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (616) 949-5150, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Clouds will increase this morning but temperatures and mixing
are still expected to increase from morning into the early
afternoon. Winds will be mainly from the northeast but could
vary a little from the east or north at times. Scattered showers
could develop in the area during the afternoon and evening.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    rain showers in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 64.
RH..................Min 54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 5300 ft AGL by noon.
Mixing winds........East 10 to 13 mph shifting to the northeast 12
                    to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....60 (poor) early in the morning increasing to
                    610 (excellent) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
Sky (%).........25     46     69     87     86     80
Weather cov.....                     S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Temp............49     56     61     62     61     59
RH..............86     69     56     54     56     57
20 ft wind......E 8    E 9    NE 9   NE 9   NE 10  NE 10
20 ft wind gust.12     13     14     14     15     16
Mix hgt (ft)....600    2300   5300   4600   4000   2300
Mixing wind.....E 10   E 13   E 12   NE 10  NE 13  NE 14
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
Smoke disprsl...60     290    610    470    500    320

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the evening.
Temperature.........Min 40.
RH..................Max 86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northeast 5 to 13 mph shifting to the north
                    around 3 mph toward daybreak.
Smoke dispersal.....10 (poor).
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Temperature.........Max 62.
RH..................Min 42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the west
                    7 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 3 to 7 mph shifting to the west 8 to
                    12 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....20 (poor) early in the morning increasing to
                    500 (good) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Scholten
Requested by...Todd Moore
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413552.0/GRR
.DELDT 05/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tbmoore01@gmail.com